Full Transcript

·YouTLDR

Mercor CEO on Why Application Layer Companies Have No Defensibility & Token Spend Exceeds Salaries

1:14:01EnglishBy 20VC with Harry StebbingsTranscribed Jun 3, 2026
Analyze another video with Pro30-day money-back guarantee
0:00

Building defensibility in the software layer on top of the models is going to be incredibly difficult.

0:06

We have the demand to double overnight. We just don't have the capacity. Joining me in the hot

0:10

seat today we have Brandon Fudy, co-founder and CEO of McCore. One of the fastest growing AI

0:15

companies valued at over $10 billion today, doing over a billion dollars in revenue over the last

0:21

two years. Everyone has increasingly realized that the model is the product. I think we're seeing in

0:27

a real time that services are getting automated. This is the most revealing interview that Brandon has

0:33

ever done. Discussing is revenue really revenue in this business? What does that look like moving

0:38

forward? Would he rather invest in open AI or anthropic? Right now we're spending more on tokens

0:44

for our internal agents than we are on employee headcount. How much does it cost to hire a high-quality

0:49

AI researcher? Oftentimes it would be in the tons of millions of stock per year. Ready to go?

1:06

Brandon Ed is so good to have you in the studio, dude. Thank you so much for joining me in person.

1:11

Super excited to be here. Thanks for having me, Harry. So I was thinking about how we're going to

1:14

structure this. I was like, you know what, there's quite a lot of myths or rumors around McCore.

1:20

And given it's our second time, I thought I could break the ice and just go straight for them.

1:24

So myth number one that we're going to tackle is there was a hack or a leak or whatever. I don't know

1:32

how you can tell me what do you call it, but a hack. And revenue has been flat. What's really happening

1:38

with McCore? Chua Fals. So there was an incident. All of the other parts are false and that we

1:45

obviously handled it very quickly. We were in touch with customers. We moved incredibly fast at

1:51

engaging Mandean and a bunch of other security consulting firms and the company's been crushing it

1:57

ever since. We've expanded our relationships with all of the frontier labs and added 300 million

2:02

and net new ARR in the last 60 days. 300 million and 60 days. Fuck me. That's been pretty crazy.

2:09

Yeah. Keep you as busy. I'm sorry, I just have to ask, where were you when you found out about the

2:15

hack? And what did you do? Well, it was a Saturday. So it was in the office. I was talking with our

2:21

engineering team. And I think the initial thing is of course like, you know, how are we communicating

2:27

this to customers and trying to be very proactive about understanding exactly what happened,

2:32

what was accessed, etc. And then how do we communicate this to the experts and just moving

2:40

containing it, moving quickly on the comms. And then from there, of course, making sure that we put

2:47

in place all the right things so that it never happens again. You know, there's a brilliant poem

2:53

and poet Roger Kippling who said, you know, kind of essentially you have to keep your head when all

2:59

about you are losing theirs. That is a time when everyone is losing theirs. Definitely.

3:04

I did by naming it one of your patch and I think we're both young, you're younger than me.

3:09

What do you do to say, calm when that is an oh shit, man? Well, it's interesting because I feel like

3:15

throughout the lifetime of the business, I have been through a lot of very stressful moments. That

3:20

was definitely stressful, but it definitely wasn't close to the most stressful one. Seriously. Yeah,

3:26

I mean, there's some times when I'm freaking out about making sure we get something right with

3:32

a customer or whatever it is, but I think part of it is that there was this broad perception on

3:41

Twitter that was much more exaggerated than what actually happened within the business. And so

3:46

having a thorough understanding of what actually happened and having really strong relationships

3:52

with customers gave us a lot of confidence that we would get out through get through it,

3:58

be on the other side even stronger. And we used to have six values as a company, but we had it a

4:04

seventh value of security to make sure it's very ingrained in the culture. But I think that

4:10

yeah, just that confidence that we know what's going on and that there's sort of this echo chamber

4:17

on X that we need to hedge against a little bit. And to find us need to pay attention to it.

4:26

I mean, I think founders need to pay attention to it. Like we had an all hands with a company where

4:30

we just laid out, here's exactly what's happening. Here's the trajectory of the business. And I think

4:35

that was very helpful to the entire team. But it's just definitely annoying that there were all of these

4:41

people saying things that didn't actually happen. And we couldn't quite speak out against them to

4:47

explicitly. Otherwise, there's going to be the Twitter mob circling and all these recommendations

4:54

from lawyers, etc. The hard thing is there are often a lot of people with economic incentives behind

4:59

the scenes. Totally. Who will absolutely trounce you and be very negative because they are aligned to

5:05

a competitor or we're in a YC company that's been through a lot of shit in the last few days.

5:10

And their competitor has a lot of people behind them through various different means. And

5:16

the alignment is not obvious, but it really sounds out on Twitter. That is exactly what happened.

5:22

Like I can even think of one person that's very prominent who's invested in multiple competitors

5:28

and just made this tweet about how all of our data was getting access by China when it was totally

5:34

untrue. You mentioned adding security as a third or seventh pillar there. We've seen so many hacks.

5:44

It's almost become normalized as awful as that sounds. Are we about to enter a golden age of cyber

5:49

given the new threats awakened by AI? I think so. I mean, we're even seeing this on the customer side

5:55

where our customers obviously are very focused on how do we improve the model cyber defensive

6:01

capabilities so that we can have the best AI security engineer that is able to defend every

6:08

enterprise from all of these attacks. Because in our incident, it was the attacker that used a swarm

6:15

of coding agents to help get access to the system as it's happening in a lot of these. And so I think

6:20

there's going to be an enormous boom in AI security engineering tools and various forms of defense

6:28

that are able to help protect companies against all of the increasing waves of cyber incidents that

6:35

are just going to start. Can I just be very naive and dumb here? How do the swarms of coding agents

6:41

make for such dangerous and malicious actors? How does that actually work?

6:45

So the reason is that when a normal attacker is trying to find vulnerabilities, they can only review

6:52

so much code and go through a certain portion of it at a human speed bound by the amount of people

6:59

in their team versus a when they're using swarms of agents, they're able to be very exhaustive

7:05

in reviewing the entire code base, looking at the entire front end, all the different things that

7:10

they've accessed. And so that has allowed a lot of these attackers to just move much more quickly.

7:16

And so we've been exploring various collaborations with customers and how we can strengthen

7:23

their cyber defensive capabilities to hedge against exactly this type of attack as well.

7:28

Got you. In terms of these various customers,

7:33

jewelfuls, you lost open AI and matters customers in the hack.

7:38

Boss, our relationship with open AI is stronger than ever. Obviously, I can't speak too much to

7:44

specific customer relationships though. Can I push on matter? Of course. I mean, I think that meta,

7:53

like currently the relationship is still paused. Every other one of the frontier labs has grown.

7:59

Their relationship with us since and the company has been crushing it, but they're the only one that

8:05

is- And it would be possible just because of the security. Well, there's other things happening there.

8:11

Obviously, I think that meta is a unique customer because of the scale acquisition.

8:17

And so naturally, they're going to work with scale more, but I don't want to speak too much to

8:23

the specifics of a customer. Because I thought when you saw hand shapes,

8:26

revenue just like power roll, it was just like meta shifting spend from you to them.

8:31

That's not true. Interesting. What is that? I probably shouldn't speak to a

8:38

Gradula, or to lead to that. Totally cool. Okay, but okay, so we have-

8:44

We'll speak to everything except customers, but we have lost open AI. Got you.

8:48

Cool. Stronger than ever. Because I got told by many of you before the day.

8:53

Definitely. Have I? Great. Good. Thank you. You're wrong.

8:56

You've been- I read this article. You've been trying to poach micro one team members with

9:02

signing packages in the millions. We have not extended a single offer to someone for micro one.

9:08

To no millions. No millions. Bucker. Why does that come back? Because I've read this article.

9:15

So the reason for the article was that someone on our team sent an outbound to some people at

9:23

micro one saying that we were hiring a variety of people with these very high signing bonuses. I

9:29

think one of them said $500,000 as a potential signing bonus. They took first meetings,

9:35

but we didn't move forward with offers in any one. Obviously, the way that gets framed to the

9:40

presses, oh, these are offers that are going out with a giant distinction from one of our employees.

9:46

I dig a message to one of their employees versus actually sending out a legal offer letter.

9:53

Love it. Press is a wonderful thing. Totally. Okay, next, but I'm enjoying this.

9:59

You show mythbusters. You might get uncomfortable with this one. I had a rumor that Amazon tried

10:06

to acquire you for $13 billion. True or false? That one is false. I obviously can't speak too much

10:14

to other acquisition kind of stuff. So I'll reserve any comments on future acquisition questions.

10:24

Would you sell for $30 billion? No, I wouldn't. I mean, ultimately, we've gotten a lot of acquisition

10:31

interest. We could walk away with, like, I could walk away with billions of dollars in cash.

10:38

The thing is, that's just not what motivates me. I'm very motivated by how do we solve this incredibly

10:45

important problem in the world of how humans fit into the economy. I feel like we have the opportunity

10:53

to build a legendary company and creating this new category of work and our probability of executing

11:02

on that vision wouldn't be as high if we weren't an independent company. How humans fit into the economy?

11:08

Fascinating. When we look at the news, we see intuals of 16,000, metal,

11:13

a list of 8,000 4M linked in the 1,000 coinbase that will click up now 22% going.

11:21

It's hard for people to see how humans are going to fit into that new economy.

11:25

Totally. Do you share that concern? I think to some extent, I believe there's certainly going to be

11:32

many more jobs in 10 years than there are today. But there's also going to be a lot of job

11:37

displacement along the way. And amidst all of these layoffs, I think the most important question is

11:43

understanding what jobs is AI able to do and what jobs is AI not able to do. And so we're building

11:50

a ton of initiatives such as the AI productivity index or APEX that are becoming the industry standard

11:57

and answering that question of measuring across all the different popular job categories that people

12:02

talking about ranging from consultants to investment bankers to lawyers to software engineers. What are the

12:09

actual tasks within those that AI can automate and what are the tasks that it can't? With the greatest

12:14

of respect, does that not change so quickly? When you spoke, when you saw André Capathy talk about

12:19

how he uses coding agents, it was like, oh, I use it for 20% of the work. And then it's like,

12:25

oh, it does 80% and I do the final 20% within a six months period. Definitely. Well, even another

12:30

example on that is on APEX, the frontier model right now is that about 40%. And 12 months ago,

12:37

the frontier model was 01, which was scoring 1%. And so that's with the progress of the last 12

12:43

months. And obviously, we expect it to continue and be fairly significant. But I think that the key thing

12:49

is that everyone underestimates the elasticity for demand and increased productivity in the economy.

12:57

Like, ultimately, over the last 250 years, we've increased productivity by 25X equivalent to

13:04

automating about 96% of someone's job. And during every technology revolution, ranging from

13:11

the agricultural revolution to the industrial revolution to the computer revolution, people feared

13:16

that there would be this enormous job displacement because of the lump of labor fallacy, where people

13:22

assume that there was a fixed amount of things that had to be done. And when we made people more

13:26

productive, that would all of a sudden mean that there were fewer jobs. Yet, 250 years later, there's

13:32

more jobs than ever before. And it's because we have no shortage of problems to solve this society,

13:39

right? We still need to solve climate change and cure cancer and do all of these other new things.

13:45

And so I buy that completely. What I don't buy is the speed of transition. And what I mean by that

13:50

is when you look at industrial revolution, agricultural revolution, it took multi-decade cycles to implement

13:57

and train new technologies to do what humans did. Now with Nanobonon Pro, I can get rid of

14:02

all designers in my media company pretty much overnight. Well, the thing I agree with you is about

14:07

displacement. I agree there's going to be a very significant amount of displacement. But I also think

14:13

that the economy is becoming much more effective at creating new job categories and allocating new

14:20

labor. Like a great example is what we do in that now we're paying out over $3 million a day and the

14:27

fastest job category ever created in history. And I expect that's going to continue growing exponentially

14:34

from here. And I think that there's going to be so many new job categories created across everything

14:40

within AI, such as training agents for deployed engineering, building data centers, all the way to all

14:46

of the problems that we otherwise wouldn't have been able to address as a society. Like how do we

14:52

build solutions to climate change? How do we have more people working on rockets,

14:56

ticks for space, etc. Totally get used. It's 3 million per day paid out. What is that in 12

15:02

months time? And 12 months time, that's probably about triple that. 9 million. Do you think you're being

15:09

ambitious enough? Maybe it's quadruple that. We have internal projections that are always much more

15:16

aggressive than our external projections. But we almost doubled our projections last year. What new role

15:23

will we have in 5 years that does not exist today? One of the largest things that people underestimate

15:30

both in the context of AI labs as well as within the enterprise is how significant of a job category

15:37

it is going to be to train agents. Like what we're seeing is that all knowledge work is converging

15:43

on training agents because it is structurally more efficient to do something once. Instead of having

15:48

a customer support representative that is redundantly responding to hundreds of tickets,

15:53

they're going to train an agent how to do that once. Instead of having a lawyer that is redundantly

15:58

doing dozens of similar red lines on commercial contracts, they're going to train an agent how to

16:03

automate that. And even probably when you're playing around with cloud, you see that there's so many

16:08

repetitive workflows of how you prepare for a meeting or draft emails or whatever it is where

16:14

it's just much more efficient for you to train the agent how to do that activity so that you can

16:18

amortize that over the entire useful life cycle rather than doing it redundantly yourself. And so I

16:24

think that there's going to be this enormous paradigm shift as agents enter the workforce and everyone

16:31

begins to manage them. Can I see when we think about that enterprise adoption? I think one of the

16:36

biggest problems that we have is data structures and data clandiness. I interviewed a guest the other

16:42

day and they said we'll have data cleaner as one of the most important jobs in the next five years.

16:47

Is data structure and data clandiness the biggest barrier to enterprise adoption?

16:52

Well, I agree in part. I think that certainly the models need to have access to data to

16:58

perform their jobs effectively. But the caveat is that they'll be able to clean the data themselves

17:04

fairly effectively as reasoning capabilities go up. The thing that humans will need to contribute to is

17:10

all of the tacit knowledge within the organization that isn't written down because I found that when I

17:16

try to get agents to do all of these workflows throughout Mercor, there's just an enormous amount of

17:22

context that lives in people's heads that the agents need to have access to to perform effectively.

17:28

And so much of that is going to be the new job of employees of how do we codify all this knowledge?

17:35

How do we train agents so that they're able to perform these tasks effectively across every function

17:41

in the organization? I'm sorry for digging down, but you said reasoning capabilities will

17:45

enterprise is to clean data more efficiently. Why? Well, the reason is that if a model is able to,

17:52

for example, read through every message written in Slack of the last six months, the model can presumably

17:59

structure a table of, you know, hear all the different customer conversations that happened in

18:05

this year, and et cetera. And so I don't expect humans to be doing like that type of stuff of how do

18:10

we structure data? How do we classify it, et cetera? But I do think that humans will do the things that

18:16

models inherently can't do such as the tacit knowledge. When we look at the market for being a data

18:22

provided some of the largest models in the world, it's such a large market that you've seen the

18:27

unbundling of it in today, such verticals. I met the other day a medical real world medical data

18:34

provider to them where basically they have surgeons that kind of I don't have video cameras on and

18:39

they record all the real world data. Do we see the mass unbundling of the data providing market?

18:46

Is that how it plays out? It's interesting. We're doing a ton of data collection in the physical world

18:51

as well, especially across scale domains where you have electricians and mechanics and scientists

18:58

dropping cameras to their head to record things. I think that there's always going to be some degree

19:05

of value in some of these like niche vendors that are able to go really deep in a specific vertical.

19:12

But what we're finding is that there's enormous value to aggregation and economies of scale. And that

19:19

when we have this talent network of over 5 million people that are able to refer their friends,

19:25

it's just so much easier for us to find the marginal doctor because we have that enormous talent network

19:32

that can refer us to their friends. And even more importantly, that the kind of data shapes that we

19:38

would build for a lawyer are often very similar to the kinds of data shapes that we would build for a doctor.

19:44

And so all of the tooling that we build is very, very cross applicable. And that's the way that

19:49

most labs have been scaling out their data quite horizontally. And so for that reason, we are finding

19:55

that the labs tend to prefer partnering with a very horizontally capable vendor that is able to

20:03

flux across all of the different verticals and scale extremely quickly rather than working with

20:09

100 different vendors that they have to train for the same data shape and 100 different domains.

20:14

Do you think we'll go through your period of consolidation? Because there are a huge amount of the way

20:18

you'll actually end up buying the medical data product because it's a really important part.

20:22

Definitely. Do you think you will have that period of consolidation?

20:24

I think there will. I think in most markets when the markets are so frothy and anyone can get funding

20:31

and run negative margins, of course, there's going to be this proliferation of companies that pop up.

20:36

And when markets come back to earth and there are natural corrections, that's when there's periods

20:42

of consolidation. And so we view having over 500 million in cash in a super profitable business as

20:50

a significant asset and allowing us to be prepared for when there is a market correction to make sure

20:55

that we consolidate market share. You're profitable today. Very profitable. How long have you been

21:01

profitable? We've never really burnt cash. We burnt half a million dollars after our seed round.

21:08

Then from there, we've pretty much been profitable ever since. We have more cash than we've ever raised.

21:18

It's just because the business has grown so quickly that we obviously try to redeploy capital as fast

21:24

as we can to invest in growth. But the business has grown so fast that we haven't been able to

21:32

redeploy capital. Commence rate with that. Can I ask you myth buster one?

21:36

After we had a dache on the show, I think first time, people were like, the revenue is not real

21:41

revenue. It's GMV. When we understand your revenue, what's the revenue say? I can't show the exact

21:47

revenue number, but it's dramatically higher than whatever has been posted publicly. Let's give a

21:52

bull photo just because my simple number size genuinely, I'm not like a billion. It's much more than

21:57

that. Let's say a billion because it's easy for my brand. So we have a billion. Is that like sales for

22:04

Airbnb and then they get 20% of that? So the revenue is between a 30 and 40% gross margin, but the

22:13

key distinction and why it's not GMV, but as revenue is that the experts are actually only one part

22:20

of the broader value chain that we deliver to customers. So when a customer comes to us, they're

22:25

generally buying tasks where they would say, hey, they'll pay $1,000 for this task that delivers

22:31

model improvement. Then we do the end-to-end process associated with how do we find the experts,

22:36

how do we hire the experts, how do we build the platform that the experts work on so the experts

22:41

can do the work, how do we have our AI project manager manage the experts to automate all the

22:47

coordination of helping to produce this data, how do we have automated quality checks, etc, to

22:54

produce the end product of the task that we're delivering for our customer. So that's the large

23:00

distinction of how we're powered by a talent network in the same way that Uber is powered by a

23:05

driver network, but that's not the end product in the same way as some of those marketplace businesses.

23:11

What's so interesting for me and you can tell me if this is bullshit or not, it's like you've

23:14

seen the evolution of this business from like, hey, we provide raw data back to the largest models in

23:20

the world, like how it started. And now it's like end-to-end, we provide it fully and then we send it to

23:27

you. We make sure everything's ready and it's full stack exactly very vertically integrated.

23:32

Well, because so many parts of the downstream signal and form the upstream signal, right? Like,

23:38

we can use the quality checks on how high calibers each of the individual data points to understand

23:45

exactly what are the types of experts that we should be onboarding to achieve the data that drives

23:50

the most model improvement. And there's oftentimes this very power law nature of data that drives

23:56

model improvement in that out of a data set of 10,000 tasks, the top 2,000 tasks will create

24:01

majority of the value. And so it allows vendors that are extremely high quality to be super differentiated

24:08

in so far as pricing power because quality is the X factor that becomes dramatically more valuable

24:15

than any other dimension. What tosses super high value? Is it like the medical the financial modeling

24:20

style? It corresponds extremely closely to economic value. So think if you go through the top 5

24:27

demands that we serve it would be software engineering, it would be finance, medicine, law,

24:34

consulting, etc. And the super long horizon tasks within those. And so think we're moving away from

24:40

the paradigm of how do we get a investment banker to prepare a financial model and moving towards the

24:47

paradigm of how do we get a banker that can talk with five different colleagues and wait to hear

24:54

back their responses and prepare an entire slide deck with a deliverable that includes the financial

25:01

model, the analysis in a multi week long project. Those are the kinds of tasks that we need to be

25:08

building to push the frontier of research and evaluation so that those are the capabilities that

25:14

people are able to use in the models in six to 12 months. Can I ask which segment are we underserved

25:20

in in terms of model capabilities? In terms of like we don't have enough medical data, we don't have

25:25

enough financial modeling data, we don't have a is there a segment where like you know what if we

25:29

would require a company in this space to plug a hole in our data supply? Well, I would say maybe I'll

25:36

give it from my course perspective and then I'll give it from the labs perspective. Like we tend to

25:43

be now so good at mobilizing experts that were able to access pretty much any domain. There's always

25:51

going to be some degree of like these niche pockets of oncologists or whatever it is that have a

25:58

particular background, but generally we can fill those fairly quickly and it's more about people that

26:04

actually are very acclimated to the frontier of AI because it's the people that understood that both

26:11

have the expertise and oncology, but also our power users of chat GPT or cloud that are able to

26:18

find where the model makes mistakes and help the model learn from those mistakes. And so that's from

26:23

the more core perspective from the perspective of the labs. It seems like it's all encompassing. It's

26:30

just like the barrier to automating everything that you can do and say Google workspace is how do we

26:36

cover the full distribution of all of the context i messages, slacks, slides, excel sheets and all

26:44

of the tasks, prompts and outputs that correspond to everything that you do in your job. And that applies

26:50

to every individual and every domain throughout the economy. And so there's this enormous mobilization

26:57

of hundreds of thousands and so many of people to build out the full distribution of everything that

27:04

you could pass into Google workspace and everything that you could want out on the other side

27:09

in every job category throughout the economy. Can I ask you before we dive into a tweet that you did

27:14

which slightly terrified me to be quite honest. So you said about 30 to 40% is kind of how we think

27:19

about like our revenues from that. Generally up. Okay, so if we take the rounds that we've raised,

27:25

which round felt most uncomfortably high? Good question. We'll see. I'll talk through the

27:32

valuations of each of the revenue. So at our seed round did Fountain not fly you in the chopper?

27:39

That was serious. So our seed round was in September of 2023, we were at called a million in revenue run

27:45

rate or just shy of that. And I initially didn't want to raise because I wanted to bootstrap the company,

27:52

but a dorshan series condition on dropping out was that we needed to raise buddy. And so we met general

27:58

catalyst 8 a.m. on his Sunday morning. They gave us a term sheet within 36 hours for $2.3

28:06

billion at a $23 million post money valuation. So that was that was pretty reasonable.

28:13

And so far as Max and him on this was Max and Eko. And then at our series A, we the business that

28:20

didn't grow that much from the seed to the series A, but we found the market was a key differentiation.

28:26

And we met Victor when we were at one and a half million in revenue run rate in May of 2024.

28:36

And Victor got super excited. Initially I refused to take a second meeting, but then he said,

28:41

oh, have you ever been in a helicopter and so Peter took us on the helicopter flight. And then

28:48

benchmark really one to work with us. And so we were by the time that they gave us a term sheet,

28:53

we were at call it 2.5 million in revenue and they gave us $250 million post money valuation.

29:00

And then just four months. They don't feel uncomfortable because that's a big jump to you know,

29:04

two 23 post to 250. So keep in mind at the time, this sounds crazy because we were at 2.5 million in

29:10

revenue. But I was projecting 50 million in revenue run rate by the end of the year and 500 million by

29:17

the end of next year. And so it felt like a bargain. And then did you know who found this project?

29:24

Right? But we didn't have a project. Just don't happen often.

29:28

Yeah. And then four months later we met Felisa's and we never like would make a slide deck or take

29:36

investor meetings. And so Felisa sent us an email saying, hey, we know your co-founder, Surya,

29:43

really likes for us. So do you want to go racing for us with us? And then I replied and I said,

29:48

you caught my eye, tell me more. And they said, we'll meet at the airport in Heyward and go on

29:58

items private jet to Las Vegas to race for our ease around the F1 track. And so I was like, we're

30:04

available in three weeks on a Sunday. And so we do this. We race for our ease, we're at 20 million

30:10

in revenue. They ask us what valuation do we think makes most sense? And I say one to two

30:15

billion dollars. So they give us a term sheet at a two billion dollar valuation. And at the time,

30:20

you know, that's a hundred times revenue. And ever think that that's a high valuation. Meanwhile,

30:25

it was an incredible investment. So I'm going to be honest, this is when I interviewed a

30:28

Darshan at that time. And at the end of the year, I was like, dude, I would love to invest. Please

30:32

let me invest. And you very kindly let me put a small check in. And I then spoke to several of the

30:39

biggest and most in the world. And no offense. They like chuckled at me like, dude, that's such a high price.

30:44

He is such a high price. Well, so here's the thing going. We'd been growing 50%

30:49

month of our month for the prior six months. And I think what none of them really realized was that

30:53

it would continue, continue for the subsequent, you know, 12 plus months. Yeah. And so then that

30:58

compounded more and more by September. We were at a September of 2025 or say October. We were at

31:07

called 400 million and revenue run rate. And then Felicia's was like, we want to invest more.

31:13

And so they gave us a term sheet of $10 billion valuation. We didn't really want to spend much time

31:19

on a financing because the business was growing 50% month over month. And so we were very preoccupied.

31:25

And so that was about 25 times. And you know, the business has almost four Xs and so review which one

31:32

felt most uncomfortable. If you were to choose any, if I had to choose any, I would say that the

31:39

series B priced in the most like the furthest ahead of our growth. Or that or the series A, I think it

31:47

was probably the series B. Two billion. Because both were 100 times revenue. But it's very different to

31:53

be 100 times revenue when you're at 2.5 million and revenue versus 20 million revenue. Yeah. So that

31:59

that was probably the largest one. But obviously both were great investments and hindsight.

32:04

What is the next round done? We'll see. Probably a much higher valuation. We're getting a lot of

32:10

offers at meaningfully higher valuations. But the company is fairly profitable. And so we're

32:17

taking our time to see where the right partner is. We're also just going through modes of transport

32:21

on me. We had the chopper. We had the for a raise. We've had. We had to get observation exactly.

32:29

I totally agree. I've never been on a warship before. But that's a lot of fun. There you go.

32:33

So we'll line up the warship. The next 12 months will be dramatically better for infrastructure

32:40

companies upstream of Anthropic and OpenAI than for application layer companies downstream of them.

32:46

This was your tweet. Why do you believe that? The reason I believe that is that the application layer

32:54

companies businesses are not far removed from the foundation model companies businesses. Like it

33:00

is not a far leap for cloud co-work to add capabilities across medical and legal. Obviously they did it

33:07

with software engineering and do that can do that across finance. And so I feel like building

33:13

defensibility in the software layer on top of the models is going to be incredibly difficult.

33:20

Whereas on the other side of things and the infrastructure side, it feels like there are

33:26

meaningful modes that are getting built. We're compounding enormous network effects in the

33:31

business and a pretty significant data mode as we build out the inventory for our customers.

33:36

Compute companies obviously are able to build modes through these very long R&D cycles.

33:43

And so I think that there are going to be high margins that get achieved at the infrastructure

33:51

layer in sustainable profitable businesses in a way that it's less immediately clear at the

33:58

application layer. I mean you told me that I didn't know if you saw this but they increased

34:01

that pricing by 30%. I didn't know. Of course support. We'll have absolutely no impact on demand.

34:08

That's insane. Isn't that absolutely not so you increased price by 30% zero impact on demand?

34:12

It's probably the same for us honestly. We have the demand to double overnight. We just don't have

34:17

the capacity. And so it's mainly a question of how effectively can we scale to mobilize people to

34:25

build out these environments much more quickly? You do pricing elasticity tests because if you can

34:30

double price and double the business. We maybe can't double prices. We could double capacity.

34:37

We could probably increase prices by 30% without much of an impact. But the other thing you need to

34:43

consider is that pricing is not merely a question of optimizing for the next six months. It's

34:49

optimizing for a structure that wins the market over the next decade. And for that reason,

34:55

we're very focused on how do we do what's best for customers? How do we do what's best for experts?

35:01

And how do we build a sustainable business while we're doing it? But make sure that we're not

35:05

leaving oxygen in the market because high margins and by competition.

35:09

OK. I am an investor in several application layer companies downstream like a LaGora which you

35:15

mentioned there. We see the LaGora versus Harvey battle. I think everyone actually is coming

35:22

around to the fact that they shouldn't be fighting each other. They should be wary of anthropic to

35:26

your point. Totally. But then I look at it and go there is incredible defensibility. It's a very

35:31

deep product specifically suited to the workflows of lawyers. Anthropic would have to build out

35:37

whole separate product teams divisions to come after them. They'd have to build that GTM teams,

35:42

customer success teams, adoption teams. It's a different fricking company. The defensibility is there.

35:50

I'll give back. Maybe I would say two things. First is that I think over the last two years,

35:57

everyone has increasingly realized that the model is the product. That we can build so many of

36:02

these different abstractions of trying to stitch together API calls and having all this patchwork

36:09

logic where people use to have all these drag and drop agent builders. And then they just realize that

36:13

if we give the model the end goal and we train it to accomplish that end goal, it has outperformed

36:20

every other solution in almost every case that we go after. And that votes incredibly well for those

36:27

that are training models and the second thing to consider is that software layers are able to get

36:35

recreated very quickly now. We're building out an evil set that measures how effectively agents

36:41

can build end to end SaaS applications where 2025 was the year of how do you get a model to make a

36:48

PR on a code base and 2026 is the year of how do you get the model to clone Slack end end. And those

36:56

capabilities are going to exist in the models in the next 12 months. And so that means

37:03

very significant things for companies that are betting on software modes sustaining their businesses.

37:09

If we take that extrapolated further, how effectively can we build Slack internally agent led

37:15

entirely? That would very much concur with the SaaS's dead because if you're a large company

37:22

maybe small customizations, integrations, say you're a real estate company and you need very

37:26

specific integrations to pricing providers, you'd build your own. I generally agree. I think that

37:33

the caveat is when those companies have network effects, there's probably a significant mode that

37:39

isn't being priced in fully. For example, Salesforce has tons of companies that are building integrations

37:46

on top of their platform that creates this almost marketplace and network effect around it or

37:51

Slack has Slack Connect. And I think even Cart is another great example of this whole network

37:58

effect of the people that use it and one use the same platform across all of their companies.

38:04

I think that the companies that have network effects will be able to in some ways generate more value

38:11

because they can iterate 10 times faster while leveraging those network effects to create more

38:16

value for their customers and therefore build more valuable products, charge more money, etc. and

38:21

increase revenue. The companies that don't have network effects are going to struggle very significantly

38:27

because then there's not really a defensible mode in the pure software associated with the products

38:33

that they build. And so to me, that is the litmus test that determines whether this company is going to

38:39

become worthless or whether this company is going to gain dramatic value from their ability to

38:44

10X product velocity. You said we're learning more and more that the models are the product.

38:50

What if I push back and say the go-to-market is the product? When you're selling to law firms,

38:54

it's about being in the room with, you name your biggest law firms, your coolees, your goob winds,

39:00

your widening case, your Clifford chance, building the relationship with the buyer, and then the CS

39:06

and the adoption. And it's actually in the go-to-market, not in the product.

39:10

So I agree with this in part, but the caveat I would give is I think it's arguably more the forward

39:16

deployed motion rather than the go-to-market. And for deployed motion being the post sales, go-to-market

39:22

being the pre-sales because ultimately, say you're just really good at sales and then you provide

39:29

a SaaS product and you have a savvy customer who's spending a million dollars a year on the SaaS

39:34

product and they realize they could just like teleclod to copy it and they'll get the same exact

39:38

thing. It feels very difficult to maintain your pricing power even if you're the best in the world

39:43

at sales. Whereas on the other hand, if you have a great forward deployed motion where you're going

39:49

deep with a customer, you're training the agents based on all of this tacit knowledge within the

39:54

companies so that it understands how to perform effectively, that feels incredibly differentiated

40:01

and hard to recreate. And that's also the reason that we see obviously the labs,

40:05

open-air and in-thropic investing so much in this forward deployed motion. And so I think that

40:10

the Sequoia article that services are the new software resonated a lot in that these software

40:15

modes are whittling away. And it's the ability to layer services on top of software to meet the

40:20

customer where they're at and go the last mile. That is creating stronger defensibility.

40:26

You buy this new sexy category. I mean, Adventure Invest is a wonderful people, but this new

40:31

sexy category, but AI-enabled services is the future gold mine. I think in a large way I do.

40:39

I think the key thing is that you need to make sure that they're actually going to leverage AI.

40:47

Like, I think there are a lot of companies that are just building services and not gaining a

40:53

significant competitive advantage from AI and using that. That's the thing you've got to be

40:57

careful about, but I think it's very rational. Like, I'll give an example in the context of Mercourt,

41:01

which is that we within this process of turning human time from the talent network into building

41:08

these super rich environments that mere everything that people could do in their jobs. There is a lot

41:14

of human coordination of how do we answer people's questions, how do we track the KPIs of the project

41:20

and manage it effectively? How do we build the bespoke tooling for that project? We have about

41:27

100 people, or called 150 people in our delivery organization that do that for deployed work of

41:34

helping to go the last mile for the customer. Now we have an AI project manager that just completed

41:40

its first project managing that entire thing end to end, where it's able to hire the experts. It's

41:46

able to answer their questions. It's able to build the annotation tool using its coding tools

41:51

within our platform and produce the end data type. The experts all had a really good experience on the

41:57

project reporting to the AI project manager that was running it. I think we're seeing in a real time

42:03

that services are getting automated, and that that is going to be this extraordinary transformation

42:11

in the economy. One thing that powers obviously the agents that we use is the tokens that power them.

42:16

And I thought the whole point was that we have increased token efficiency and token costs come down.

42:22

Token costs are rising for everyone. How do we understand how you see token costs changing in the

42:28

next six to 18 months and why that is? Well, it's a faster-in-case study in Javan's paradox.

42:34

So, we were talking about in the context of making humans more efficient leading to more jobs,

42:40

when we make models improved by 10x year-over-year that has just been causing the total consumption

42:48

of the models to go up and up and up as the costs per performance go down. I think insofar as how it's

42:55

going to develop is that this trend is going to continue very, very significantly before we start seeing

43:02

any leveling off of token consumption within the enterprise. Right now, we're spending more on tokens

43:09

for our internal agents than we are on employee headcount. And I think most businesses are going to

43:14

look like that. Were you spending more on tokens for agents than you on headcount? Exactly.

43:19

Your token spend on agents is more than salaries. That's correct. It's pretty incredible. And so,

43:25

the way we manage it is that we have a variety of these key workflows throughout the company where we have

43:30

an AI project manager as I was describing that manages operations. We have our interview question

43:37

agent that where we've done over five million interviews and asked all the questions in the interviews.

43:42

We have our interview ranking or the broader candidate ranking where it helps to assess all

43:47

the candidates and figure out who we should be hiring. We have agents for accounting automation,

43:52

we have agents for fraud detection, etc. And corresponding to each of these agents, we have an

43:58

e-vail that tells us which model is best to use for this given use case and what is the

44:03

prediffrent tier of price performance for that specific use case. And that e-vail allows us to make

44:09

the decisions around where should we be allocating our inference spend, what provider should we be using,

44:14

etc. And I believe that over time, this is going to develop to look very similar across every

44:21

Fortune 500 where they'll need to have this system of record for evaluating and specifying agent

44:27

behavior across every workflow in their business. And they're going to use that to commoditize the model

44:33

layer because they want to enable perfect competition for the models having zero switching costs.

44:38

And so we've been growing extremely quickly with the enterprise and helping them to populate

44:43

the system of record and building out those e-vails for each of the use cases that they have throughout

44:48

their business. Do you think you will see that commoditization at the model layer whereby enterprise

44:52

clients are able to really efficiently package the workflows that they do so it does commoditize

44:58

the model layer? Because right now it's not commoditized quite. Yeah. So I think the key

45:02

distinction is that I think the API layer will get commoditized. You can definitely build stickiness

45:11

and workflows that people have on top of those APIs. Like for example, I have all of these routines

45:17

running in cloud code and I feel like it would probably be difficult or at least wouldn't put in the

45:22

time to move those routines over. And I have a bunch of similar things running in chat CBT. So I think

45:28

that there's going to be various ways that people can build stickiness. But for pure API based

45:33

products where it's like if we are just spending $10 million a year on a specific workflow,

45:38

obviously we're going to have an e-vail for that. And every time a new model comes out we're going

45:42

to benchmark that and understand exactly how we should be hot swapping between models and distilling

45:46

models. Why does the API layer get commoditized? Because the switching costs are zero. Like when the

45:52

switching costs are zero, that means that and there's a new frontier model every two months. That

45:58

means that we very quickly are going to swap them out. And ultimately the decisions that we make boil

46:06

down to the score on the e-vail corresponding to that workflow. And so it's very easy to compare

46:14

model to model one for one in a perfectly like hot swappable way, which is almost the definition

46:22

of a commodity. I'm still reeling from your token spend with agents more than headcount. Because

46:27

actually not many of them, they spend 300 million on anthropic, which seem like a lot of money. But

46:33

actually when you bait it down, it worked out to be about 3.8% of developer salaries is being spent on

46:39

anthropic, which actually is much less than one would think. What do you think that is in

46:45

24 months time? First sales force. Yeah. I think I don't know about 24 months time, but I would bet

46:53

that in five years the average enterprise spends more on compute than headcount. And the reason for that

47:00

is that the models are just becoming so capable that it seems like there's just enormous ROI to being able

47:08

to have models do something for 100k a year that is going to continue compounding at an exponential

47:17

rate in a way that human intelligence is not going to. And so humans will still play an important

47:22

role at the things models can't do. But I expect that cost of inference, cost of compute will exceed

47:28

that. The reason that that's so interesting to me is that having an e-vail for your specific workflow,

47:35

like say we take the case of sales force having an e-vail for how good is a specific model at

47:40

code generation in their use case is often a 10x lever on the price performance of that model.

47:47

Because they can distill the model, they can have an open source model that is performing as well

47:54

if not better for a dramatically lower cost. And so as we see this enormous shift towards compute and

48:02

significant inference spend across every workflow in the enterprise, they are going to need to have

48:08

e-vails that act as a source of truth for whether those workflows are being done correctly

48:14

and whether they're using the right work, rather than using the right models to accomplish that.

48:18

With the greatest of respect, e-vails today not relatively unhelpful. It's like how good a you at driving

48:27

around the corner for the driving test in a very specific way, but actually that's not how it works in

48:31

real world and it's actually not very practical. That's exactly the problem right is that we used to

48:36

have this paradigm of all of the academic benchmarks that were totally disconnected from the outcomes

48:42

that enterprises actually care about, where people were building everything ranging from GPQA for

48:48

PhD level reasoning to IMO for Olympiad Math to humanities last exam for this long tail of academic

48:55

problems, no one really cares about. And now they're focused on how do we get the model to do this

49:01

end-to-end workflow coordinating with multiple colleagues for a financial model or a slide deck like we

49:06

were discussing, how do we get the model to build an entire SaaS application end-to-end? And that's why

49:13

there's this enormous build out in pushing the frontier of evaluation as a critical research problem

49:21

for the next frontier of model development. Okay, next frontier of model development. If I listened

49:26

to everything that you just said, I would draw two conclusions. One, we should just invest all of our

49:31

money into open AI and anthropic and then the realization dawned on me that the majority of

49:36

startups and you can shoot me down, again, shoot me down, is the majority of startups stay especially on

49:41

the West Coast use frontier models to see where they can go and how far they can push them. And then

49:46

they use open source often Chinese models to get as close to that as possible at a much better cost

49:52

basis in which case, open AI and anthropic are inherently challenged by that much more cost-efficient

49:59

open source model right or wrong. I think both are true. Like, there's going to be many

50:05

orders of magnitude more demand in five years than there are today, maybe four or five orders of

50:10

magnitude more demand, but there's also going to be increased competition with people just distilling

50:16

and having fine-tuned open source models that accomplished their workflows.

50:20

Ultimately, I think open AI and anthropic are incredible investments and it seems like they're

50:25

starting to be consensus around that. It a way that there wasn't just a couple of years ago,

50:31

but at the same time, I think that majority of inference in five years is going to be using

50:39

a open source or custom fine-tuned or distilled model, not using a frontier model.

50:46

Okay, interesting. You said that obviously incredible investments. Where will they be in five years

50:53

time? Valuation wise. That's on. Valuation wise. Valuation wise. If we put them both at a trillion

51:00

state, it will take. Yeah, this is hard to imagine. This is one I'll play back two and five years

51:05

more. We'll both lay back. Either we were very prescient or just completely wrong.

51:10

I could definitely see one of them being a $10 trillion company, maybe even significantly higher.

51:17

It feels like the opportunity associated with being the frontier model is so large that it will

51:26

just eat up so much of the other demand within the economy because that also means that when you

51:31

have the frontier model, you can use that as a teacher model to steal your own models, to have the

51:36

best small models, etc. I would guess at least one of them is worth more than $10 trillion.

51:43

My next assumption was when you talk about orders of magnitude more, when you talk about spending

51:48

more on compute than you will on salaries, why didn't we just put all of our money in Nvidia?

51:54

I know it sounds supercilious and glib. I think it's not a crazy idea. Nvidia is obviously a phenomenal

52:00

business that will continue to execute super well. The only caveat is that it feels like we're starting

52:08

to move towards a multi-chip future where obviously Srebrus is executing well. I'm good friends with

52:15

the etch guys. Most of the labs are building in house chips. I would guess that in five years,

52:22

it doesn't feel like Nvidia has quite the same monopoly, but that's okay because even if they only have

52:27

30 or 40% market share in the largest market in the world by far, that is the world's most valuable

52:34

company. Speaking of the world's most valuable company, you were seeing this concentration of value

52:38

towards the top eight names more than ever before. 84% of the year-to-date rally was driven by the top

52:44

10 names. Do you worry about the concentration of value to such a small number of players?

52:50

Maybe to some extent, I worry about how do we smooth out the benefits to society? How do we ensure

52:59

that every enterprise and every individual is able to reap the full benefits of AI rather than

53:06

just a handful of people in San Francisco? Ultimately, I also think that there is some natural dynamic

53:14

associated with capital allocation where it is going to be more valuable to give the compute to

53:20

an anthropic where they have the marginal demand and can use that right away versus a less successful

53:28

company that might not be able to create the most value with that. I think that it's probably good

53:33

from a capital allocation and efficiency standpoint. Long as we are able to manage the societal

53:39

implications of increasing inequality. As speaking of increasing inequality, you wrote an essay

53:46

about, and this is taking from your Twitter, how we should eliminate income tax with the bottom

53:51

half of the Americans. Talk to me about that. Well, I believe this very strongly. I actually wrote

53:56

this essay as a research paper when I was a freshman in college. It was one of the few productive

54:01

things I did in college. Essentially, the thesis of this was that the largest positive externality

54:10

in the economy is jobs. People talk about all these economic theory of how we have negative

54:16

externalities like carbon or smoking or whatever it is. We should tax those. But on one hand,

54:22

the largest positive externality is jobs. Yet on the other hand, the way that most economies

54:28

structurally collect income is by disincentivizing jobs, both on the income tax side by taxing the

54:34

individuals as well as on the payroll tax side of taxing the companies. As we move towards a world

54:41

where there is increased job displacement, increased uncertainty around how many jobs are they're

54:46

going to be especially for the bottom half of Americans, I think that this is going to become extremely

54:53

problematic. I would suggest that we move towards a paradigm where we instead focus on taxes of

55:00

things that aren't necessarily going to have a negative impact on incentives in the economy. One

55:06

great example is capital gains, where I'm going to invest money in assets regardless. If there's

55:14

higher capital gains tax, it's not like I'm just going to not invest. I think that taxing capital

55:21

gains, especially short-term capital gains, which I think is probably not as beneficial for the

55:25

economy as long-term capital gains, would probably be structurally much better off than taxing income

55:32

with the greatest of respects. If you increase the tax on capital gains, you will disincentivise those

55:38

investors to take risk. Why the fuck should I pay more? I'm already taking a risk. I'm already

55:44

investing in innovation when other people won't, when banks won't, when all the data tells me not. Now you

55:49

want to tax me more for doing that, for taking the risk. Of course, you will disincentivise investment.

55:55

The thing is when investors are taking very high risks, it's generally in an aggregated way

56:01

in a portfolio. You would tax the gains on the portfolio overall. Even if you have a portfolio of

56:07

like, I know that you don't like to hear the capital gains tax, Harry, but... No, no, no, no, I think I say

56:14

this with the nicest respect. It's just wrong because you just move. I agree that the main thing you

56:22

need to be careful about is if people would move to other geographies because obviously that

56:28

creates problems. But I think the capital gains is one option. I'm so sorry to be addicted and you

56:33

can say with draw, that creates problems. Yeah, that's kind of the whole point. You fuck off to

56:40

somewhere that doesn't have capital gains and then you lose all the tax revenue completely.

56:45

I want, sorry, forgive me, we live in the UK where there's the green party, which is this

56:50

idealist movement. It's like, oh, increased. Oh yeah, then we leave and then you have nothing.

56:55

I agree. I think that there needs to be sensitivity analysis associated with how does the increased

57:02

amount of taxation cause people to just leave and reduce overall government revenue. But I think that

57:07

another way of going about it is also taxing consumption of items that probably aren't the best.

57:12

It's crazy to me that instead of taxing carbon, we tax the bottom half of Americans. Why don't we

57:19

tax carbon? That's a very clear negative externality in the economy, at least in the US, that's not taxed.

57:26

And so I feel like there is a lot of low-hanging fruit with respect to things that we could tax without

57:33

damaging incentives in a perverse way or causing people to flee the country that would be far

57:40

better than taxing the bottom half of Americans. And the other thing is that it's only 3% of government

57:44

revenue. Like the fact that it's only 3%, feels like it's a very easy decision for policymakers to

57:52

make and the grand scheme of the impact that it would have on people. But would you tax prediction

57:58

marketplaces? It's gambling. I probably would. There's probably some value of having good prediction

58:05

marketplaces for allowing people to have effective predictions of the future and hedge things within

58:11

their lives and investment portfolios. But it's likely okay to tax. The thing on that point of

58:18

around taxing the bottom 50% is Jeff Bezos retweeted me, which I was ecstatic about. It's pretty cool.

58:25

It was pretty great. Who's the coolest person you've met? I really like Jensen and I really like

58:31

Satya. I mean so many incredible people. Obviously Dario and Sam are incredible. But if I had to choose

58:39

one person, I mean Jensen's so cool. The jacket is style. He's always on point. So I would say Jensen

58:46

is probably one of the coolest. The fascinating one I would love to ask you and you shouldn't give

58:51

the answers to this. But I think this and people of us that have been reports right how to answer

58:56

is who did you think would be amazing? Who was surprisingly underwhelming? I don't answer that.

59:01

I get it. So that would be a really good one. It is an interesting question. I have met a couple

59:05

of you. You're like, wow, that gives me confidence that I can do that too. Actually, I will say this one

59:11

thing, which is that I remember when I went to Georgetown, I didn't get into Harvard and I was like,

59:18

wow, the people at Harvard are probably dramatically smarter than me. I went to this

59:23

nonprofit called Praud, where it was a bunch of kids from Harvard and MIT that were all building

59:30

startups. They're very smart. Don't get me wrong. But I do think that most of us have this very

59:38

equalizing feeling, that majority of people that accomplish extraordinary things. When you spend

59:44

more time with them, you realize that they're just a normal person to a significant, not all of them,

59:49

but most of them, to a significant extent. I think that makes you feel like when I saw

59:56

Ethan Thornton from mock raising $70 million as a 19-year-old. I'm like, wait, Ethan is like a chill guy

1:00:04

and a good friend. Maybe I could do something like that one day. It just gives you the sense of being

1:00:10

able to accomplish so much more. It's so interesting you said that that kind of dispersion effect

1:00:15

from seeing your friends achieve. I think it's one thing it's how'd Europe back in many ways.

1:00:20

You work with some of the largest model providers in the world. How do you feel about Europe's

1:00:25

inability to compete, slash, provide leading models to the world? When you look at the benchmarks,

1:00:30

a Mistral might make an entry at 72. It's like the Eurovision Song Contest. I love it. I'm very

1:00:39

proud of it as you, but, shit, we haven't delivered on the model side. Does Europe improve that?

1:00:44

Does that matter? I think that it's going to be difficult to change because there's just so many strong

1:00:50

network effects around talent, right? When we have the best talent, even I know so many brilliant

1:00:57

friend researchers that go to work at OpenAI and Robbick and DeepMide, right? Because when we have the

1:01:02

best talent at those labs, that's where they all aggregate and then that compounds to them having

1:01:07

more capital, more compute, more impact, et cetera. I expect that to continue and to be one of the

1:01:15

largest, not only economic but geopolitical advantages that the US has. If you were Europe today,

1:01:22

do you just go, you know what, sort it? We've lost that model race, but we can't still be a dominant

1:01:26

energy provider if you're Norway where I'm from. Actually, we do pretty well on Norway providing energy.

1:01:32

Is that what do we just accept that? I would accept that. I think that maybe it's worth having

1:01:38

some post training capabilities because there is going to be value to distillation and some of the work

1:01:42

that happens after foundation models are built. There's definitely going to be some value in

1:01:48

applications, but I don't know if I would lean aggressively into how do we compete, how to

1:01:56

do we compete with the US? Do you buy the sovereignty argument of we need sovereign models because we

1:02:00

don't want our data going to US or China or whatever that is? Maybe in some cases, there is value in

1:02:08

localization. I'll give an example, which is that oftentimes labs will come to us and say they

1:02:14

need their models, not just to be good at American law, but also to be good at British law or good at

1:02:20

French law or whatever the jurisdiction is in the world. I think that that is going to be an

1:02:27

important last mile in making the models useful and whatever jurisdiction that they're operating in.

1:02:32

That said, the labs are just going to hire 10,000 people in France to teach the models how to be

1:02:39

better at French law. I don't think that there is so much that others are going to be able to do to stop

1:02:44

that because the transfer learning capabilities from all of the other domains that they're focusing on

1:02:50

are just so powerful. When you say behind 10,000 people, the thing that's just astonishing is the wave

1:02:55

of cash. For me, I'm sure it opened out as the same, but I've seen it specifically with Anthropic.

1:03:00

I mean, insane levels of comp. How do you compete against that? It's definitely one of the things

1:03:07

that's most top of mind, in particular because the markets for people founding companies are so hot,

1:03:14

we've had three employees that have founded companies worth an excess of $100 million.

1:03:21

I assume you would choose when you do the McCormack theater. Exactly. We're a very young company.

1:03:28

I think that it's difficult for a variety of reasons. A lot of people probably don't have a full

1:03:34

understanding of just how hard it is to build a company as you know, well, Harry. How low the

1:03:42

probability of success is and how fortunate we were and how lucky we got along the way.

1:03:48

So I think that that's definitely one of the large challenges. Even like there was someone

1:03:54

who's hiring the other day and he had an offer for $20 million in cash per year from TBD. That's

1:04:00

the kind of stuff we run into on a regular basis. TBD met as a super intelligence group. 20 million in cash per

1:04:08

year or it's in stock, but liquid as hot to compete against. It's hard to compete against. Yeah.

1:04:16

Does that change? Does that just continue to escalate? So I think that it'll probably continue to

1:04:23

escalate for the people, for a smaller group of people. But I also suspect that as more people gain

1:04:31

knowledge of how these labs operate and what the capabilities of how to train a frontier

1:04:38

model, that means that there's going to be more supply in the market for people that have

1:04:43

that skill set and thus a little bit more reasonable pricing. So I expect there to be some craziness

1:04:51

that continues. But hopefully, sort of the 99th percent, all at least, within the market will bounce

1:04:58

itself out. What is the hardest role to have for today? Researchers. Just because of supply.

1:05:04

Because of supply and demand, it's just this market where there's 10 times more demand than

1:05:09

there is supply and that makes it very difficult. We've been building out an incredibly strong

1:05:15

research team like Edward who the first author on lawyer on Laura who was previously at OpenAI is

1:05:23

working with us in a bunch of other top researchers. But the market is definitely getting very hot.

1:05:29

How much does it cost to hire a quite quality air researcher? Oftentimes it would

1:05:34

be in the tens of millions of stock per year. For the really good people. I remember when

1:05:41

researchers weren't paid very much. It's like 10, 15 years ago. They were like underpaid but brilliant

1:05:45

people in society. Now I feel like that's totally changed. Is it a harder than ever to run the

1:05:52

company? I don't think so. Like to give a frame of reference, we were 40 people and 50 million in

1:06:02

revenue run rate last year. Since then, we've seven or eight X had count and we've increased the

1:06:11

broader scale of the business by 25, 30X. It's definitely been very stressful to keep up with the

1:06:19

growth along the way. But I think that now we have the supporting functions. We have not really

1:06:28

charged. We have finance and we have legal and we're building out HR. In that, bring some sense

1:06:34

of stability where I don't have to deal with all of these little escalations. I'm able to just spend

1:06:40

my time focusing on building great products, research and time with customers and that I think has made

1:06:48

it easier, significantly easier around the business. I get in a lot of shit for everything. I say these

1:06:52

days, which is wonderful. My team just go, oh no, hi. The job is I don't deliberately rage bait but people

1:06:57

just hate me. It's just the worst thing. But HR, I tweeted after a show with Adam and Abloven,

1:07:07

no great CEO that I've met and it's true. Loves HR. They slow you down, implement policy and

1:07:13

procedure and it's just pain. Do you agree with me? The caveat I'll give is that I think it's really

1:07:19

important. We definitely had challenges and skill and culture when we went from 40 people to

1:07:28

400 people. How does that show up? Extremely quickly. Well, it's so many things ranging from making sure

1:07:35

that we keep a really high talent bar to making sure that people are bought into the mission of the

1:07:40

company to even the tactical things of making sure that managers are communicating to their team

1:07:47

about their performance review and how they're doing so that they're never surprised by performance

1:07:51

review. When we have a young team with a lot of first-time managers that just creates

1:07:57

culture challenges of people that aren't used to giving feedback and maintaining all of the values

1:08:04

and commitment to the mission of the team. I think that to some extent, I agree and I think that

1:08:09

some of the big tech companies probably go too far on empowering HR but I also think that it's

1:08:15

important in one of the large lessons we've had over the last 18 months or so is that it's critical

1:08:20

to really get these foundations in place as you scale headcount otherwise it creates problems. Culture

1:08:26

challenges. Before the show we said that after the show with Adarsh, a couple of people thought that

1:08:31

like 996 was the way that like McCore is run and it's like clock in, clock out. Why is that not true

1:08:40

and how do you think about that? So the reason it's not true is that we've never mandated hours at the

1:08:46

company and obviously I work extremely hard. Adarsh works extremely hard. We work from when we wake

1:08:53

up until we sleep pretty much all the time aside from like maybe working out but I'm still thinking

1:08:58

about working during that time and most of our leadership team of course does as well but at the same

1:09:04

time majority of my leadership team has kids and we want them to be able to like go home and see their

1:09:10

families and all that and so I think that it's some combination of knowing that building a legendary

1:09:17

company requires immense dedication to the mission of the business while also recognizing that

1:09:24

we need to ensure that it's a sustainable environment for the best people in the world to do their

1:09:30

life's work. Are you ready for a quick far out? Of course. Would you like to go public? Definitely. When?

1:09:37

In the next few years I think that all legendary companies eventually go public and so it's an

1:09:43

important part of the journey and maturing and having a much larger company than we have today but

1:09:50

I think that it's not something we're rushing to do this year or next year in part because

1:09:57

we dropped out of college less than three years ago at this point and it's still a very young

1:10:03

business where we want to make sure that we properly actualize everything that we're working on on

1:10:10

the enterprise side especially before going public. Don't laugh. Do you have a light lie in bed at

1:10:14

night and just go like wow it's pretty wild. I'm always pinching myself and I feel extremely grateful for

1:10:23

the team and a darsh and Suria and how all of them made it possible because I could have imagined

1:10:30

100 things that would have gone differently and we'd been a totally different circumstance.

1:10:35

What if you changed your mind on the last 12 months? I used to have some questions around whether the

1:10:42

foundation model labs would be the largest businesses in the world because of the exact things you

1:10:49

asked about in the context of how much those models are going to be able to maintain pricing power

1:10:57

amidst a competitive environment but I think that as we've seen the sheer revenue ramp of these

1:11:05

businesses I've gained immense conviction that they will be the most valuable companies in the world.

1:11:11

You can invest in OpenAI or Anthropic which one? Oh I can't respond to that. I would choose that.

1:11:19

Who do you not have as an investor in the company yet that you have most like to have?

1:11:24

I really admire Jeff Bezos. I think he's so disciplined about the culture of Amazon. That's one of

1:11:31

the things that's always stuck with me. Everyone there just understands the values and

1:11:38

is staring in the same direction as such a strategic business leader. I've never met him but I've

1:11:44

always wanted to. Which competitive do you most respect? I admire that Edwin from Surge has done a

1:11:53

really good job in staying super close to research and it's something that we've obviously been doing

1:12:02

a lot of as well but I think that's probably one of the largest things that differentiates both us

1:12:09

in Surge is our ability to train models to hire some of us researchers in the world and I

1:12:16

admire them for execution on that front. What percent of data providers are just respectfully

1:12:23

transactional talent marketplaces? In terms of volume or number of competitors? Number of competitors.

1:12:31

About half. Half? Yeah. What would you most like to change about your role today? I would say that

1:12:38

there's a decent amount of HR things that get escalated to me and so we're looking for a really strong

1:12:44

head of people that is able to handle a lot of this. Final one for you dude. What's the kind of thing

1:12:51

that anyone's ever done for you? One that really stuck with me is I remember and I'll probably

1:12:58

attribute this to the entire prod community namely especially a couple of people like Rob Walken,

1:13:05

Ben Spector and Richard DeHon but prod was this nonprofit that got started at MIT in Harvard and I

1:13:11

was sort of a blow in because I didn't get into those schools but I went to Georgetown and for the first

1:13:16

year of the business. They would meet with us every week. Ben became a big customer, Richard would

1:13:22

give us tons of money just as to float working capital and Rob gave incredibly valuable advice

1:13:30

and they had nothing in it for them. They took no equity. I tried to give them equity and they

1:13:36

wouldn't accept it and more core wouldn't exist if it weren't for any of those individuals I would say.

1:13:44

And I think that that is something that I'll always be grateful for for the rest of my life.

1:13:50

Dude I have to say I loved having you on the show last time. It was incredible to do this in person.

1:13:55

I'm so thrilled with how this conversation went and you've been amazing. Thanks so much for having me

1:14:00

Harry. Always great to come back.

Continue with YouTLDR

Analyze another video with Pro

Process a new video, search every timestamp, compare sources, and keep the result in your library.

Get Pro — $12/month30-day money-back guarantee

More transcripts

Explore other videos transcribed with YouTLDR.