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【nisa おすすめ】50代から新NISAはどれが正解?人気5指数をデータで徹底比較

38:24EnglishTranscribed Jul 20, 2026
0:00

If you want to increase your assets through a small difference in the number of people, this high-

0:02

return, low-risk product is the best option. By

0:05

understanding each one in detail, you'll be able to

0:11

accurately identify the investment that will yield the most returns within your own circumstances.

0:13

Hello. I'm

0:14

Yutaka, a financial planner with 10 years of experience in investing. You often see

0:16

these five stocks mentioned when watching videos about NIS or asset management, right?

0:19

However, with people saying things like "Hang

0:22

Plus is the best" or "All-in-One S&P500 is the only

0:25

choice," there's a lot of conflicting

0:28

information out there, and I'm sure many people are wondering which one is actually the best

0:31

. In conclusion, if you

0:34

understand the contents and characteristics of each product, you will be able to choose the product that best suits your needs

0:38

without making a mistake

0:42

. This is because,

0:44

in investing, what's important isn't just which product you choose,

0:47

but ultimately how long you can hold onto it

0:50

. No matter

0:53

how excellent a stock may seem, if you buy it without knowing what's inside, you'll

0:59

inevitably panic and sell it off when the market crashes. To prevent

1:02

that from happening, the most

1:05

important thing is whether you can truly commit to it and stick with it. So

1:08

today, I will explain each of these five points in detail, and

1:16

thoroughly compare future return simulations, the risk of losing principal, and investment efficiency. This will help you

1:19

confidently choose the perfect watch for yourself,

1:22

so please read to the end

1:24

.

1:28

Okay, so let's start by looking at Japanese stocks

1:30

. Well, Japanese stocks, especially the

1:32

music stock, have been hitting record highs recently and have been in

1:34

the news every day, so I

1:37

think a lot of people are paying attention to them. Actually,

1:39

I also recently bought more Japanese stocks

1:41

. So, the most

1:43

well-known indices for Japanese stocks are the Nikkei

1:45

Average and the TOPIX. I think it's these two

1:48

, but looking at the recent returns, it's been 5 years

1:50

. In that case, the Nikkei 225 is up

1:52

17.4% and the TOPIX

1:54

is up 18.4%, and over 10 years, the Nikkei 225 is up

1:58

14.1% and the

2:00

TOPIX is up 13.8%. So, if you had

2:03

invested 1 million yen 10 years ago, the

2:06

Nikkei 225 would be up 3.73 million yen and the TOPIX would be up

2:09

3.63 million yen. In fact, even with

2:12

this, the current state of Japanese stocks is that they are

2:15

producing higher returns than the mainstream all-around or S&P 500

2:20

. So, while Japanese stocks are attracting a lot of attention

2:22

, to get straight to the point,

2:26

if you're going to make them your main investment, I recommend the TOPIX index

2:28

. The reason for this is that the Nikkei average is sometimes

2:31

said to be a distorted indicator

2:34

. The Nikkei Average, also known as the Nikkei 225

2:38

, is an index calculated based on the stock prices of 225 companies selected by the Nikkei Inc., and is

2:46

called a stock price-weighted index. To

2:49

put it very simply, the system is

2:52

designed to be heavily influenced by stocks with high share prices

2:55

. Some of you might be thinking, "But isn't that a good thing because it sounds like it would be profitable?" However,

3:00

this is where the

3:02

trap lies. Stock prices are

3:04

basically designed to rise when a company's profits increase

3:08

. In other words, when a company

3:11

's profits increase and investors see that this investment is likely to be

3:14

more profitable, they will buy shares. So, as the

3:17

overall value and

3:20

size of the company—which is called its capitalization—increases, the

3:23

stock price also tends to rise. That's how it

3:26

works

3:27

. In other words, if you want to increase your assets through investment, you

3:37

need to invest in companies that are expected to grow their profits and increase their capitalization, rather than companies whose stock prices are currently high

3:40

. In the case of the Nikkei average

3:43

, it is sometimes said to be a distorted indicator because it is easily influenced by companies whose stock prices are currently high

3:49

. The top 10 Japanese companies by total capitalization and the

3:52

top 10 stocks by weighting within the Nikkei 225 index

3:56

. This table shows them side by side

3:58

, and you can see that the facial features are completely different

4:01

. Companies like Mitsubishi UFJ and Sumitomo Mitsui have seen their stock prices rise

4:05

considerably recently due to interest rate hikes, but they are not among the

4:10

top 10 in the Nikkei average. Similarly,

4:13

Murata Policy Research Institute's stock price has grown about fivefold in a year

4:16

, but it is not among the top companies in the Nikkei average

4:21

. Moreover, the Nikkei average is

4:25

comprised of 40% of the total by the top 5 companies, meaning that

4:28

despite its name as an average, it is

4:31

heavily dependent on a select few companies

4:34

. Therefore, instead of simply

4:40

choosing a stock because you often see news about it hitting a new market high, it's

4:46

important to thoroughly understand its contents and characteristics when making long-term investments

4:48

. On the other hand, another

4:51

prime example is topics. This system

4:54

uses a weighted average based on total capitalization

4:57

. In other words, it's an index calculated based on the company's size, value, and capitalization, rather than its stock price

5:03

. In

5:05

simple terms, a capitalization-weighted average is an indicator that balances investments by

5:09

investing heavily in stocks with large capitalizations and only a small amount in

5:12

stocks with small capitalizations

5:15

. Why is the

5:18

capitalization-weighted average superior for music?

5:20

For example, consider a stock market with sales

5:24

of 1 billion yen and a Toyota dealership with sales of 100 billion yen

5:27

. Let's assume there are only these two options.

5:30

Well, a stock market like this is impossible,

5:32

but if both companies' sales increase by 10%

5:35

, the wealth-focused company's sales would increase by 100 million yen, while the focus company's sales would

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increase by 10 billion yen.

5:41

This shows how the impact of capitalization can be

5:44

completely different.

5:46

In other words, the idea behind this capitalization-weighted average is that if you want to capture the growth of the entire Japanese stock market,

5:52

investing heavily in companies with large capitalization, such as Toyota, will allow you to

5:55

capture more of that growth

6:00

. In fact,

6:09

this table shows the top 10 stocks in the Topics ranking and the top 10 stocks in the Self-Capitalization ranking, and I

6:10

think the lineup is pretty much the same

6:13

. So, this company called Ima Kiokusha

6:15

[Music] is growing quite a bit, but due to the

6:17

restrictions on which stocks we can handle

6:20

, it's not yet included in the topics. However, as you can see, the other aspects are quite similar

6:26

. Even if you add this up, it only accounts for

6:29

23% of the total, so it's not strangely biased, and the

6:36

investments are properly balanced according to the total capitalization,

6:38

so it's structured in a way that allows it to capture the growth of Japanese stocks as a whole

6:43

.

6:44

Furthermore, the topics section is currently undergoing a

6:47

significant overhaul, scheduled to run from 2022 to 2028

6:51

. So, the key point is to

6:53

narrow down the number of stocks you're considering.

6:56

For example, the aim is to increase competitiveness by gradually removing companies that do not make efforts to raise their stock prices or

7:00

companies that give a negative impact to the index

7:07

. By 2028, the current 1600 stocks are

7:11

expected to be narrowed down to approximately 1050 stocks. As this happens, the index will consist

7:15

of a much more carefully selected group of companies, which is

7:20

expected to make it a much more favorable index for investors

7:22

.

7:26

Next up is the All Country Global Stock

7:29

Fund, or simply "All Country" for short

7:31

. When it comes to all-country funds, the

7:33

EMAXIS LIVE All Country Global Stock

7:35

Fund is probably the most well-known, but these

7:38

global stock indices are

7:44

investment trusts that track an index called the MSCI All Country World Index

7:46

. Looking at the actual recent returns

7:49

, it's roughly 12% over 5 years and 13.4% over 10 years. So,

7:54

if you had invested 1 million yen 10 years ago, it would now be around

7:57

3.5 million yen

8:00

[music], which

8:02

shows exceptional stability. In conclusion, the Orkan index can be considered the

8:06

most rational investment

8:09

index in any era. To put it

8:11

simply, the reason is that you

8:14

can invest in music by diversifying your investments across stocks all over the world

8:17

. Orkan invests in over 2,500 securities across 47 countries worldwide, including

8:20

23 developed countries and 24 emerging countries

8:24

. This

8:37

index, by simply investing in it, covers the market capitalization of global companies, that is, approximately 85% of the world's most valuable companies.

8:38

In other words, by simply buying this one bottle

8:41

, you can essentially bring the entirety of global economic growth

8:44

into your own pocket

8:46

. For that reason, I've actually

8:49

chosen Orcan as my main investment. So why do I

8:51

trust Orkan?

8:54

The reason is Orkan's

8:57

criteria for selecting the stocks it includes in its portfolio. Because this is extremely good

9:00

. First, they carefully select the countries and regions they control

9:03

.

9:06

For example, countries with underdeveloped stock markets,

9:10

countries with excessively high political risks

9:13

, and countries lacking mechanisms to protect investors' money are

9:17

excluded from investment targets

9:21

. For example, Russia was

9:23

previously included, but was

9:28

removed from the Orkan following the 2022 Ukraine invasion.

9:31

And the second point is that it's a capital-weighted index

9:35

. Similar to TOPIX, it has a

9:41

mechanism that changes the investment ratio according to the total market capitalization. Currently, the United States accounts for

9:43

roughly 65%,

9:46

so it makes up the majority

9:48

. This is simply because American companies have a

9:51

large total market capitalization. Well, for example, it means being able to

9:55

fully capitalize on the growth of companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon

9:57

. And the third feature is that it

10:00

automatically replaces the contents

10:03

. Orkan does

10:06

n't just invest in the same country or company

10:14

indefinitely; it automatically changes its portfolio four times a year, in February, May, August, and November

10:17

. Recently, India has been growing rapidly, so we've seen a trend of

10:20

actively

10:23

hiring companies from there, while conversely, Chinese companies have been performing terribly, so we've seen a

10:29

movement to gradually remove them from our ranks

10:32

. The reason why this is so

10:34

amazing is that, ultimately, the

10:37

country that controls the world

10:40

changes with the times. For example, while

10:43

America is currently the strongest, in 1900

10:46

, Britain was number one on Hatsushima Island

10:49

. Then, gradually, the

10:51

deployment shifted to the United States, but Japan also experienced a period of economic

10:55

boom from 1990 to 2000. At that time, the

10:58

total value was actually the highest. So now it's

11:00

settled down in the US, and as you can see

11:03

, times change, so if you

11:05

invest in just one country, it will

11:07

adjust its contents according to the times

11:10

, so you won't have to make decisions like whether you should buy India now

11:12

, or whether the proportion of the US is

11:14

a little too high

11:20

. Moreover, making the wrong investment decisions can

11:27

lead to significant losses, but with Orkan, you don't have to

11:30

worry about that

11:32

. In other words, once you buy it, you can just sit back with a cup of

11:35

coffee and wait, and it will automatically

11:39

change things in the most efficient way possible. It is because of this [music]

11:41

system that many experts

11:44

and people knowledgeable about investing say, "If you're unsure

11:47

, just buy Orkan," and that is because of this

11:48

system.

11:53

Yes, next up is the S&P 500. Simply put, this is an

11:59

index that allows you to diversify your investments across approximately 500 leading American companies

12:02

. Looking at the recent returns, it's

12:05

about 13% over 5 years and 15.1% over 10 years.

12:10

If you had invested 1 million yen 10 years ago, it would now be

12:13

4.07 million yen, which

12:16

clearly reflects the strong performance of the US market

12:19

. While many people may vaguely know that the S&P

12:21

500

12:24

invests in the top 500 American companies, I

12:31

think there are quite a few who don't really understand what it's all about. So, let's take a closer look

12:33

.

12:35

First and foremost, its most distinctive feature is that it is designed to effectively capture the growth of the entire American economy

12:42

. Actually, the S&P 500 is

12:49

not simply an index that selects the top 500 largest American companies.

12:52

So how are they selected? They are

12:58

selected based on the sector ratios of all American companies.

13:01

Simply put, a sector refers to the type of business a company operates in

13:04

. For example, Apple and

13:06

Microsoft are in the field of information technology. For example,

13:09

Amazon sells general consumer goods,

13:11

while McDonald's sells food and beverages.

13:14

For example, if

13:17

information technology companies make

13:21

up 30% of all 3,000 American companies, the S&P 500 will similarly include

13:24

30% of those companies

13:27

. So, what's so

13:30

good about this? Simply put, it allows you to

13:33

fully capitalize on the growth of industries that are strong in that particular era

13:36

. For example, here's a look at the top 10 stocks of the S&P 500. The

13:39

left side shows the

13:45

ratio as of the end of May 2026, and this side shows the ratio as of 2015

13:49

. Currently, AI-related

13:52

stocks, as well as IT companies like Apple and

13:54

Microsoft, are

13:57

strong, and these stocks are performing very well

13:59

, creating a system that allows investors to capitalize on their growth

14:02

. On the other hand, in 2015,

14:05

financial companies were quite strong

14:07

. For that reason, the system is structured in such a

14:09

way that financial companies are firmly integrated

14:12

, and the growth of these financial institutions can also be

14:14

incorporated

14:17

. In other words, companies in industries that are strong in that era are

14:20

firmly incorporated, making it

14:22

easier to reap the benefits of their growth

14:25

. The second characteristic is that they have strict hiring standards

14:29

. There are several criteria for hiring

14:32

, but the main ones are that the company has a

14:35

large total capitalization, a

14:38

large number of shares that are easily traded on the market, and that it has been

14:42

generating solid profits recently. These three are its

14:45

main features. Specifically, the market capitalization is

14:50

over $22.7 billion, which translates to roughly 3.4 trillion yen

14:54

. To give you an idea of ​​just how big this is

14:57

, it's said that there are only about 70 companies in Japan with a market capitalization of 3.4 trillion yen

15:03

. By

15:06

focusing on such large companies, high-risk companies like venture companies, which can

15:09

grow incredibly fast when things go well but can also go bankrupt when things go badly, are essentially

15:17

excluded. However, just because a

15:19

company is large doesn't necessarily mean it's

15:22

safe, so another

15:33

hiring criterion is whether they are consistently generating profits, specifically during the sales period, which is roughly one year

15:36

. In short, to put it simply, they are already

15:38

generating profits above a certain scale. Well

15:41

, that's exactly it. Only the most prestigious companies are carefully selecting [music] talent, as they have good looks, can do sports

15:43

, and are good at studying

15:47

. However, there is one

15:49

point to note about the S&P 500, and that is that there was a

15:56

possibility that the inclusion criteria for the S&P 500 could change

15:59

. So, I've brought this article from the Nikkei Shimbun as a quote

16:01

, and it says that the S&P

16:03

500 only selects companies that are in the black,

16:06

but there have been

16:11

suggestions to make an exception and allow companies that are in the red to be included as well. The reason for this is that

16:13

companies with growth potential are often

16:19

those that are currently accumulating significant losses while investing heavily in equipment

16:22

. However, the S&P 500 only includes profitable companies

16:25

, so it has a structure that inherently misses out on the growth of companies that have the potential for growth

16:31

. Well, to use a

16:33

baseball analogy, the S&P 500 is like the

16:35

Giants, where they develop their own players, but rather they

16:41

acquire players who have already produced results from other teams, and then the goal is to

16:44

achieve a certain level of performance.

16:46

Personally, I was against including these loss-making companies, because the

16:51

S&P 500 has been able to

16:57

consistently achieve a certain level of performance up until now precisely because of these strict inclusion criteria

17:00

. In fact, as it says here, they were

17:02

soliciting opinions from market participants, and it seems that the decision to postpone

17:05

it was made in June.

17:08

However, I

17:17

think there is still a possibility that the criteria for inclusion in the index may change in the future, so I would like people who are investing in the S&P

17:20

500 or have already invested in it to pay

17:25

attention to the criteria for inclusion in the index going forward

17:30

. Up to this point, we've been

17:32

talking about the differences between the Orcan and S&P 500 in music

17:34

, and whenever I talk about these things, I'm

17:36

always asked which is better, the Orcan or the S&P

17:39

500. So

17:41

, here's a video that explains the differences between the Orcan and the S&P 500 in

17:43

more detail. We've

17:46

reached a conclusion here, so please check the description box for more details

17:51

.

17:54

Next, let's talk about the NA DA100, which has been attracting a lot of attention recently

17:56

. The

17:59

NASA100 is an index that selects the top 100 companies by market capitalization

18:01

among companies listed on the NASA stock exchange in the United States

18:06

. The most recent returns are as

18:09

follows: 16.9% in 5 years and

18:12

20.5% in 10 years. So,

18:15

if you had invested 1 million yen 10

18:17

years ago, it would have grown to a whopping

18:20

6.47 million yen. The

18:22

S&P 500 seems rather

18:24

cute in comparison; it's growing so fast it's almost exciting

18:27

. So, why are the

18:28

returns so high? It's simply because this index is a

18:30

more specialized version of the S&P 500

18:33

. So, I actually lined up the

18:35

top 10 stocks from the S&P 500 and the NSDA 100

18:37

, and the lineup is exactly the same

18:40

. But the composition ratio is different.

18:44

So, basically, I'm going to focus my investments more on the indices that the S&P 500 is leading

18:50

. One of the defining characteristics of the NASDA 100 is that it

18:53

focuses specifically on IT and information technology companies, and does not

18:57

invest in financial companies. In

19:00

today's world,

19:03

these kinds of stocks are experiencing explosive growth, which means that the

19:06

NASDA is

19:09

growing incredibly fast. And another key

19:11

feature of the NASDA100 is that even

19:14

companies operating at a loss adopt it

19:17

. Well, as I explained earlier when discussing the S&P 500

19:20

, the system is designed to capture the

19:22

growth of companies that are rapidly growing while accumulating massive losses

19:27

. And a prime example of this is

19:29

Elon Musk's Tesla

19:31

. Tesla was in the red from its IPO

19:34

until around 2020. So

19:37

, Tesla was selected for NASA100 around

19:39

2013, right around here

19:42

. Tesla experienced rapid growth from that point onward

19:45

, and in the case of NASDA100, we were able to

19:48

capture 50 times this growth of Tesla

19:51

. However, the S&P 500 does not include companies that are operating at a loss, so it was

19:55

around 2021 that it was

19:58

included. This means that it could only

20:00

capture 15 times Tesla's growth

20:04

. Well, after hearing all this

20:05

, it seems like the N&P 500 is definitely better than the N&P 500

20:08

. You might think this way, and the

20:13

returns are certainly very attractive, but the fact is, the

20:15

risks are also higher

20:18

. For example, I'd like you to look at this: the

20:20

recovery period after the decline of NASA100.

20:23

NSA100

20:29

plummeted by about 80% between 1999 and 2000 due to the IT bubble collapse

20:32

. Well, since I've focused specifically on IT and information technology

20:35

, I guess that means I've been quite influenced by it

20:37

. It

20:39

took 15 years and 1 month for him to recover from that

20:43

. Therefore, while it's possible to generate sharp returns, the

20:45

opposite is also true: the risks are also

20:48

higher. This means that

20:50

people in their 50s, in particular, need to be very cautious when investing

20:55

.

20:59

Next up, the fifth one, is the Fang Plus, which is even more extreme than the N-Sud 100

21:01

.

21:04

Fang Plus is probably getting a lot of attention right now because it gives off the vibe that if you just buy this, you can become a sender

21:08

.

21:10

The reason is that FangPlus's growth in

21:13

the last 5 years [music] was 30.9%, and in the

21:16

last 10 years. This backtesting is based on the

21:24

assumption that, since Fungus Plus only has 8 years of data, we would have invested for 10 years.

21:26

So, if you had invested over the past 10 years, that would be a

21:28

34% return

21:30

, and if you had invested 1 million yen 10 years ago, it would now be

21:32

18.9 million yen—a simple

21:35

one-dimensional figure. So, what exactly is this one-dimensional

21:38

Fang Plus? Well, it's

21:40

this

21:42

. FANG is an acronym for Facebook,

21:45

Amazon, Netflix, and

21:46

Google, with the "

21:49

plus" part representing six companies.

21:51

Currently, the stock is comprised of these 10 companies: Apple, Microsoft,

21:53

Nvidia, Micron,

21:55

Palantir, and Broadcom

21:58

. Well

22:00

, looking at it this way, it seems like a

22:03

10-point individual stock index is the best option, and I

22:09

personally think that calling this an index is a bit of a stretch. So, to

22:11

put it simply, while the US market has roughly

22:14

3,000 stocks with a total market capitalization of 97 trillion yen

22:18

, FangPlus

22:20

accounts for roughly 3,000 trillion yen. So

22:25

, the idea is that it would be far more efficient to focus investments solely on these super-major big tech companies in the US market. That's the kind of

22:29

indicator it's become

22:31

. And another key

22:33

feature of the Fan Class is that it's based on an

22:36

average of 10 companies, etc. So, the strategy is to

22:38

invest 10% equally in each of these 10 companies

22:42

.

22:44

Looking at it this way, you might think that 10% is a huge difference, but

22:49

stock prices are bound to fluctuate, so even if you

22:52

invest 10% each time, the number of

22:55

companies that grow will increase and the number of companies that fall will decrease

22:57

, so the balance will be

22:59

disrupted. So, with Ang

23:01

Plus, we rebalance it every three months, making sure to bring the balance

23:04

back to exactly 10%

23:07

. Well,

23:09

rebalancing means, for example,

23:11

selling off 8.52% of Mike Technology and

23:15

shifting the allocation to companies that don't account for 10% of the portfolio

23:18

. Now, when you

23:19

hear that, it might seem logical,

23:22

but actually, that's where the

23:24

pitfall of Fang Plus lies. This is because

23:27

typical indices

23:29

change their investment ratios according to the total capitalization,

23:32

so they basically follow the growth of companies that are growing, which is what is

23:37

known as a trend-following investment method

23:40

. However, in the case of Anglers, they

23:43

sell shares in companies where they have a large stake and invest in companies where they have a small stake. This means they

23:50

sell shares in growing companies and buy shares in companies that are not growing,

23:53

so it's like switching from riding the winning horse

23:56

to riding the losing horse, which is what's known as a

23:59

contrarian investment strategy

24:02

. This is

24:05

n't necessarily a bad thing, but beginners need to be very careful

24:08

. In the world of investing, you often hear the saying, "Don't pick up a falling knife." There

24:15

's a reason why stocks are falling, so

24:17

unless there's a reason for them to go up, there's no reason to buy them

24:19

. However, in

24:21

the case of Fang Plus, there's a rule to replace them in 10% increments,

24:24

so we're just mechanically

24:26

replacing them. Of course, if it

24:29

rebounds afterward, it might yield a large return,

24:32

but if it continues to

24:34

sink

24:36

, the money invested will be at considerable risk, and the

24:38

losses could also

24:40

become substantial

24:42

. In other words, I was

24:44

aiming to be a sender, but before I

24:47

knew it, I had left the market and I was just a sender, so I want you to keep in mind that

24:52

Fang Plus is something where you can become someone who sends things off to everyone

24:54

.

24:56

Well, there are five things to be careful about when investing in your 50s

25:01

, and I've explained them all in this past video,

25:03

so please check it out as well by clicking the

25:05

link in the description box. I

25:10

think it will significantly reduce the possibility of losing your assets through investing, so

25:12

please be sure to check it out

25:14

. So far

25:17

, I've

25:19

explained the characteristics of each index, but from here on, I'd like to

25:28

explain in detail which one you should choose based on your own conditions, by comparing them with actual numbers and considering future returns, risks, and so on

25:31

. So, here, I've

25:35

listed the metrics you should know and want to know about for the five points I've just explained

25:38

. So, looking at it this way, well,

25:39

Fang Plus's return is outstanding, and when you look at this

25:43

comparison, you can't help but think that

25:45

Fang Plus is the

25:46

better option, or if Fang

25:48

Plus is a bit risky, then

25:49

100 might be better, and I think you can see why this one looks so

25:52

attractive, but having

25:55

said that,

25:56

Japanese stocks have also performed quite well in recent years, and we tend to look at

26:01

returns like this,

26:03

but what we must never forget here is that

26:05

past returns do

26:08

not guarantee future returns. Well

26:10

, in other words, just because something has increased significantly in the past 10 years does

26:15

n't mean it will increase significantly again in the next 10 years.

26:17

So, especially for people in their 50s with limited investment time, I would advise against

26:22

choosing products based solely on returns

26:24

. In other words, when investing in your 50s, you need to

26:29

consider not only how much your money will increase, but also how much it could decrease in the worst-case scenario

26:33

. At that point,

26:35

risk becomes a crucial factor. When you

26:38

hear the word "risk," you might have an image of something dangerous or losing money,

26:41

but in the context of investing, "

26:44

disk" refers to the price fluctuation range of the product

26:47

. For example,

26:50

high-risk products mean that you might make a lot of money

26:53

, or you might lose a lot of money

26:56

. However, that doesn't mean that the

26:58

lower the risk, the better.

27:00

For example, bank deposits have virtually

27:03

no risk, but

27:05

even if you invest in such products, they don't

27:07

grow at all. So, what's

27:09

ideal is something that moves slowly but steadily

27:12

, and increases reliably, like the one on the

27:15

left here

27:17

. And the worst-case scenario is when the price fluctuates

27:19

wildly, but in the end, your investment doesn't increase

27:21

. Well, in this case, I'm talking about the one on the right

27:23

. Well, let's try not to choose this kind of

27:24

music. Therefore, the

27:26

important thing is to choose products that offer a fair return on the risks you take

27:33

. So, how do you choose an efficient product? This is where the

27:39

non-lower mean return per unit of risk

27:42

indicator comes in handy. Well, it's a bit of a

27:44

technical term, but you don't really need to

27:47

remember the name. This is an indicator of how

27:52

cost-effectively you were able to get a return on the risk you took. The

27:57

higher this number, the better the cost-effectiveness of the product

27:59

. It's easy to understand

28:01

, isn't it? I've rearranged it a bit to get this table

28:03

, and the result is that the S

28:06

&P 500 offered the best value for money during this period

28:09

. Well, I suppose one reason for this is that

28:10

US stocks have been strong recently

28:13

, and the fact that KopiX is also

28:15

doing quite well is that Japanese stocks have been

28:17

strong recently

28:19

. As for Dolcan

28:21

, it inevitably includes new advertising, and the

28:23

growth in that area was poor, so the

28:27

return on the risks taken was not really what we hoped for

28:29

. So

28:31

, what's ultimately important is to

28:37

invest in indices that are growing in that era, tailored to your investment period and other conditions. That's the

28:42

key point here.

28:47

Next,

28:50

using the past data we discussed earlier, I'd like to simulate which products to bet on in the future will offer the best

28:53

expected returns and

28:55

lower risks

28:59

. Here are the results, which are quite interesting

29:01

. To briefly explain how to interpret this

29:03

, first of all, the premise we are

29:06

using is the return and risk data from the past 30 years

29:12

. The reason we chose 30 years is that we wanted to

29:17

include past crashes such as the IT bubble collapse and the Lehman Shock. In other words, we wanted to include the risks of such crashes, not just the good times

29:20

,

29:24

so we chose 30 years. Therefore, we have

29:29

excluded Fang Plus, which does not have 30 years' worth of data

29:31

. So, we input the returns and risks for the past 30 years

29:34

into a computer and

29:37

simulate 10,000 possible future scenarios.

29:40

In other words, it involves 10,000 simulations,

29:42

so we simulate things like the range of price fluctuations and

29:45

how many times out of 10,000 the probability of the principal being returned

29:50

. The first thing I want you to notice is the central area of ​​this model

29:54

. The median is the

30:01

indicator that represents the highest probability and middle position among all possible combinations. If you invest in any of these stocks over

30:04

this 10-year investment period, the

30:06

median return will be

30:09

positive. This shows that in this day and

30:12

age, it's quite important to invest in things like stocks rather than just saving money

30:19

. Looking at the actual figures, Copics yielded a

30:21

profit of 180,000 yen, Orkan yielded a profit of

30:24

1,400,000 yen, S&D P500 yielded a profit of

30:26

1,870,000 yen, and NASDA 100 yielded a profit of

30:29

2,260,000 yen. Next, I'd like you to look at the

30:32

vertical fluctuation range of this resistance graph

30:35

. This range of fluctuation indicates a case where the lower side was in

30:38

particularly bad condition. In the worst-case scenario, this would mean that

30:41

this particular combination occurred 500 times with a probability of approximately 5%

30:45

. And this upper part

30:50

represents the top 5% of results from when things were exceptionally good. For example, in the

30:53

case of Topics, the range of fluctuation could be as low as

30:55

-260,000 yen in the worst-case scenario

30:59

. However, at its best, it reached a profit of

31:01

830,000 yen

31:04

. The same applies to Orkan. For leftists, the loss is

31:06

-310,000 yen. Up to 4 million yen in profit. With the S&

31:10

P 500, there was no loss of principal, with a

31:13

maximum loss of 4.72 million yen

31:16

. In the worst-case scenario, the N role could result in a loss of 540,000 yen. The maximum price is

31:20

7.62 million yen, which explains this price range

31:23

. This one is the largest. And

31:25

here's the most important point: if you

31:28

only look at the returns, you'll naturally want to choose the Nasda 100, but

31:30

that -540,000 yen loss is the

31:38

probability that it's the biggest loser among these four stocks. If

31:40

Fang Plus had been included here, the

31:43

fluctuation range would have been considerably larger, so I

31:50

think it's possible that in the worst-case scenario, we could have seen figures like -1 million or -2 million. Looking at the actual probability of losing principal, it is

31:53

19.49% for OPIX

31:56

, 6.85% for Orkan, 0% for S&P50

32:00

, and 7.23% for N-role. However, what I want you to be

32:03

aware of here is that from here on, it's not impossible that the

32:06

100% peak could fall below the principal amount

32:09

[music]

32:11

. In short, what we've learned from this prediction is that the

32:25

most efficient way to increase your assets is to choose a self-capitalization-weighted index that invests in the strong countries of the time while also investing in the overall economy

32:28

. So, I've

32:34

summarized everything we've covered so far in a flowchart, and I hope you'll be able to

32:36

easily choose the perfect one for you

32:39

. The first thing to

32:41

consider is whether to focus on one country and choose a

32:45

single investment strategy that will allow you to grow your assets more efficiently

32:47

. In other words, based on this

32:50

data, you're going to choose something like the S&P 500

32:52

. For example, if you decide to

32:54

invest in the United States, the

32:57

S&P 500 is a good choice, and if you decide to invest in Japan,

33:01

choosing CopiX will

33:04

generally allow for quite

33:07

efficient investment management as long as those countries continue to grow.

33:09

However, if you are willing to take on risks and aim for high returns, then,

33:12

for example, in the

33:14

United States, you might be able to

33:22

achieve efficient returns while also aiming for high returns by choosing specialized indices such as the NASDAQ or FANG+

33:25

. On the other hand, if you feel

33:28

unsure about narrowing your choice down to just one country in response to the first question,

33:31

or if you can't predict which country will grow, then it's perfectly

33:38

fine to simply choose Orkan. Orkan is a

33:43

method that distributes investments globally using a capitalization-weighted average. Therefore,

33:46

rather than focusing on one particular country, it is

33:54

designed to diversify into countries and regions that are strong at any given time, and to capture their growth. So, if the US becomes

33:56

stronger, the US share will increase, and if

33:58

Japan becomes stronger, the Japanese share will increase. If you want to avoid big misses

34:02

, this is the option for you

34:05

. So

34:06

, basically, you can just

34:09

choose from the flowchart I showed you earlier

34:10

, but if you can see from the beginning what might happen in the worst-case scenario with each stock you choose, or

34:15

how much you might increase if things go well, I

34:22

think it will give you a sense of security and make it easier to choose. So,

34:24

here are your ages and your

34:26

target amount. If you enter the target amount you want to achieve, the

34:30

age at which you want to achieve that amount, and the return

34:33

and risk figures for each product, it will tell you the

34:39

age at which you can actually achieve your goal. In the best-case

34:42

scenario, it might say you can achieve it very quickly with [music],

34:43

or in the worst-case scenario, it might say you won't be able to

34:46

achieve your target amount at all

34:49

. Also, regarding the price fluctuations

34:52

, I have a future prediction simulator that automatically calculates them in one minute,

34:57

so I'd like to

34:59

give this to everyone for free

35:01

. I can promise that by visualizing your future, you will be able to take that crucial first

35:04

step without hesitation and without making mistakes

35:08

. However, there

35:11

is a limit to the number of copies that can be distributed through the system, so once

35:14

that limit is reached, distribution will end.

35:16

Therefore, please be sure to get it now by

35:18

tapping the link at the top of the description box, or by

35:24

scanning this QR code

35:30

. If you can

35:32

thoroughly understand the contents of each product and then confidently

35:35

choose one without hesitation, your asset building will be

35:38

99% perfect. The remaining point is simply making

35:45

a promise to yourself to confidently believe in the product and continue to hold onto it. If you can

35:48

keep this promise, then it will be perfect. I've been

35:50

investing for 10 years now, and

35:53

honestly, at first I was just going along with

35:56

whatever people recommended, like "this one seems good" or "that one seems good," and I ended up

35:59

buying things without much thought. And to be

36:04

honest, I've actually lost about 1 million yen in the form of valuations. Well

36:07

, at that time, I was still in my twenties

36:09

, so I think it was a good learning experience.

36:11

However, having

36:16

accumulated so many embarrassing failures and regrets, I've come to deeply realize that when it comes to

36:18

investing, it's

36:23

much more important to avoid big losses than to try to hit the jackpot

36:27

. Ultimately, I think the reason everyone wants to work hard to build wealth is to

36:33

have time to spend peacefully with their loved ones, to

36:35

go on trips, and to live their lives in a way that is true to themselves and without worry

36:40

. So, increasing your money and building assets are

36:45

means to fulfill your goals and dreams, and

36:48

I want to continue to provide useful information to help you achieve your dreams and goals, even if only a

36:52

little. If even

37:02

one person who watched this video today feels confident enough to take a step forward, nothing would make me

37:04

happier. I would be very

37:14

happy if you could share in the comments the one product you chose, or the reasons why you actually buy a particular product. I

37:16

think it would also be helpful for others, so please feel free to write in the comments

37:18

.

37:20

Furthermore, when building assets from your 50s onward, it's

37:23

not just about choosing the right products; exit strategies are also crucial, such as how to receive your pension

37:27

or how to

37:29

draw down the assets you've accumulated through NIS or other investments

37:34

. We are currently holding a limited-time online study session on "5 Steps to Steadily Preparing for Retirement Funds from Your 50s," which explains the entire process of

37:37

building assets from start to finish in one

37:40

2-hour session.

37:47

Please

37:50

check it out via the link in the description box

37:52

. However, this is a

37:54

limited-time offer and may end without notice, so be

37:57

sure to check it out while it's still available

38:00

. This channel's concept is "The

38:02

NIS Textbook for People in Their 50s," and we will continue to

38:08

deliver information on how to build wealth without making mistakes, specifically tailored for people in their 50s

38:10

. If you found today's video helpful in any way,

38:13

please give it a thumbs up and

38:15

subscribe to the channel.

38:17

Thank you for watching until the very end today

38:19

. See you in the next video!

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