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Low-Stress Equity & Options Strategy | Ft. Kirubakaran Rajendran | MastersInOne | EP - 72

1:04:02EnglishTranscribed Jul 6, 2026
0:01

[music]

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[music]

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[music]

0:16

>> Trading strategy is the only thing that

0:18

you need to know. Everybody will become

0:20

a profitable trader. No risk-free

0:23

trading in trading, but there is

0:24

stress-free trading. Our no trading

0:26

mentality.

0:28

We always aim for higher risk, but that

0:31

is not the right approach. The

0:33

professional traders will always aim for

0:35

lower drawdowns. So, that is become

0:37

sensation among the world like, "Okay,

0:39

so anybody can become a profitable

0:41

trader if they have a positive edge."

0:43

>> How much capital you started your

0:45

trading journey?

0:47

>> I started with 5,000 rupees of my

0:48

scholarship money. Now, I'm currently

0:50

trading with a capital of around

0:55

>> Namaste dostho.

0:56

My Vijay Thakkar.

0:59

I'm already Masters in one game podcast

1:02

man.

1:02

I mean I can do podcast guest and Kiro

1:05

G. Kiro G. Chennai

1:08

or yeah, it's option seller. Yeah. But I

1:10

can podcast

1:12

and I can

1:13

I will have some 30% return generate cut

1:17

the head. Or basically you don't know

1:18

it's going to do part me divide cut the

1:20

head. I will go both the head passive

1:22

income or that I had. Or do so I will do

1:25

both the head will have active income.

1:27

So, do active income can do returns. Or

1:30

generally will option selling

1:32

cut the head. Or passive income can do

1:35

returns. Yeah. Or I can do investment go

1:38

investment cut the head. I will do

1:39

investment I will do investment cut the

1:41

head. I will do concept and I will do

1:44

concept and I will do head. I will do

1:46

some option seller will have head. I

1:48

will do cut the head government bond cut

1:50

the head. I will do nifty bees cut the

1:52

head. I will do bees cut the head or I

1:55

will do pledge cut the head. I will I

1:57

will do be I will do cut the head

1:59

investment go

2:03

additional

2:05

target

2:08

podcast

2:10

mindset

2:15

return generate

2:17

but yeah

2:21

focus

2:28

logical

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May

2:36

strategy

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income

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income

2:48

strategy

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every 30% generate

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target

2:57

without

2:58

time

3:03

capital

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investment

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return

3:07

capital

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remaining target

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without

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wasting

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podcast

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request

3:20

podcast

3:21

data

3:22

95%

3:24

podcast

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because

3:32

English

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language matter

3:36

matter

3:38

trader

3:39

investor

3:40

strategy matter

3:43

request

3:44

English

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English

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strategy

3:54

investor

4:11

>> Thank you so much, Vijay. Thank you so

4:13

your podcast. Now, we know virtually for

4:15

a long time, but this is the first time

4:17

now we are meeting in person. And I

4:19

always hear good about you. And now,

4:22

because in our industry, we know, right?

4:24

I told you when we were coming in cab,

4:26

there are very few genuine people who

4:28

share knowledge with respect to our

4:30

industry. And you are one among them who

4:32

has been continuously sharing whatever

4:34

things that you have learned. And also,

4:36

you are really genuine in what you are

4:37

doing. So, you should keep doing what

4:39

you are doing.

4:49

Uh, I saw your tweet one day when you

4:53

bought your house and you take your

4:54

parents to that house.

4:56

>> Yes.

4:56

>> So, that time I feel, I don't know why,

4:58

I feel proud it. You know, then and that

5:01

time I commented also for you.

5:02

>> Right. Right.

5:03

>> Because I can understand that feeling

5:05

that what it it gives to your parents,

5:08

okay?

5:08

>> Right.

5:13

>> on the Twitter and then I understood

5:14

that you are not normal trader.

5:17

>> [laughter]

5:17

>> You are very systematic trader and you

5:20

work with rules.

5:21

>> Right.

5:22

>> And then I saw your podcast with Saket.

5:25

>> Okay.

5:25

>> Okay. So, that time I decided that I

5:28

will do podcast with Kiro Bhai because,

5:30

see,

5:31

our podcast name is Masters in One.

5:34

>> Okay.

5:34

>> Okay. So, what I feel that in stock

5:37

market, there are 100 types of ways to

5:39

make money.

5:40

>> Okay.

5:41

>> But you have to master in one and you

5:43

have to deep dive in that method and

5:45

then you can make money in that method.

5:47

It's It's totally okay. You do option

5:50

selling, you do

5:52

intraday, you do you do scalping, or you

5:54

do swing trading, or you do investment,

5:56

anything. But you have to master in one.

5:59

>> Correct.

5:59

>> So that is why we started this podcast

6:02

>> Okay.

6:02

>> My My method is only one method which I

6:05

follow multi-year time frame breakout.

6:07

But there are many other trader and

6:09

investor, they have their own method. So

6:11

I tried to, you know, bring them here.

6:14

And I tried to show their method and

6:16

their mindset to other people also who

6:19

are trading in stock market. So this was

6:21

the logic of starting this master's in

6:23

one podcast. So that is the one thing.

6:26

Now,

6:33

but

6:36

not

6:41

>> Exactly. I do not know Hindi. So but

6:43

I'll try to keep it very simple

6:44

>> Right.

6:45

>> so that anyone who listens to this

6:46

podcast, they can replicate what we are

6:48

trying to showcase.

6:49

>> Correct.

6:52

It's based on rule and logic.

7:00

So I will tell you everyone okay up is

7:03

called language today build some some

7:04

dough. Okay. So yes,

7:07

first I want to understand your journey.

7:09

>> Okay.

7:09

>> Right. Because before that tweet

7:14

Correct. Or

7:21

>> Okay.

7:25

Sure. Sure. See that the it is good that

7:27

you have brought that topic of whatever

7:30

the no tweet that you have seen me

7:32

>> Yes.

7:32

>> where me buying the house. Because I

7:35

started trading in the year 2008.

7:37

>> Okay.

7:38

>> And I always wanted to buy a own flat of

7:42

me

7:43

completely through the income from

7:45

trading. So, it took me a long years of

7:47

journey where just like every single

7:49

trader will goes through ups and downs.

7:51

Okay, I bought that flat just last year.

7:53

So, it took me almost 16 years to get to

7:57

that phase. So, that was the first time

7:59

when you know, in one year I was almost

8:01

making 1.5 crores of income completely

8:03

from trading. So, I thought, "Okay,

8:06

should I need to know pull out some

8:08

portion of that capital and buy

8:10

something or should I keep compounding

8:12

it?" When you keep compounding it, it is

8:15

just a number in your account. The

8:16

moment you take your profits out and do

8:18

something that gives you the emotional

8:20

value, which no one can replicate.

8:22

Correct. So, as you rightly said, the

8:24

moment when my parents saw the house

8:26

which I bought

8:28

that is like

8:29

you cannot equivalent equate it to any

8:31

kind of income that you make, right?

8:33

That is a pure emotional moment. So, I

8:34

am very glad that I've taken the

8:36

decision of buying the home from my

8:37

trading income. So, the overall journey,

8:40

even though I started in the year 2008,

8:42

I became a systematic trader only from

8:45

the year 2014

8:47

after I read a book called How I Made $2

8:50

million by Nicholas Darvas.

8:52

>> Oh. So, since 2014 you are doing

8:55

automated system

8:56

>> Correct. So, 2014 is when I started

8:58

getting into algo trading. So, you know,

9:00

back then there was no broker providing

9:02

API. None of them were giving these kind

9:05

of automated tools. It was totally you

9:07

know, new and very very minimal people

9:09

were doing algo trading back then. So,

9:11

there is one company called Symphony

9:13

FinTech. So, they were the one who were

9:15

providing algo trading solutions back

9:17

then.

9:18

And when you have to do algo trading

9:20

during those period, the kind of money

9:23

that you have to spend just to set up an

9:25

automated system itself was so high.

9:27

Like I ended up spending 1.5 lakhs just

9:30

to set it up.

9:32

>> Like that time.

9:32

>> That time because you need to buy

9:34

AmiBroker. They charge you around 30,000

9:36

per year and again, every month you need

9:38

to buy data. Now you are getting data

9:41

free from broker. Earlier, they will be

9:43

charging 2,500 for that. And then, I do

9:46

not know coding. So, I have to rely on a

9:48

freelancer where I have to give them the

9:50

rules. He will write an AmiBroker code.

9:53

So, I don't know, back then AmiBroker

9:54

was very famous. So, AmiBroker has its

9:57

own programming language called

9:59

AmiBroker Formula Language, AFL. So,

10:02

he'll be writing the AFL codes. And

10:04

then, by the time we automated it, yeah,

10:06

I ended up spending almost 2 lakhs. And

10:08

I remember saving that AFL name as

10:11

life-changing indicator {dot} no

10:13

Kirubakaran, whatever my name. Because I

10:16

have added all the indicators into it, I

10:18

thought that is the holy grail. But, no,

10:20

it eventually did not work. But, that

10:22

was a learning phase.

10:23

>> Mhm.

10:24

>> So, that is how it started. And then,

10:25

eventually, I know, I started learning

10:28

more about systematic trading, being

10:30

more about process-oriented. What you

10:33

rightly said, like masters in one, which

10:35

means that you take one specific path

10:39

and become master in it and keep

10:40

following

10:41

diligently. Eventually, that is going to

10:43

work for you. So, over the years, you

10:46

would have gone through multiple guest.

10:48

Everyone would have discussed you

10:49

multiple setups. But, just because

10:53

someone said interesting, you did not

10:55

stop what you were doing and jumped into

10:57

the other one.

10:58

>> Correct.

10:58

>> What you were doing, you were continuing

10:59

to do till date. Even now, when I came,

11:01

you were showing your setup, right?

11:03

Because that is your hardcore logic

11:04

setup. Which you believe in it. So, that

11:07

is what exactly every single trader has

11:09

to follow. You pick the one which is

11:11

suitable for you and stick to it longer

11:13

period of time. So, that is exactly what

11:15

I also did.

11:16

>> So,

11:17

like since 2008, you are in market, and

11:20

since 2014, you started,

11:22

you know, trying automated trading,

11:24

systematic way, process way. So, at the

11:28

time of start, what the difficult things

11:30

you are getting it? Like,

11:32

you told this thing only that you

11:34

started

11:35

depending on the that the coder

11:38

then and till when when you started your

11:41

proper systematic trading what year?

11:44

>> So what it will happen almost again some

11:46

additional four years because in 2014

11:48

you're getting into algo trading you're

11:50

new over the period you will make a lot

11:52

of mistakes with respect to systematic

11:54

trading. So again it took me additional

11:56

four years in order to know correct all

11:59

my mistakes and then only I start

12:01

totally jumped into a proper systematic

12:03

way because I'll tell you one example.

12:06

That was the last slide I kept but I

12:09

think that is the first thing I should

12:11

not talk to you about because it is all

12:13

about

12:14

when I started trading or when anyone

12:16

starts trading

12:17

if

12:18

trading strategy is the only thing that

12:20

you need to know everybody will become a

12:23

profitable trader. Correct. You have so

12:25

many YouTube videos you have so many

12:27

books but still why out of 100 people 90

12:31

people are still losing money why 10

12:33

people are still making money.

12:35

In order to figure that out it took me

12:37

so many years.

12:40

Fortunately I read one article which is

12:42

not related to trading it is related to

12:45

neuro science.

12:46

The moment I read that article

12:48

everything came into picture I'll tell

12:51

you what it is.

12:51

>> Yes.

12:53

>> You are very wearing the watch right?

12:55

>> Right.

12:55

>> You remove the watch.

12:56

>> Okay.

12:57

>> Okay. And you remove it from your left

13:00

to wear it in your right.

13:02

>> Okay.

13:02

>> Okay if someone else is watching this

13:03

video who's wearing it in their right

13:05

just you know change it and watch it in

13:07

the other side okay.

13:10

Until that point I always thought

13:13

what in order to make money in markets

13:15

is all about strategy strategy strategy

13:19

but the moment I start you know

13:20

completely finish that article it is

13:22

beyond strategy something else is there

13:25

what do call it that is neuroplasticity?

13:27

So, what neuroplasticity is

13:30

until now when I asked you which side

13:33

watch you're wearing, you're wearing on

13:34

left side. Now you started wearing it on

13:36

right side and it is just 20 seconds.

13:39

Now you started feeling uncomfortable

13:41

like you are not really comfortable with

13:43

the right side. You will not even know

13:45

know the weight of the watch. You don't

13:46

even remember that you're wearing the

13:48

watch. Now you could feel this because

13:51

for long many years you are so used to

13:54

one habit.

13:55

>> Right.

13:55

>> When you are so used to one habit, brain

13:57

forms a neuroplasticity. There is a

13:59

certain habit.

14:01

>> So, this was my body part like

14:02

>> Exactly. So, when someone is doing

14:05

repeatedly the same thing for a long

14:07

period of time there will be a

14:09

neuroplasticity that will be formed in

14:10

your you know brain. When you try to

14:12

break that it will give you

14:14

uncomfortable signal just like how it is

14:16

giving you now.

14:18

It that is why it is very hard to break

14:20

a good habit, very hard to break a bad

14:22

habit because the neuroplasticity is

14:24

formed.

14:26

In trading

14:27

when you see any person who is coming

14:29

into trading, he will learn one

14:31

strategy.

14:32

Now he'll apply it for some day. After

14:34

three or four back-to-back losses, he

14:37

will think this is stopped working.

14:38

He'll move to some other strategy.

14:40

So, he's not giving enough room for the

14:43

strategy to work. So, when he jumps from

14:46

one strategy to the other strategy, the

14:48

neuroplasticity is not formed in your

14:50

brain. So, that is why in trading many

14:54

people keep jumping from one strategy to

14:56

the other strategy because they tend to

14:58

think that strategy is the core logic.

15:00

No, that is a secret that everyone has

15:02

it.

15:03

But the moment in you know anyways we

15:05

are going to explain one strategy in

15:07

this particular video, right?

15:09

End of this video whether this strategy

15:12

or whatever the strategy people follow

15:14

if they pick one strategy like they have

15:16

to decide this is the strategy I'm

15:18

picking for next 100 days I'm going to

15:21

follow the rules of the strategy.

15:23

It does not matter whether the it is

15:25

giving you profit or loss on a trade to

15:27

trade you know trade to trade basis.

15:29

Just if it gives buy, I buy. If it gives

15:31

sell, I have to sell. I have to just

15:33

focus on the process.

15:35

So 100 days when you do it,

15:37

automatically the brain will form the

15:38

neuroplasticity.

15:40

101st day

15:42

you take the trade as per the rule.

15:44

But now you try to break your own rule.

15:47

Try to cut the stop loss. Try to put the

15:49

target. Get modify your stop loss and

15:52

take a break. Go for a tea.

15:54

Before even you complete your tea, your

15:56

brain will start giving you the same

15:58

uncomfortable signal.

15:59

It will tell you you have you know

16:00

formed a neuroplasticity. Now you have

16:02

breaking your habit. Go back and get

16:05

back to your old habit. So what it will

16:07

say is you will be completely

16:09

uncomfortable because you have changed

16:10

the rules, modified the stop loss,

16:12

modified the target. So now your mind is

16:15

totally shifted from outcome to process.

16:18

You're not bothered about whether it is

16:20

going to give you a profit or not. But

16:22

you are more bothered because the brain

16:23

has started giving you uncomfortable

16:25

signal since you have broken the habit.

16:27

So now you will go and you know follow

16:28

the rules. You will change the stop loss

16:30

back to its original point. That is what

16:33

is segregating the profitable trader

16:35

from the you know losing traders. Once

16:37

you give enough time for the strategy to

16:39

form the neuroplasticity, no matter

16:41

what, you can't break it. Like you have

16:43

seen right so many examples. The moment

16:46

the stock stocks give you 2x or 3x, even

16:49

though you're tempted to you know close

16:50

it, the moment you have been doing it

16:52

for a longer period of time, you will

16:54

not bothered about that one trade

16:55

outcome. Over the period you know this

16:57

is going to work in your favor. So you

16:59

will start following it.

17:00

>> Correct.

17:01

>> So that is what is the most important

17:03

part like in the most important you know

17:05

lesson that every single trader has to

17:07

you know take it up.

17:09

>> So the lesson is that you have to follow

17:11

the process and at least you have to

17:13

follow the process for the longer period

17:15

of time. Right. So then you will

17:17

understand that how these things works

17:19

or not. Right. So, this

17:21

this thing also I have understood Kiru

17:24

because I am trading since 2000 you can

17:27

say 2013 2014. Right. I started my

17:30

career in 2009, but I started trading in

17:33

2013 2014. So, previously also I used to

17:36

do this thing only. Sometime I do

17:38

intraday, sometime I do BTST STBT,

17:41

sometime I do swing trading, sometime I

17:44

become investor.

17:45

>> Right.

17:45

>> So, actually you know what? I was doing

17:47

many things. I was very busy with all

17:49

this thing, but I was not making any

17:51

profit.

17:52

>> Correct.

17:52

>> Because I don't know actually what I

17:54

want to do.

17:55

>> Correct.

17:55

>> And I don't know what I have to follow.

17:58

So, then after certain year I understood

18:00

about multi-year breakout, then I

18:02

started practicing about that thing, and

18:04

then I realized that this one simple

18:06

thing is giving beautiful return, then

18:09

why should I follow other things?

18:11

>> Exactly.

18:11

>> And then after that day I started

18:13

practicing only this method only, but I

18:16

was not knowing that what I am doing

18:18

actually that neuroplasticity wala

18:21

thing. So,

18:22

So, Kiru bhai, I know you because you I

18:25

know that thing that you do mostly

18:27

option trading, option selling. And I

18:30

don't know that you do investment also

18:32

or not, but I know this thing

18:39

>> Right.

18:39

>> And you are very process driven.

18:45

Okay, I have tasted the tested this

18:47

strategy. This is giving this much

18:49

result. Recently you posted one tweet

18:51

about mutual fund something you are

18:53

talking about the schemes. Right. So,

18:57

Aap aaj hame ek aisa aapka method batao

19:00

which you are following also.

19:05

Uska rule kya hai? Logic kya hai?

19:07

>> Sure.

19:07

>> And why you are following this strategy?

19:10

And if you have the back test result

19:12

then also you can show that to us.

19:14

>> Done. Done. See, I'll I'll start with

19:16

explaining the core of any strategy that

19:19

you follow. There should be certain core

19:20

principles behind it. So, when you trade

19:23

with equity

19:24

>> Mhm.

19:24

>> as long as you know you were saying

19:26

right as long as the market is in bull

19:27

run you will make.

19:29

>> Correct.

19:29

>> But if the market is in bear run we

19:31

can't make returns because all the

19:32

stocks will obviously go down.

19:34

>> Mhm.

19:35

>> So, what I have combined in this

19:36

strategy is two methods. One is a turtle

19:39

trading method and the other one is dual

19:41

momentum. I have clubbed it together to

19:43

create this strategy.

19:45

Turtle method is created by Richard

19:47

Dennis in 1974.

19:49

>> Okay.

19:49

>> So, during that period Richard Dennis

19:52

was the first person who popularized

19:54

systematic trading among the crowd.

19:56

>> Okay.

19:56

>> So, there was this beautiful incident.

19:58

What happened was

19:59

Richard Dennis was so confident that

20:02

anyone anyone can become a successful

20:05

trader if they follow a simple

20:07

rule-based approach.

20:09

So, he tried this experiment by hiring

20:12

some 14 different traders

20:14

who do not have any background

20:16

experience in Wall Street, any

20:18

experience in trading. He taught them

20:20

the basics of trading and gave them a

20:22

rules to all the 14 people. So, when all

20:25

the 14 people were given the same rules

20:27

they just have to follow it strictly,

20:29

right? So, that is what they did.

20:30

And by following a systematic rules all

20:33

these 14 traders eventually made close

20:35

to 175 million dollars back in 1974

20:38

itself.

20:39

So, that has become sensation among the

20:41

world like okay, so anybody can become a

20:44

profitable trader if they have a

20:46

positive edge.

20:47

So, that was there in my mind. And next

20:50

there was a book I read by Gary

20:53

Antonacci. The book name is the dual

20:54

momentum.

20:56

Where he combined gold and equity

20:58

together. Okay. So, when you trade it

21:00

together based on the market moments

21:02

like when the market is in bullish phase

21:04

it will invest in Nifty. If the market

21:06

is in bearish phase it will invest in

21:08

gold. That was his concept. So I combine

21:11

this turtle method along with the this

21:14

momentum dual momentum method to create

21:16

a strategy where you can implement this

21:19

in Nifty bees or gold bees.

21:22

Two things, either you can implement

21:23

this as a standalone strategy

21:25

or many option sellers what they do is

21:28

they buy a liquid case debt funds or you

21:31

know Nifty bees or gold bees pledge that

21:33

and trade.

21:34

When you directly buy Nifty bees it can

21:37

give you 12% on an average but the

21:39

drawdown is very high right right it can

21:42

go down 6 59 60% like in 2008 60% it

21:45

went.

21:46

>> Even in COVID also?

21:46

>> COVID it went 33%. So when your you know

21:50

asset which you have pledged if it goes

21:52

down then your position sizing will also

21:53

get affected.

21:54

>> Correct.

21:55

>> So I want to have same kind of Nifty

21:57

returns but I do not want that kind of

21:59

high drawdown. So they can also apply

22:01

this strategy.

22:02

>> [clears throat]

22:02

>> So the underlying is two things. One is

22:05

Nifty bees and the other one is gold

22:07

bees. So what I'll do is first I'll just

22:10

you know show you the chart.

22:12

>> [clears throat]

22:13

>> See this is the Nifty bees chart.

22:15

>> Correct.

22:16

>> Okay and this is the gold bees chart.

22:19

>> Correct.

22:20

>> What I have done is I have created a

22:22

ratio like this

22:24

where you divide Nifty bees by gold

22:27

bees.

22:28

>> Okay.

22:28

>> That will plot a chart like this. You

22:31

are seeing the chart right?

22:32

5 it oscillates up and down.

22:35

>> So if you see this 2008 period

22:38

>> Mhm.

22:38

>> this ratio is down.

22:40

>> Correct.

22:41

>> During 2007 the ratio is up.

22:44

So whenever this ratio is in uptrend I

22:47

will buy Nifty bees.

22:48

Whenever this ratio is in downtrend I

22:51

will buy gold bees.

22:52

>> Okay. Because you are dividing by Nifty

22:54

bees that's why.

22:55

>> bees. So whenever the ratio is higher

22:58

I'm going to buy gold I mean Nifty.

23:00

Whenever the ratio is in downtrend I'm

23:02

going to buy gold. Like in 2025, if you

23:04

see

23:05

from 2024 till 2026, I would have bought

23:08

gold, not Nifty. Okay. So, I would be

23:11

sitting in a very good profit. So, by

23:13

doing this, you will actually trying to

23:16

uh buy that market which you will move.

23:19

Exactly. So, whichever is in trending,

23:21

I'm not predicting whether it is going

23:22

to be bullish or bearish. I'm just going

23:25

to find whichever the instrument is

23:27

trending.

23:27

>> So, but how do I find this trending?

23:29

>> That is the next question.

23:30

>> Right. I was coming to that question.

23:32

>> Because it is simple chart. Anybody will

23:34

know what you say uptrend, I can say

23:35

downtrend.

23:36

>> Uh because if I follow normal Dow Dow

23:38

theory, then also

23:39

>> Correct. So, my rules is simple. So,

23:42

what I've done is you create this ratio,

23:45

and then you apply the turtle trading

23:48

system into the ratio. The turtle

23:50

trading system says

23:52

check what is the last 20 days highest

23:55

high price, like highest price.

23:56

>> Okay.

23:57

>> And check what is the last 20 days

23:59

lowest price.

24:00

>> Okay.

24:00

>> If the last 20 days highest price is

24:02

crossed,

24:03

>> Mhm.

24:03

>> we go long.

24:04

>> Mhm.

24:04

>> If the last 20 days 20 days lowest price

24:07

is crossed on the downside, we go short.

24:10

This is the turtle trading system rule.

24:12

>> Okay.

24:12

>> Instead of applying that rule on either

24:14

Nifty Bees or Gold Bees, we are directly

24:16

applying it on the strategy itself.

24:18

>> Correct. In the ratio chart. In the

24:21

ratio chart.

24:21

>> So, this is the ratio. So, in this

24:23

ratio, when I apply the rules,

24:25

>> Okay.

24:25

>> so automatically, it is going to giving

24:27

me the signal. Like the green one is the

24:30

highest high price.

24:31

>> average.

24:32

>> Correct. And the red one is the lowest

24:34

price.

24:35

>> This is basically a 20-day simple moving

24:37

average.

24:38

>> days, not moving average. Donchian

24:40

channel.

24:40

>> Donchian channel.

24:41

>> Exactly. So, when I apply this Donchian

24:43

channel here, I can clearly see when it

24:47

is breaking out, when it is you know

24:48

breaking down.

24:51

>> So, what is the setting which we have

24:53

to, you know, do in the Donchian

24:55

channel? anything.

24:55

>> simple. 20 days 20 days. That's all. 20

24:58

days.

24:58

>> Nothing else.

24:59

>> So, when the 20 days we we are

25:01

since the ratio is on close to close

25:03

basis.

25:04

>> Yeah, like [clears throat] on the

25:04

>> We use only the last 20 days, the close

25:07

price. It's not the high or low. It is

25:09

just the close price.

25:10

>> Okay.

25:10

>> So, now it is very clear. Whenever the

25:13

signal gives me a buy, I will go and buy

25:16

the gold bees. I mean, sorry, Nifty

25:18

bees.

25:18

>> Nifty bees.

25:19

>> And whenever the signal gives me a sell,

25:21

I will exit the Nifty bees and buy gold

25:24

bees.

25:24

>> Okay.

25:25

>> So, simple. I have to keep oscillating

25:27

between Nifty and gold.

25:29

>> And this you will follow on a week time

25:32

frame on a daily

25:32

>> Daily time frame. Daily time

25:33

>> The ratio chart is on a daily time

25:35

frame.

25:35

>> frame. So, you just divide the ratio

25:37

like as I said, Nifty bees by gold bees.

25:40

Track what is the last 20 days you know,

25:42

highest high price or 20 days lowest low

25:44

price.

25:44

>> Okay.

25:45

>> Whenever the signal comes, buy Nifty

25:47

bees.

25:48

>> Mhm.

25:48

>> Whenever sell signal comes, exit the

25:50

Nifty bees, buy gold bees.

25:51

>> Okay.

25:52

>> That is the core logic behind it.

25:54

So, once I do this,

25:56

automatically this is helping me in two

25:58

things. One is Nifty and gold is having

26:00

a negative correlation.

26:02

>> Right.

26:02

>> Because the both asset classes are

26:04

different.

26:04

>> Uh.

26:05

>> So, earlier if I'm trading this only in

26:07

stocks, obviously if the market is going

26:09

down, I'll be in sitting in a negative

26:11

returns or no returns zone for a longer

26:13

period of time. But having this

26:15

uncorrelated thing, when one is giving

26:17

me a bullish signal, the other will give

26:18

me a negative signal. So, obviously

26:20

during the down period, the gold is

26:22

going to help me.

26:22

>> Okay.

26:23

>> And second most important part currently

26:27

is the charges.

26:28

See, with the with respect to this kind

26:30

of setup, the number of trades is very

26:32

very minimal. Like you know, you've been

26:34

trading for a longer period of time.

26:36

Like the you know, if we have seen in

26:38

December 2025, it is asking me to buy a

26:41

gold. Sell signal.

26:42

>> Okay.

26:43

>> And now it is asking me to buy Nifty

26:45

bees.

26:45

>> Nifty bees.

26:46

>> So, almost for seven or eight months,

26:47

only one trade. So, charges is very

26:50

minimal.

26:50

>> Right.

26:51

>> And also,

26:52

when you calculate the STT

26:55

for stocks versus ETF,

26:58

>> Mhm.

26:58

>> your charges on STT is significantly

27:01

lower. I've given this example, you

27:03

consider this.

27:04

>> Okay.

27:05

>> We have no buying some stocks. I don't

27:08

even remember what is the stocks cross.

27:10

>> lesser than half.

27:11

>> It is much much much lesser. If you see

27:13

the charges, it is 60 rupees. Here it is

27:15

just 20 rupees.

27:16

>> Mhm.

27:16

>> So, 1/3 of the charges because with STT

27:21

for Gold Bees, there is no STT.

27:23

>> That is also advantage.

27:25

>> Yeah, and for Nifty Bees, the STT is

27:27

0.001%.

27:29

>> Mhm.

27:29

>> Whereas with the stocks, it is 0.1%.

27:32

>> Mhm.

27:33

>> So, huge difference where the

27:34

significantly when you're trading with

27:36

the higher capital, your STT goes down

27:38

drastically because you're trading with

27:40

the Nifty Bees and Gold Bees.

27:42

>> Okay.

27:42

>> So, charges itself has gone down

27:44

drastically. Now, coming to the drawdown

27:46

part.

27:47

So, Nifty Bees, you know, in 2008, if

27:50

I'm doing buy and hold Nifty Bees during

27:53

the global financial crisis, it has gone

27:55

down 60%.

27:55

>> Correct.

27:56

>> But this rotational strategy has given

27:58

me only 24.95, almost 25% only drawdown.

28:02

>> Right. That is also positive.

28:03

>> Yeah, and all the you know, the one our

28:05

as per our you know, trading mentality,

28:08

>> Mhm.

28:09

>> we always aim for higher risk. But that

28:13

is not the right approach. The

28:14

professional traders will always aim for

28:16

lower drawdowns.

28:18

Because there is a statistical study

28:20

done by University of France where

28:24

consider you have made 1 lakh today.

28:26

>> Mhm.

28:26

>> Okay. Tomorrow, you have lost 1 lakh.

28:29

>> Mhm.

28:29

>> You are in a no profit, no loss.

28:31

Correct? You are in zero. Like you never

28:33

lost your capital. Today, you made 1

28:35

lakh. Tomorrow, you lost 1 lakh.

28:36

>> Correct.

28:37

>> But when they studied the brain pattern

28:40

of the same trader when he is making

28:42

profit versus when he is losing money,

28:46

the pleasure of making money versus the

28:49

pain of losing money. The pain of losing

28:52

money is two times higher than the

28:54

pleasure of making money. So, even

28:57

though I made one lakh today and lost

28:59

one lakh tomorrow, I would be extremely

29:01

sad even though I did not lose from my

29:04

capital because that is the emotional

29:05

drain that you will have. So, one day

29:08

studied it among a lot of traders, they

29:09

understood that

29:11

the guy who is performing really well on

29:13

the markets for the longer time are the

29:15

best risk management people. So, they

29:17

will control the risk to a greater

29:19

extent. They will always prioritize

29:22

reducing the risk. So, that the pain of

29:24

losing money will be very, very less.

29:26

So, that over the period you will not

29:28

feel you know, very stressful or very,

29:32

very emotional about the market.

29:33

>> And that gives you confidence also

29:35

because there is one [snorts] loss which

29:37

I always talk in my video, that is

29:39

emotional loss. Right. So, if you will

29:42

loss continuously that emotion part, so,

29:44

your confidence will come down. Exactly.

29:47

And if you are getting a very good

29:48

opportunity also now, then also you will

29:50

think that no, I don't want to trade.

29:52

Maybe this will also hit my stop loss.

29:54

Exactly.

29:55

Because now, they always say, right?

29:57

There is no risk-free trading in

29:59

trading. But, there is stress-free

30:01

trading. You have to pick how do you

30:03

define your rules accordingly so that it

30:05

doesn't give you any stress.

30:06

>> No, that is actually a very good thing.

30:08

Almost half drawdown we are avoiding.

30:10

>> Exactly. Like, the pain point is gone

30:12

down and if you see in the major crisis

30:14

like 2008 and 2009, this rotational

30:17

strategy has significantly outperformed

30:19

both Nifty bees and gold bees.

30:20

>> So, this is also outperformance. Now,

30:22

you are not you are not going down uh

30:25

>> on the drawdown part, but on the returns

30:27

part also you are you know, really doing

30:28

well. Even on the COVID time also, the

30:30

rotational system has given you good

30:32

returns.

30:32

>> Oh.

30:33

>> So, even during this period, the gold

30:35

you know, rally period,

30:36

>> Right.

30:36

>> Nifty did not give you good returns.

30:38

But, combining both

30:39

>> Yeah.

30:40

>> with this rotational part, you would be

30:41

betting on the trend.

30:43

>> Yeah, so recently I was talking to one

30:45

investor

30:46

I think one week back only. He is from

30:48

also Chennai. So I was like that sir, I

30:50

have not made that much money last

30:52

financial year. I am feeling not good

30:55

not feeling good this last financial

30:57

year for. So he was like that Vijay, why

30:59

you have not invested in gold and

31:01

silver? So then also I understood are

31:03

you I was

31:05

I was having that option also. I did not

31:07

invest that is my mistake.

31:10

People are made money there also. So

31:13

ultimate aim is to make money.

31:15

It's not like that you buy gold or

31:17

silver or you make money via stock.

31:19

Right. So that time I understood that

31:21

this one simple thing I did not

31:23

understand.

31:24

>> Because you know as you rightly said,

31:26

you see people are buying gold. Why

31:28

people are buying gold? Is it because

31:30

they understood the economic concept

31:31

behind it? No, because it is trending.

31:34

It is moving up. They could literally

31:36

see Nifty is going down but gold is

31:37

moving up. Let me now reshuffle the

31:39

investment

31:40

and also people who are having a larger

31:42

capital, pension funds and all these

31:44

funds, whenever there is an uncertainty

31:46

in the market, specifically when Trump

31:48

like people you know when there were

31:49

there is negative news that comes out,

31:51

obviously people wanted to move a safer

31:53

you know asset class. So gold acts like

31:55

that safer asset.

31:56

>> And and there is one one interesting

31:58

thing is this in this data. Normally we

32:01

have not seen the crash like 2008 and

32:05

2009 till now in the Indian market.

32:09

If you see the chart on a monthly time

32:11

frame of the Nifty, so you will

32:13

understand the most painful year was

32:15

2008 and 2011.

32:18

There were no return in that

32:20

for five years.

32:21

After that we have not seen that type of

32:25

bear market in our history only.

32:27

So always we had came down by 30, 40,

32:30

15% and in two years again we break the

32:34

high and we Uh, a rally. So this is that

32:37

important thing is that in that bad year

32:40

also you are you're going down only 16%.

32:43

>> Correct. Correct. Correct. And also know

32:45

like in 2008 and 9, you consider the

32:47

both the years together, it is almost

32:49

made 75% return.

32:50

>> Yes.

32:51

>> So, even if you take the overall CAGR.

32:53

>> Okay.

32:54

>> If I started 1 lakh at the you know year

32:57

of 2008, I would be currently sitting

32:59

with a portfolio value of 20 lakhs.

33:01

>> Oh.

33:01

>> And with the CAGR of 18%.

33:03

>> Uh, where we can make it 12% or 11% in

33:06

Nifty.

33:06

>> Correct. And with you know 11% or 12% in

33:09

Nifty comes with 60% drawdown. Here you

33:12

are making 18% CAGR with just 25%

33:14

drawdown. And you have a very good

33:16

profit factor and more know you are

33:18

easily able to beat both Nifty bees as

33:21

well as gold bees buy and sell buy and

33:23

hold.

33:23

>> this is very good return. I think 18%

33:26

you are making via this strategy only.

33:29

And then you can do option selling also

33:31

and then

33:31

>> Exactly. That is the best part because

33:33

as an option seller, see my returns

33:35

expectation is this know this there is

33:37

this rule of 72.

33:38

>> Okay.

33:39

>> So, rule of 72 states that 72 divide by

33:42

the expected rate of returns will tell

33:44

you how many years it is going to take

33:46

for you to double your capital.

33:47

>> Okay, right.

33:48

>> If I'm making only 10%.

33:50

>> Uh.

33:50

>> Then as per rule of 72, it is going to

33:52

take me 7.2 years just to double my

33:55

capital.

33:56

>> Correct.

33:56

>> My returns expectation is to make 30%.

33:59

>> And already almost 20%

34:01

>> Yeah, 18% comes from 4 year you will

34:04

make your double. Exactly. So, every

34:06

every 2.4 years, I can double my capital

34:09

if I make just 30%.

34:11

>> Okay.

34:11

>> 18% comes passively through the

34:13

strategy. Rest 12% I have to make from

34:16

option selling. You have eight expiry

34:18

per month.

34:18

>> Only 12% you have done.

34:20

>> Yeah. So, monthly only 12%.

34:22

>> are making 7 8% monthly.

34:24

>> You because here my expectation is set.

34:27

30% I make, I double my capital 2.5

34:29

years. As I said earlier, I'm not

34:31

chasing the returns. I am want lower

34:33

volatility, lower drawdown. So passively

34:36

the pledged equities, the gold bees and

34:38

nifty bees, if you buy and pledge it,

34:40

90% margin you're going to get, only 10%

34:43

haircut. And it is going to give you

34:44

18%. And rest 12% if I make per year and

34:49

my returns expectation is met, right?

34:51

>> Okay.

34:51

>> So it comes with when you know when you

34:53

manage it with nifty bees or gold bees,

34:55

if you compare

34:57

the overall CAGR is very minimal if you

34:59

start the peak of 2018. And gold bees

35:02

also the drawdown is significantly

35:03

higher.

35:04

>> Mhm.

35:05

>> But instead of putting it 50% 50% by you

35:08

know making it like this rotational

35:09

strategy, that is hitting your expected

35:12

rate of returns with a lower volatility

35:14

and it suits your

35:16

like most people

35:18

end of the day everybody wants to make

35:19

returns.

35:20

>> Right.

35:20

>> It doesn't matter if I sit every day

35:22

from 9:00 to 3:00 and end of the year I

35:24

make 30% versus I still do the same you

35:28

know once six months or once or three

35:30

months of kind of a trade returns. And

35:32

if I'm still making you know hitting

35:33

that returns part, then it doesn't

35:35

matter, right?

35:36

>> Correct.

35:37

>> I'll compare that with this you know

35:40

I'll show you this chart. So this is the

35:42

year wise chart.

35:43

>> Mhm.

35:44

>> So this is a rotational strategy year

35:45

wise returns.

35:46

>> This is which platform?

35:48

>> This is I back tested it using AI.

35:50

>> Okay.

35:51

>> So that has given me this report where

35:53

all I have to do is I just have to

35:55

download this data like I download this

35:57

data here.

35:58

>> So you you use AI also in your trading.

36:01

>> Yeah, I use you know the

36:02

>> So nowadays people are saying that AI

36:04

will take your job. You had you had you

36:06

are doing job with AI.

36:07

>> Because AI it is for a guy like me who

36:10

doesn't know coding. I always say there

36:12

are good traders, there are good coders,

36:15

but there are very few good traders who

36:17

know also coding. But for person like me

36:20

who have the market knowledge, but do

36:21

not have any coding knowledge, if I have

36:23

a idea, how do I test it? I do not know

36:26

any coding. So that was a barrier 2

36:28

years ago, 3 years ago. Now, that

36:30

barrier is totally removed.

36:31

>> So, how have you used AI in your

36:33

trading?

36:34

>> So, many things. Say, for an example,

36:36

even with the respect to this Nifty Bees

36:38

thing. So, what I did is I just

36:39

downloaded the data. Okay, overall the

36:42

you know, daily data I've downloaded it.

36:43

>> And and from where we have to download

36:45

the data?

36:46

>> download from the TradingView. If you go

36:48

here,

36:48

>> Okay.

36:49

>> I just download the chart data

36:51

and download it. That's all. The data

36:53

gets downloaded.

36:54

>> So, this will give us what?

36:56

>> So, this will give me the historical

36:57

price data from see here, if you see

37:00

like you can select the period.

37:01

>> 2018.

37:03

>> You can select 2008 also. Whatever the

37:05

period that you mention.

37:06

>> is the EOD closing price of the Nifty

37:09

Bees.

37:09

>> Nifty Bees.

37:10

>> Right.

37:10

>> Similarly, you can download the same

37:11

price for Gold

37:12

>> Gold Bees.

37:13

>> So, I download both the data.

37:15

>> Okay.

37:15

>> And also, I'll download the ratio data.

37:17

Like you have the ratio here, right?

37:19

>> Oh, yes.

37:20

>> So, ratio I'll download it here.

37:25

>> And this feature is in It is in

37:27

TradingView. I don't I didn't I did not

37:29

know also.

37:30

>> Huh.

37:31

>> [laughter]

37:31

>> So, I downloaded three sets of data.

37:34

Nifty Bees, Gold Bees, the ratio. Okay?

37:36

>> Right.

37:37

>> Now, I can go to Claude and I can

37:39

specify like see, I've attached the

37:41

files.

37:42

You go through it and I I'll show you

37:44

what I've now chatted with it. Let me go

37:46

up.

37:47

>> So, your Claude is your assistant.

37:49

>> Completely, completely. I don't know

37:51

multiple things based on that.

37:54

>> [snorts]

37:54

>> Because you know, when you just give the

37:57

clear prompts, it would automatically

37:59

you know, calculate what is the rules

38:01

that you have specified and accordingly

38:03

it is going to give you a structured

38:04

returns.

38:05

>> Okay.

38:06

>> So, this is what I said. So, I have

38:07

uploaded the data and I told see, with

38:10

respect to Nifty Bees and Gold Bees,

38:12

>> So, we uploaded only how many files?

38:15

>> So, I have uploaded the files here. Like

38:17

you know, if you scroll up, you will

38:18

see.

38:20

Yeah, here. Gold Bees and Nifty Bees

38:21

here.

38:22

>> Okay. attached to the gold bees and

38:23

nifty bees. I did not even give the

38:25

ratio. I just asked it to know, create

38:28

the ratio by yourself. So, it will

38:31

divide the values of nifty bees by gold

38:33

bees based on the whatever the actual

38:35

data we have given and accordingly it

38:37

would calculate. So, that is how this is

38:39

calculated the overall returns. We have

38:41

seen that 20 lakhs the final portfolio

38:43

and overall what is the overall rotation

38:46

strategy CAGR? What is the signal? When

38:49

did it come? Overall equity benchmark,

38:51

the drawdown.

38:53

Everything it will create and then it

38:55

has given you this HTML file.

38:57

So, this is where you know that

38:59

AS developed. So, it would automatically

39:02

analyze like this. So, it will check the

39:04

files and it would check necessary you

39:06

know, it would write the Python code on

39:09

its own and then it would automatically

39:11

you know, back test it for yourself. It

39:13

will not even give you code. It will run

39:16

the code itself and then it will

39:17

generate the output file automatically.

39:20

So, that is what it did. It

39:21

automatically you know, did all the

39:22

calculations and everything and

39:24

accordingly it would generate this HTML

39:26

file which shows that okay, out of 19

39:29

years 15 years it is profitable.

39:31

Year on year this is the overall

39:33

strategy returns of the rotation

39:34

strategy.

39:36

So, every single time you start with 1

39:38

lakh and you ended up with 20 lakhs just

39:40

by compounding your returns every year.

39:43

If you track the last 4 years like if

39:45

you compare it with you know, nifty and

39:48

if you compare it with you know, overall

39:50

out performance. So, even if you put 50%

39:53

in nifty bees and 50% in gold bees and

39:55

continuously hold it also you will not

39:57

be able to beat it.

39:58

So, it has given you you know, a

40:00

significant returns like these black

40:02

bars are nothing but the strategies

40:04

returns.

40:05

And these blue bars are the 50-50 buy

40:07

and hold. So, consistently it is able to

40:09

beat the overall returns you know, year

40:12

on year basis and as long as you run it

40:14

you know, the compounding will work in

40:16

your favor.

40:17

So, that is the best part. So, with

40:19

respect to this strategy, you don't need

40:21

any fan fancy things or anything like

40:23

all you have to do is find the ratio,

40:26

apply the ratio, and check out whenever

40:28

it gives you buy or sell signal.

40:30

>> Okay.

40:30

>> It is much easier to track the trend

40:33

based on the ratio rather than applying

40:34

it on the individual basis.

40:36

>> Right. And this is logical also.

40:38

>> Exactly. Mathematical, quantifiable. I'm

40:40

not asking you to know look for any

40:42

visual chart pattern.

40:43

>> Right.

40:43

>> It is pure mathematical.

40:45

>> I'm not tracking any news actually.

40:47

>> No news, no economic factors. Works on a

40:50

no pure core fundamental principles. And

40:52

you are able to see whichever is

40:54

trending. And obviously whichever is

40:56

trending that is going to give you the

40:57

signal here.

40:58

>> After after looking this, I think many

41:00

will stop their SIP.

41:02

>> [laughter]

41:02

>> Because normally mutual fund SIP gives

41:04

you 15 to 18% return, 20% return per

41:08

annum on a CAGR base. But if you manage

41:11

your own capital with this way,

41:13

>> Right.

41:13

>> you know, you are beating almost mutual

41:15

fund.

41:15

>> Yeah, this is for lump sum it is good.

41:17

Like SIP is totally different. SIP

41:19

>> SIP is all different thing, but for the

41:21

mutual

41:23

suppose one person is investing in

41:24

mutual fund for the long-term thing,

41:28

the lump sum amount. So, this is this is

41:30

actually you are beating mutual fund.

41:32

Yeah, right.

41:33

>> And with the lesser drawdown also.

41:34

>> Right.

41:35

>> And that that is what. So, it works the

41:37

moment you give for a longer you know

41:39

duration. The compound works in your

41:40

favor. So, if you for an example, if you

41:41

see from 2008 to 2018, the returns was

41:46

almost flat. From 2018, 19, 20 onwards,

41:49

it has grown significantly up because we

41:51

started compounding, reinvesting all the

41:53

profits. So, it started growing

41:54

significantly.

41:55

So, every year like 2020, it has given

41:58

almost 46%. 21 again 26%. 23, 24%. So,

42:03

everything like consider an option

42:05

seller guy who has just bought this

42:08

based on the you know strategies. And he

42:10

pledges it and then trades. Like now

42:12

last year I could make 28% from the

42:14

strategy itself.

42:15

>> Uh

42:16

>> My expected returns is 30% yeah.

42:18

>> So it is much easier right?

42:20

>> Correct.

42:21

>> So on the long run it works beautifully

42:24

because of the core logic which we have

42:25

told. One is turtle system rules and the

42:28

other one is Gary Antonacci's you know

42:30

dual momentum rule.

42:31

>> Okay.

42:32

>> try to combine it in a different

42:33

mathematical way so that you know that

42:35

gives you a clear idea on what asset

42:37

class you should invest in.

42:39

>> Okay Kiruji, so this is very interesting

42:41

that you invest in Nifty and gold base

42:45

as per the method which you have built

42:47

the ratio chart. But then

42:51

what you trade in option for other 12%?

42:53

Obviously you have 12% to make

42:57

maybe you are making more than 12%. But

42:59

what other thing you do in options? Like

43:02

you have told me off the camera that you

43:04

do multiple thing using AI with the

43:07

option selling. But if you can share one

43:10

simple logic or one simple strategy that

43:12

also will be very helpful for everyone.

43:14

>> Yeah sure. See whatever things we have

43:16

done is for the passive income which you

43:19

do not need to spend so much of time in

43:21

order to follow the strategy which I

43:22

have shared.

43:23

>> Right.

43:23

>> For the options what we can do is first

43:26

instead of directly

43:28

>> [clears throat]

43:28

>> directly going to a stock market or algo

43:30

test and try to create a strategy out of

43:32

it.

43:33

>> Mhm.

43:33

>> First let's study the market behavior,

43:36

understand how a zero DTE movement will

43:38

work, how on expiry days market moves.

43:41

>> Okay.

43:42

>> So this screen is something which I have

43:44

built it for my internal research

43:45

purpose.

43:46

Where I can select any zero DTE days

43:49

like if I select go back this is a zero

43:52

DTE tracker.

43:52

>> Okay zero DTE means the the expiry days.

43:55

>> Yeah expiry days it shows what is the

43:58

straddle. Say for an example

44:00

>> And what is the meaning of straddles?

44:02

Because I don't know about options.

44:03

>> I'll explain. So straddle is nothing but

44:06

at the time of market opens.

44:08

>> Oh.

44:09

>> Say market opened at around 22,500.

44:12

>> Right.

44:13

>> So 22,500 call and 22,500 put both the

44:18

strikes premium you add it together that

44:20

is the straddle premium.

44:21

>> And I will sell both the both the call

44:23

and put.

44:23

>> Correct. So at 9:16 when I check at what

44:27

price it opened

44:28

>> Huh.

44:28

>> it is around 251 rupees.

44:31

>> Correct.

44:31

>> We have to ignore 9:15 because we can't

44:33

get the correct precise price.

44:35

>> Right.

44:35

>> So this is a 9:16 price. So by 9:16

44:38

you see add call option and put option

44:40

together and you are seeing the price is

44:42

approximately around 250.

44:44

>> Mhm.

44:44

>> And this red dot is where the price has

44:47

gone to the highest level.

44:48

>> This data we are checking that is

44:49

basically of 30th March 2026.

44:53

>> Correct.

44:53

>> Right.

44:53

>> Okay. And

44:55

the straddle opened at 250 and

44:57

eventually it went to high price of 314.

45:00

>> Okay.

45:00

>> And then started declining. It reached a

45:03

low price of 98 rupees.

45:05

And again it spiked up somehow but the

45:07

end point is where it opened and where

45:10

it closed.

45:10

>> Right.

45:11

>> Opened at 215 I mean 250 and closed at

45:14

around 200 some so 50 points of overall

45:17

profits you get 196. So approximately

45:20

around 50 points of profits you make.

45:22

>> Right.

45:22

>> So likewise if you keep observing every

45:25

single straddle chart on

45:28

when I click on previous it moved to

45:29

24th March 2026 the previous weekly

45:33

expiry.

45:34

So there again it opened at 230.

45:36

>> Mhm.

45:37

>> And then it closed around 69.

45:39

>> Right.

45:39

>> And the high was around just 17% only it

45:42

moved up.

45:43

>> Okay.

45:43

>> But eventually decayed.

45:44

>> Right.

45:44

>> So once you keep studying these market

45:47

behavior

45:48

>> Huh.

45:48

>> it is clearly evident that most of the

45:51

time

45:52

the straddle decays.

45:54

>> Okay.

45:54

>> So So this is the observation.

45:56

>> Yeah.

45:56

>> So the straddle decays but if I just

45:59

leave it open without any stop loss

46:01

obviously when the market trends, I

46:03

might lose money. Right. So, I have to

46:05

study

46:06

out of multiple these kind of scenarios,

46:09

how many times the straddle from the

46:12

time it is open moved up What is the

46:14

highest point it moved If it opens at

46:16

100, if it moves to 125 rupees, then 25%

46:20

is the maximum movement it has moved.

46:22

>> Uh.

46:23

>> So, likewise, if you keep observing

46:24

every single time, you will have an

46:26

answer like what is the maximum

46:27

percentage

46:28

>> percentage it went up.

46:29

>> Yeah.

46:30

>> So, for here, it if you see, it is 9%.

46:32

>> 9%.

46:33

>> So, if you keep scrolling, it it has

46:34

seen 98% also.

46:35

>> is 98%?

46:37

>> So, I cannot you know use a small

46:39

stoploss. So, there will be instances

46:41

where it moves 55%. There will be

46:43

instances where it moves only 7%. So,

46:45

there will be calm days, there will be

46:47

wild days. So, what you can create Now,

46:50

you can go to AlgoTest, or you can go to

46:52

StockMock, and try creating a strategy

46:55

based on this observation.

46:56

>> Mhm.

46:57

>> Create a short straddle at the market

46:59

opens at 9:16. Use a combined premium

47:02

stoploss. So, that when if you're

47:05

shorting at 100 rupees, both call option

47:07

and put option together, if it moves to

47:09

130, no, together, both C and P

47:13

together, if the premium moved to 130,

47:15

then I will exit both call and put.

47:18

>> So, that I don't want to take one no

47:20

risk. I'll just trade only once a day,

47:22

only on expiry day. So, this way, what

47:25

happens, most of the time when the

47:26

market did not move beyond 30%, the

47:28

straddle will be you will make Other

47:31

days, when it hits, you're losing very

47:33

little.

47:34

So, on 100 days, 70 days, it will work

47:37

in your favor. The rest of the 30 days,

47:39

it might hit the stoploss. When you're

47:40

losing the when the stoploss is hit,

47:42

you're losing a little, but other days,

47:45

that is going to make up for the overall

47:46

profits. So, this is one kind of a

47:48

simple example where you observe the

47:51

market behavior first. Like, for an

47:53

example, in this case, it did not even

47:55

spike. Like, it opened at 472,

47:57

and it closed at 444. So, almost 400

48:00

points of profit in just one day.

48:03

So, likewise, you once you observe it,

48:05

you will have a different idea.

48:06

>> And what what is the closing time of

48:08

this straddle?

48:09

>> You close at 3:20 in the evening. So,

48:11

open at 9:16, close at 3:20 one day.

48:14

>> again here you are you are protecting

48:16

the risk.

48:17

And you are allowing the profit.

48:19

>> Right. I am not trying to create option

48:20

buying strategy. I'm not trying to make

48:22

50 100% returns because my expectation

48:24

as I said is clear. Make 30%. 18% comes

48:28

passively. Remaining 12% is my

48:30

expectations. And in that case, just one

48:33

trade. So, we have eight expiries in a

48:35

month. So, even if even if this works

48:37

and gives you a 0.25% returns, that

48:40

itself is going to give you, you know,

48:41

2% returns in the end of the month. So,

48:43

your target will be hit. So, now when

48:45

you go and, you know, build model on

48:47

based of on top of this, then the

48:50

expected rate of returns can be

48:51

achieved.

48:52

>> Okay. And other than this this is just

48:55

one logic you had shared here.

48:58

Uh other than this, you invest in stocks

49:00

also?

49:01

>> Stocks I do only SIPs, but not in

49:04

stocks. I do only with respect to mutual

49:07

funds, and that too only on the index

49:09

funds. See, I after I read one article,

49:12

I stopped doing SIPs on the stocks.

49:15

>> Okay. What is that?

49:16

>> So, it is all about say it happened in

49:19

19 150 years before. Okay? Before even

49:23

the oil was found.

49:25

150 years before, people

49:28

what they used to do is

49:29

they will go for a whale hunting. So,

49:32

that is the major business. Why do

49:34

people go for a whale hunting is not for

49:36

the you know, meat of the fish.

49:39

They do this because from the whale,

49:41

they are able to extract a wax.

49:44

And using that wax, they can use it in

49:46

the industries to burn lamps, to you

49:48

know, light oils. So,

49:51

back then when kerosene oil was not

49:52

discovered, they were using the wax from

49:54

the whale to run the industries.

49:57

And everyone will go for this, you know,

50:00

whale hunting. So, people who were

50:02

having the ships who would go for the

50:04

whale hunting, the moment they capture

50:05

the whale, that's it, their complete

50:07

yearly profit is done. So, they were the

50:09

millionaires.

50:10

>> Oh, okay.

50:11

>> Back then. People who would go and hunt

50:12

the whales, they became millionaires.

50:14

People who were funding the, you know,

50:15

for the whale hunting, who were giving

50:16

the ships, they were also making

50:18

millionaires. So, one whole industry was

50:20

a millionaire industry.

50:21

>> Right.

50:22

>> After some 20 or 30 years, they

50:25

discovered oil.

50:26

The moment they discovered oil, people

50:28

stopped going for whale hunting. It is,

50:30

you know, no more uh it's no more

50:31

profitable

50:32

>> no profitable business, huh.

50:34

>> And everybody started really digging

50:35

oil, and then it's it became an industry

50:38

standard. And people who were

50:40

millionaires went bankrupt overnight

50:43

because nobody started, you know, using

50:45

the wax from the whale. Because it

50:47

doesn't make sense.

50:48

The disruption will happen like that.

50:50

So, an industry which is top most

50:52

industry, take Kodak. Kodak camera was

50:54

one of the best cameras in the world,

50:55

right? But they did not know were able

50:58

to move to the advanced one. Even there

51:00

is one guy from Kodak employee who

51:03

created the first digital camera. But

51:06

they did not accept that because Kodak

51:08

was relying on film rolls.

51:10

>> Mhm.

51:10

>> They said, "No, if we move to this

51:12

digital camera, our film roll business

51:14

will eventually lose money, so we can't

51:16

do this." But eventually what happened?

51:18

Some other company, you know, started

51:20

giving this digital camera, and

51:21

eventually eventually they went

51:23

bankrupt.

51:24

Same with Micromax. Same with Nokia. So,

51:26

the industry leader who was today might

51:28

not be the industry leader tomorrow, no

51:30

matter what.

51:31

>> Mhm.

51:31

>> So, when I do an SIP, I'm not doing for

51:33

5 years or 6 years. I'm doing it for my

51:36

next generation. I just wanted to know

51:37

because in our parents' generation, they

51:39

would have invested in land.

51:40

>> Correct.

51:41

>> In our generation, we have invested in

51:42

these kind of liquid assets. So, I want

51:44

to pass on the wealth to my kid. So, for

51:46

that I need to be really certain that

51:49

the investment value will not go down.

51:51

So, studying the industry histories has

51:54

told me that okay, whoever is a market

51:55

leader today might go bankrupt. So, I

51:58

might invest, but what if in case if the

52:00

company is not there anymore? What if

52:01

the industry is not there anymore? But

52:03

one thing that I'm really certain is

52:05

index funds will always be there.

52:07

Economy, the overall index is nothing

52:09

but it's a trend following system

52:11

because they keep the good companies,

52:12

kick out the bad companies.

52:13

>> Correct.

52:14

>> So, that is the core idea behind index

52:16

funds.

52:16

>> Okay.

52:17

>> So, when I keep doing the SIPs on the

52:18

index funds, be it Nifty Bees, be it

52:20

Gold Bees, that is I'm very

52:22

No, I'm very confident this will be

52:25

there for the next 30 years or 40 years.

52:27

Even though it is giving me a minimal

52:28

returns, but the returns will be there.

52:30

>> Right. Actually, you are not getting

52:32

minimal returns. You are you are making

52:34

good return than other fund managers

52:35

also.

52:36

>> when you make good thing for a prolonged

52:38

period of time, that compounds.

52:39

>> Mhm.

52:40

>> So, that is why I stopped doing No,

52:42

stocks SIP and started doing only index

52:44

SIP.

52:44

>> Now, one more question. This is very

52:46

personal. If you want to answer, you can

52:47

answer or you can say no also.

52:50

>> Mhm.

52:50

>> So,

52:51

uh with how much capital you started

52:53

your trading journey, trading or

52:55

investment journey?

52:57

>> See, when I started trading, it was in

52:59

2008. I started with 5,000 rupees of my

53:02

scholarship money, right? And that has

53:04

happened like before even I went to

53:05

work. And when I started working in

53:07

Infosys, my salary was 15,000.

53:09

>> Mhm.

53:10

>> And eventually, you know, once I started

53:12

learning about the markets, whatever

53:13

things that I learned or whatever the

53:16

work that I did, every single money I

53:18

have, you know, started putting into the

53:19

markets. Every single thing I have

53:21

started putting into my strategies.

53:22

>> Mhm.

53:23

>> And over the period, it started

53:24

compounding both the investing part and

53:26

the trading part also. Now, I'm

53:27

currently trading with the capital of

53:29

around the 2.5 CR.

53:31

>> Mhm.

53:31

>> Where I pledge, like I don't trade with

53:33

the cash as you said. I will pledge that

53:35

for all of our these kind of rotational

53:37

strategies.

53:38

And then using the margin, I trade. So,

53:40

I currently I trade only on zero DD. I

53:42

don't trade on other days.

53:43

>> Okay, so you don't need cash for M2M

53:45

also.

53:46

>> M2M I'll keep 10%. Okay, M2M definitely

53:49

you need it. So, whatever the overall

53:51

capital you have, 10% of that will be in

53:53

always in cash. So, that no, you don't

53:55

need to liquidate your assets. The rest

53:57

of the things will be in the mutual

53:59

funds or it will be in the gold bees or

54:01

nifty bees.

54:01

>> So, from 5,000 rupees to 2,000 2 crore 5

54:06

2.5 crore, so you have never withdraw

54:09

anything from this amount?

54:10

>> No, see I've only added more funds into

54:12

it because see over the period your

54:14

income will also grow. So, when you are

54:17

when you're making higher income from

54:18

your job, you add in more funds. So, it

54:21

is not that I turned 5,000 rupees into

54:23

2.5

54:24

>> Obviously, you have invested also.

54:26

>> I've invested more and more money which

54:28

I've now generated from my other incomes

54:29

and put into the trading. That is how it

54:31

grown. So, when you keep taking out the

54:34

cash for this and no, when you don't

54:36

allow for the capital to grow,

54:38

compounding becomes much Like for an

54:40

example, last year I took out my profits

54:42

to buy the flat. Correct? If I have run

54:45

with the same capital, definitely my

54:46

returns would have been significantly

54:48

higher. But there are certain moments

54:50

where you can't equate it, right? So,

54:51

those kind of emotional moments has to

54:53

be there.

54:53

>> What was your last year profit which you

54:56

invest in your flat?

54:57

>> So, that I took almost 1.5 CR. So, 1.5

55:00

CR is a flat. I took almost some 80 to

55:03

90 lakhs from it. Rest I kept it in

55:04

trading account. And I know rest I just

55:07

put it up on EMI and then went on.

55:09

>> That's that's very good. And now since

55:11

how long you are trading full time

55:13

trading and investing?

55:14

>> 2017 is when I quit my job. So, 2017 to

55:18

till date now I'm totally into full

55:19

time.

55:19

>> Okay, but since like 2008,

55:23

for example, you are trading. So, 2008

55:25

till 2017, almost 10 years,

55:28

you traded with your job only.

55:31

So, why I'm asking you this question

55:33

because normally people what they think,

55:36

if you do trading for 1 year and then

55:39

they going they then they stop doing job

55:42

because they think that I have learned

55:43

many things. And up to job come a full

55:46

time trader

55:48

but this is not the actually thing. I I

55:50

told many people that don't do don't you

55:53

know

55:54

don't quit your job because you are

55:56

started trading before 1 year because

55:59

you have not seen the proper cycle also.

56:01

Okay, if your job is okay obviously

56:04

nobody loves their job but if your job

56:07

is giving you bread and butter and if it

56:09

is giving you a comfortable stress-free

56:11

life

56:12

for your family then you should work

56:14

with your job and you make your strategy

56:17

like that that you can do with your job

56:19

also. And nowadays it is very easily

56:22

possible. It is not that that you cannot

56:26

make money with working also. Right. So

56:29

and in 2014 there was not so many

56:33

platform but now there are so many

56:35

platform. You just bring your logic you

56:37

try to apply here and you just do it.

56:40

And to make more money you need money

56:43

also. So you have to work for that to

56:46

become a to make good capital also.

56:49

So that is the thing and you know when

56:51

you do things like when you quit your

56:53

job and try to become a full time trader

56:55

when I did in my case what happened is

56:57

before I quit the job I was making at

56:59

that point of time I was making good

57:01

money from trading itself. Three times

57:02

of my salary was coming from my trading

57:05

income for 3 months. Then it gave you

57:06

huge confidence. The moment I quit the

57:08

job the next month I was getting 7,000

57:10

rupees and the next month I was you know

57:13

making a loss of minus 50,000 rupees.

57:15

So one then only you know the reality

57:17

has hit you hard because you will have

57:20

lot many calculations in your mind. But

57:22

the moment you were you know so used to

57:25

a fixed income every month suddenly when

57:27

you are you know exposed to a

57:29

fluctuating income trading income

57:31

you will that that will put you in

57:32

enormous pressure. So, if someone is

57:35

trying to quit their job, the first and

57:36

foremost thing that they have to do is

57:39

do not depend on trading income at least

57:40

for next 2 years.

57:41

>> Mhm.

57:42

>> Keep a buffer income. Keep some you know

57:44

side income or keep a buffer capital

57:46

that can take care of all your expenses

57:47

for 2 years.

57:48

>> Mhm.

57:49

>> Because you should not get any pressure

57:51

to pay the EMI, pay buy the groceries,

57:54

you know, pay the rent, EMIs. All those

57:56

things will put so much of pressure.

57:58

When so much of pressure is there, you

57:59

will deviate from your rules. You will

58:01

start taking the trades which you're not

58:02

supposed to take. Eventually that will,

58:04

you know, put a lot of dent. So, the

58:06

utmost criteria is have an income which

58:09

you are not depend on trading for 2

58:11

years. That will give you a smooth

58:13

sailing you know route. And then

58:14

eventually you can jump in.

58:16

>> And then only you can, you know, you can

58:18

wait to, you know,

58:20

this decay for [laughter] your trader

58:22

trader. Otherwise you will square off at

58:24

100 point or 50 point because of the

58:26

pressure.

58:28

Okay. So, Kiranvai, I like this very

58:30

much and actually I was expecting some

58:34

uh

58:35

uh what we complicated strategy from

58:37

your side, but I found that you are very

58:40

simple and very, you know, process

58:42

driven person.

58:43

>> Right.

58:43

>> So, I hope I look at the year podcast at

58:46

the whole day. Go. Now

58:48

Mira Hamisha key intention hota hai ki

58:51

main Joe trader hai ya Joe be investor

58:54

hai unko aapke samne leke aao or unka

58:57

tarika aapke sath share karo. Now

58:59

Kiranvai, in this podcast Joe apne

59:02

bataya hai that Nifty gold and

59:06

Nifty gold

59:07

ratio chart that is a takeaway for me.

59:11

Okay. If that that process is making 18

59:14

to 16% return, that is actually a very

59:16

big thing.

59:17

>> Exactly.

59:18

>> Because this is only for two different

59:20

asset class. What if in case you find

59:23

such a ratio in some other stocks, two

59:24

different stocks? If both are

59:26

uncorrelated to each other. apply the

59:28

same ratio in that and try to back test

59:30

it. What if in case that gives you 20%

59:31

or 24%? So, it is just I just opened a

59:34

path to the users. From here, people can

59:36

try multiple other things and they can

59:39

create their own different set of

59:40

systems.

59:41

>> this ratio chart, we can also understand

59:43

that now we have to be in the market or

59:45

not.

59:46

>> Mhm. Exactly.

59:46

>> And that is also the thing. So, thank

59:49

you, Kirubai. Thank you very much.

1:00:12

And once again, thank you, sir. Thank

1:00:14

you.

1:00:14

>> Thank you. Thank you so much, Vijay. As

1:00:16

I said earlier, whatever things that

1:00:18

you're really doing, I know I'm I'm I

1:00:20

can really feel that energy that you are

1:00:22

really a humble person and you wanted to

1:00:25

explain or convey many things to your

1:00:28

subscriber base. So, you always feel the

1:00:30

gratitude and I could literally see

1:00:32

that.

1:00:32

>> And and I feel that responsibility also.

1:00:35

That I should not take anyone's else on

1:00:38

that seat. Because that seat is very,

1:00:41

you know, responsible one.

1:00:43

>> Very true. Very true.

1:00:43

>> So, that's why my number of podcasts are

1:00:46

very less because I try to connect with

1:00:49

the real person, with the real genuine

1:00:51

trader or investor. So, that's it.

1:01:18

But, this is very good thing.

1:01:20

>> Right. Yeah, that is what. So, because

1:01:22

we are always so used to one

1:01:24

perspective. But, when you try to mix

1:01:26

you know these two things like Turtle

1:01:27

Traders system is one system, Dual

1:01:30

Momentum is one system. But, combining

1:01:31

it together, creating a ratio of it, and

1:01:33

apply the rules on the ratio is

1:01:35

something I find it very fascinating.

1:01:37

Because this uh you know this idea comes

1:01:40

like you know for traders most of the

1:01:42

idea will come when you're taking a

1:01:43

shower. That is your you know thinking

1:01:45

room. When I was taking a shower

1:01:46

suddenly you know I used to think,

1:01:47

"Okay, this is a nice idea."

1:01:49

>> Right.

1:01:49

>> But, if I have to try this maybe 5 or 10

1:01:52

years before, I have to rely on a coder.

1:01:54

Now, with the help of AI, you can

1:01:56

directly download the data from

1:01:58

TradingView, give it to AI, instantly

1:01:59

you get the result, right? That is what

1:02:01

this

1:02:02

>> So, one more question. I am using

1:02:04

generally ChatGPT.

1:02:05

>> Okay.

1:02:05

>> What do you think I should shift to

1:02:07

Claude or ChatGPT? Because there is one

1:02:09

guy who is also using good AI.

1:02:11

>> Okay.

1:02:12

>> He told me that Vijay, please shift to

1:02:14

Claude AI because that is much better.

1:02:16

So, what is your view?

1:02:17

>> See, there are four different AI

1:02:19

platforms which is for four different

1:02:21

purposes.

1:02:21

>> Mhm.

1:02:22

>> Perplexity

1:02:24

No, the Perplexity AI is specifically

1:02:26

for

1:02:27

search purposes. It replaces the Google.

1:02:29

Now, I I never go to Google now and

1:02:32

search for something. Instead, I use my

1:02:34

Perplexity app for research.

1:02:36

>> Okay.

1:02:37

>> Specifically for searching something.

1:02:38

>> Okay.

1:02:39

>> Next thing is ChatGPT is your buddy.

1:02:42

Like whatever things that you have say

1:02:44

suppose I'm repeatedly getting a

1:02:46

headache, what should I do? So, it it's

1:02:47

your chat buddy where whatever things

1:02:50

you know suddenly have certain things in

1:02:52

your mind, go and chat it.

1:02:53

>> Mhm.

1:02:54

>> For all trading related purposes, for

1:02:56

all research purposes, for all analysis

1:02:58

purposes, start using Claude.

1:03:01

Claude is the best. Whether if you

1:03:03

wanted to write a Pine Script, it will

1:03:04

write. You want to write a Python, it

1:03:06

will write. The number of errors that

1:03:08

you're going to face will be

1:03:09

significantly lower in Claude than any

1:03:12

other platform. Gemini AI, you can just

1:03:15

say for example you want you wanted to

1:03:16

watch a one-hour podcast, but I want the

1:03:19

summary of it in short. So, now I will

1:03:21

use Gemini AI or I use Perplexity

1:03:23

Assistant to summarize the video so that

1:03:26

I'll take important learnings from that.

1:03:27

Okay, so you segregate each and every AI

1:03:30

tools for specific work that will do

1:03:32

wonders for you.

1:03:33

>> Okay.

1:03:55

>> Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

1:04:00

>> [music]

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