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Newton on the Beach: Principia Mathematica

1:15:40EnglishTranscribed Jul 15, 2026
0:05

Stanford University

0:30

it is a great pleasure and privilege to

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introduce Simon Schaffer professor of

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History of Science in the department of

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history and philosophy of science at

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Cambridge and this year's Harry Camp

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Memorial lecturer Schaffer without a

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doubt is one of the most respected

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accomplished and exciting historians of

0:46

science working today his best known

0:49

work is leviathan in the air pump Hobs

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boil and the experimental life

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1985 co-authored co-authored with Steven

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shapen this work is a land Mark in the

1:00

development of the social and cultural

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approach to the history of science

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dominant today and in particular it aims

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to give a social historical and

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political analysis of the rise of

1:11

experimental science as typified by Bo's

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canonical experiments with the air pump

1:17

to this end shapen and Schaffer

1:19

investigate less well-known contemporary

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alternatives to Bo's interpretations of

1:24

such experiments especially those of

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Thomas Hobs and show in particular how

1:29

boils eventual Triumph was inextricably

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connected with the political challenges

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of restoration

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England Hobbs as shapen and Schaffer

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were the first to emphasize was thus

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simultaneously a central political

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theorist of the restoration and a key

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figure in the development of

1:47

experimental

1:48

science their book has been universally

1:51

regarded ever since as to quote Owen

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Hanway simply one of the most original

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enjoyable and important books published

1:59

in the history of Science in recent

2:01

years shapen and Schaffer were awarded

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the prestigious Dutch arasmus prize for

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contributions to the humanities in

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2005 Schaffer's own work however ranges

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much more widely including the history

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of Newtonian astronomy and Newtonian

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natural philosophy experimental

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instrumentation Darwin and other topics

2:22

in Victorian science medicine time

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machines and Computing machines and most

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recently the role of scientific

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instruments in Naval and Maritime

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Pursuits I cannot even attempt to

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summarize Schaffer's wide ranging

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production comprising some 120 and

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Counting articles and books instead I

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will briefly touch on two of my

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particular favorites both relevant to

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his ongoing interest in the history of

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Newtonian astronomy and natural

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philosophy first I cannot resist

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mentioning his early 1978 paper the

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Phoenix of nature fire and evolutionary

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cosmology in Wright and Kant which

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provides a novel perspective on Emanuel

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kant's early contributions to cosmology

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by comparing kant's work in detail with

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that of the Englishman Thomas Wright it

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is well known that Kant first derived

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his ideas on the Milky Way galaxy from

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Wright's earlier work but no one before

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Schaffer attempted a detailed comparison

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of WR and K paying particular attention

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to wri's later unpublished manuscripts

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in this way in particular Schaffer

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uncovers a further conceptual element

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that was necessary to transform the

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static Newtonian cosmology stably

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maintained by the direct action of God

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into a truly evolutionary account of the

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formation of galaxies and nebuli namely

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the unique element of fire the matter of

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heat which provided a crucial active

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agency within matter

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itself but perhaps the most important of

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Schaffer's contri utions to Newtonian

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studies so far is his 1989 paper Glass

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Works Newton's prisms and the uses of

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experiment this paper is another

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landmark in the new contextualist

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approach to the history of experiment

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represented by Leviathan and the air

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pump but applied this time to a rather

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more ambitious case Newton's famous

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experimentum Cruis demonstrating

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according to Newton the composition of

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sunlight out of simple homogeneous color

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raised distinguished by their differing

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degrees of refrangibility as evidenced

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by different angles of refraction after

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going through the

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prism Schaffer provides an extremely

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careful and thorough deconstruction of

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the transparent self-evidence this

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experiment was supposed to possess

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appealing in particular to Newton's

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early manuscript lectures beautifully

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illustrating how the prism first became

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an experimental instrument and how

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doubts and unclarities concerning the

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details of Newton's preparation and

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manipulation of his prisms then needed

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urgently to be

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overcome indeed the question of who had

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the most suitable prisms Newton or his

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critics continued to complicate the

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issue until well after the publication

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of Newton's Optics Schaffer's paper to

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the best of my knowledge is the richest

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historical analysis of Newton's

5:22

experimentum Cruis that has yet

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appeared today however Simon Schaffer

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has a still more ambitious Target

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Newton's mathematical principles of

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natural philosophy I eagerly await what

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he has to say on the subject of Newton

5:36

on the beach the information order of

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prinkipia

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Mathematica thank you very

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much well first of course I'm

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extraordinarily grateful and honored by

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the invitation to give this year's Harry

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Camp lectures here in Stanford nothing

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is more terrifying than an inductive

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series which includes EP Thompson and

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Edward SED and Anthony Grafton and

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Claude Levy Strauss of which I am

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supposed to be the next

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term I'm also very honored indeed to be

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delivering lectures under the rubric of

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the concept of the dignity and worth of

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the indiv indidual and I'll try to show

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in today's lectures in today's lecture

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and

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Wednesday's um that some of the work at

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least that I want to address with you

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addresses also that concept certainly

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there's a connection between what I want

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to say this evening and the concept of

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the dignity and worth of the individual

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because my talk focuses on an exemplary

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in individual Isaac Newton and it

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attempts to address the nature of his

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individuality I begin with this

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citation which in a strange way is from

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Newton I don't myself believe that

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Newton ever said this but it is the

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second most famous thing Newton ever

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said the most famous thing Newton ever

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said he certainly wrote

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that stuff about shoulders and

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Giants which Robert Merton so

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brilliantly analyzed and I wish Merton

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had analyzed this too because then my

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task would have been much easier than it

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is let me read it out I know not how I

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may seem to the world says Newton but as

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to myself I seem to have been only like

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a boy playing on the seashore and

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diverting myself in now and then finding

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a smoother Pebble or a prettier shell

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than ordinary whilst the great ocean of

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Truth lay all undiscovered before me now

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there are several reasons I won't bore

8:13

you with them why Newton couldn't

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possibly have said that the most obvious

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is that it's

8:19

poetic and it's literally poetic The

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Source text is Milton's Paradise

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regained that great um meditation on the

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good old cause the imagery of a boy

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playing with shells is taken from the

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conversation between Christ and Satan

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about the worthlessness so Christ holds

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of Greek philosophy Greek philosophy

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according to Milton's Christ is like a

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boy playing on the seashore diverting

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himself with

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shells but my concern here is not with

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the Poetics of this remarkable

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self-description there is by the way

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another reason why Newton couldn't

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possibly have said this it's

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modest rather my concern is with a much

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more brutal biographical fact which is

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that Newton never was on the seashore

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and he never saw the ocean he saw no

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Tides save along the temps he never used

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the moon to navigate at sea he had no

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obvious interest in shells he was no

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great traveler he spent his entire life

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between Lincolnshire Cambridge and a

9:39

number of London houses pubs and offices

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in fact as far as I've been able to

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ascertain it's the sort of thing we

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social constructivists do he is known to

9:51

have been on a boat only once and that

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was with Christian hkin going up River

9:57

from Westminster to Hampton Court in

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summer 1689 to try and get a

10:03

job so this is a man who in many ways

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did not

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move as my colleague Rob iff has shown

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there was a very direct connection

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between this ingeniously worked image of

10:19

seclusion and authority and the

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religious and cosmological program that

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Newton espoused the wars of the learned

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so Newton held were due to making public

10:33

what should be secreted and the Affairs

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of a corrupt state and church were

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poisonous for the pursuit of

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Truth in other words nowhere and yet

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strangely everywhere and indeed nowhere

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therefore everywhere this Newtonian

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Solitude allowed a kind of imitatio Dei

10:59

an imitation of

11:02

God this was massively reinforced as

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many of you will know of course in the

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iconography of the Newtonian project let

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me just run through some of that

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iconography in a

11:17

Cavalier and Barbarian way this is the

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first and most important printed image

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of Newton it's the frest piece of the

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first English version of prinkipia which

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was printed in London two years after

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Newton's death and it shows newon

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communing with an angel in heaven to

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whom he reveals and from whom he learns

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the truths of celestial physics and that

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image is played on again and again from

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then on throughout the AL claron

12:00

in Jan Batista paton's

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magnificent uh allegory to the memory of

12:06

s Isaac Newton which I've discussed

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elsewhere um in my work that Michael

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treated so generously in the

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introduction on Newton's prism

12:16

experiments what you see here is the

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crucial

12:21

experiment standing instead of Newton

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who is nowhere to be seen in this image

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Newton's ashes are in that n

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and the Ancients gorp at his Triumph but

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he's

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absent and even when he's not absent as

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here in Louis bou's magnificent project

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of the 1780s for a senat in memory of

12:44

Sir Isaac Newton just to give you an

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idea of the scale for those of you who

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haven't seen Pete greenway's Masterpiece

12:50

the belly of an architect these are fur

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trees that's the size of the of the

12:56

project and there again Newton's tomb

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Solitude and cosmology welded

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together this image barely needs a gloss

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Blake's magnificent image of

13:09

1795 an image of

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catastrophic solitude but Solitude and

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withdrawal nevertheless and finally my

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favorite George Sha's project of 1839

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tragically never built um to construct a

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kind of Boule esque Monument over

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Newton's house in Kensington um so this

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is a this is a street in Kensington and

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this is what would have been built over

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it had sha had his way what's that

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iconography about it's about Solitude

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and

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immobility and the iconography of

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Newton's Solitude and immobility of

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course must seem all the more striking

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because his program launched in the mid

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1680s and under revision for the next

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three decades so evidently mastered a

14:03

global creation involving the heights of

14:06

Tides the lengths of pendulums positions

14:09

of comets and moons the tales of

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well-traveled Mariners and missionaries

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and Merchants and mercenaries and I

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couldn't think of anybody else whose

14:19

name begins with n the Divine Newton

14:22

then could describe how bodies acted on

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each other instantly and at age

14:29

distance precisely because he could act

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instantly and at a distance without any

14:38

mediation but immediate action at a

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distance is not sadly a plausible

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historical nor sociological principle so

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my aim briefly here is to use this

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figure of the Newtonian individual the

14:54

Newtonian solitary to examine the

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emergence and workings of of other

14:59

systems of knowledge in early modern

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natural philosophy his prinkipia must

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stand as the Glorious testimony to the

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achievement of a putatively cloistered

15:11

analyst of the mathematics of motion The

15:14

Telltale remark about the playful Beach

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coma and the ocean of Truth helps

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underwrite I believe the notion that

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nothing like testimony or reportage or

15:27

trust or storytelling

15:29

can ever play a consequential role in

15:32

the Newtonian Triumph nor perhaps if one

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follows the huian lesson about the

15:37

emergent necessity of permanent Sciences

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could it play such a role in any

15:42

successfully completed analytical

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science so part of the provocation of my

15:48

project is a desire to put Newton back

15:51

on the beach where he

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belongs and part of it is to analyze

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what recent Scholars have called the

16:01

information order in which his

16:04

Masterpiece was

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produced the contrast in iconography

16:11

needs perhaps a little emphasis so

16:15

here's the contrasting case um this is a

16:19

magnificent image from Hanover uh of lib

16:23

knits choosing between the ancient and

16:27

the modern philosophy a task which as

16:29

you see for the enlightenment must take

16:33

place on your own you can't make that

16:36

choice in company and the contrast is

16:39

between this notion of epicurian

16:42

withdrawal and the extraordinary

16:45

mobility of a figure like liit those are

16:48

liet's journeys during his lifetime and

16:50

the the contrast with Newton is

16:52

extremely marked I mean on this map

16:55

Newton moves basically in a small circle

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around

17:02

London so that's the kind of contrast

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which I want to make something of the

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contrast between those kinds of

17:10

displacements and the way in which

17:12

scholarship focuses on the extreme

17:15

Solitude withdrawal and individuation of

17:19

Newton working uh alone in Trinity

17:22

College in Cambridge in these rooms next

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to Ren's Chapel

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okay so that's the premise in every

17:32

sense now what do I mean by information

17:36

order such that prinkipia Mathematica

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could possess

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one well as many of my colleagues in the

17:45

history of Science and several people in

17:46

this room have shown us Long Range

17:49

Systems that allowed the accumulation of

17:51

facts and commodities were decisive

17:54

aspects of the knowledge order of this

17:56

period in her brilliant analysis is of

17:59

what she calls the information

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ceremonies of the old regime the

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historian Michelle Fogle shows how

18:06

control over the production of

18:08

information was surrounded with complex

18:10

rituals where the state's power was both

18:13

dramatized and reinforced Larry Stewart

18:17

has demonstrated Beyond dispute the

18:19

entanglement of Newtonian natural

18:22

philosophy with the commercial and trade

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Revolutions of Georgian Britain and he's

18:27

pursued these inside into the newly

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globalized trade networks Britain's

18:33

Empire then established these historians

18:36

and others have brought out the spatial

18:38

the political the commercial dimensions

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of early modern knowledge regimes and of

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course L shinger recent edited

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collection with Claudia Swan on Colonial

18:49

botany does precisely that for a vast

18:52

area of the natural historical

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Enterprise information for these studies

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is a term designed to capture something

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somewhat more broadly shared and less

19:06

challenged than formalized knowledges so

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I want to invert in some sense an

19:13

intuitive contrast to which we might too

19:16

hastily subscribe it seems to me

19:19

information might be helpful here

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because it inverts a received hierarchy

19:26

information let me push this paper boat

19:28

onto to the ocean of truth would be the

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commonly taken for granted rather less

19:34

disputed and less disputable material

19:38

knowledge would look more mutable its

19:41

status certainly more debatable so one

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of the historians whose work I'm

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absolutely drawing on here Chris Bailey

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sorry sir Christopher Bailey um

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historian of um Britain and India has

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pointed out that in early modern society

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I'm quoting from him the information

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order was

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decentralized consisting of many

20:06

overlapping knowledge rich

20:09

communities okay now within the

20:12

information order there were what Peter

20:15

Burke has called information

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Brokers their names are very familiar to

20:21

us as protagonists of the knowledge

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regime which matters for newtonianism

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bacon Merc sen harlib rodo colber

20:32

Oldenburg lietz Sloan and they

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functioned in an information order which

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sometimes called itself the Republic of

20:40

letters in which there was print

20:42

Commerce and stock investment news books

20:46

subscription systems and

20:48

encyclopedias and the reason why we

20:51

might want to attend to these

20:53

information orders is that they were

20:57

themselves part of the nent iconography

21:01

through which early modern societies

21:04

represented Global networks and again I

21:07

will in a barbarian fashion run through

21:10

a series of Fairly familiar images Each

21:13

of which would deserve a Harry Camp

21:15

lecture to

21:18

itself Yost Aman's magnificent allegory

21:22

of trade made for antp in the late 1500s

21:27

with an image of the world and the City

21:29

of antp the Fountain of trade the arms

21:33

of the guilds and each of the crafts of

21:35

the city the noble families and their

21:38

coats of arms an entire representation

21:41

of an information and Commercial order

21:45

athanasius Kira's great Jesuit horoscope

21:48

of

21:50

1646 um which represents a Global

21:54

Network in a way that my friend Bruno

21:57

lur can only dream

22:00

of since for each Jesuit base there is

22:05

um a sundal shown which allows the

22:08

calculation of universal and local time

22:11

and yet organized in our Boreal and

22:14

hierarchical form or this image again

22:18

very familiar from um Samuel peress

22:22

hutus postumus uh which organizes the

22:26

Protestant and English project as a

22:29

providential revelation of a vast

22:33

history of Naval networking extending

22:36

from Noah's Arc to Francis Drake and

22:40

everything in

22:44

between and then the single most

22:46

familiar representation of the global

22:49

basis of knowledge the uh iconography

22:52

that Francis Bacon ripped off from the

22:56

hapsburg programs of of Spanish

22:59

Conquest I show these because I just

23:02

want to remind us of the

23:05

self-consciousness in the culture that

23:08

we're trying to characterize of the

23:10

globalized forms through which

23:12

information was accumulated extracted

23:15

distributed exchanged and judged that's

23:19

important for my argument but alongside

23:23

what we might call the sublime of

23:26

information orders there is of of course

23:29

the satire of information orders

23:33

sorry so this print by vaslav holla

23:37

great Bohemian uh draftsman made in 1642

23:41

when's Last holla the world is governed

23:44

by opinion takes exactly the same

23:47

thematics and inverts it information and

23:50

intelligence is subversive it's

23:54

unreliable as the events of the south

23:57

sea Bubble Show there's an information

24:00

catastrophe in Newton's period and that

24:04

catastrophe hinged on the difficulty of

24:08

paing reliable from unreliable knowledge

24:13

information and intelligence were

24:16

unstable and hard to judge think for

24:20

example of the contrast between the work

24:24

of Dutchmen such as Kemper who reported

24:27

the most biz

24:28

facts about Japanese religious

24:31

ceremonies and the pseudo formosan

24:34

George psalmanazar Who reported that his

24:37

alleged home the island of Formosa

24:40

hosted ghastly rituals of infant

24:43

sacrifice and cannibalism this was what

24:46

was called paper fuel that was the

24:49

phrase for newsbooks and coffee houses

24:51

so take this example this is um the

24:56

alphabet of the language of Formosa

24:58

according to the uh pseudo foros George

25:03

salmanazar he was in fact where in

25:07

174 a uh aenor born lapsed Jesuit who

25:12

pretended to be from Taiwan and arrived

25:15

in London in the summer of 1704 was

25:18

introduced of course to the president of

25:20

the Royal Society Isaac Newton and

25:23

immediately published a history and what

25:25

we might Now call ethnography of the

25:28

island of Formosa including its

25:31

alphabet and a map of where it is all

25:36

this was

25:37

fake but that was not obvious and

25:40

especially it was not obvious to English

25:42

academics salmanazar was immediately

25:45

given a job as a lecturer in foros at

25:48

the University of thank goodness

25:53

Oxford but one had to discriminate

25:56

between this represent

25:58

entation and this

26:02

one which is also a map of Japan and the

26:05

islands to the east of Japan and you'll

26:07

recognize it as the fronti piece of

26:09

volume three of guler's

26:12

travels and this which is scher's map of

26:18

Japan dedicated to Sahan Sloan president

26:22

of the Royal Society in succession to

26:24

Newton and londoners were asked to judge

26:27

whether this representation of a

26:29

Japanese priest is less or more

26:32

plausible than Salon aar's

26:34

representation of a foros one I show you

26:37

these then to remind us that not only

26:41

were information orders fundamental for

26:45

the accumulation of knowledge but they

26:47

were simultaneously recognized as being

26:50

the source of chaos catastrophe and

26:54

difficult

26:55

judgment now in tracing these net

26:58

networks of trade and knowledge in their

27:00

regulative work it seems to me we need

27:04

first to follow the suggestions of

27:06

recent historians of the process Hal

27:09

Cook Steve Harris and others in his

27:13

provocative analysis of the interaction

27:15

between Dutch Merchant Enterprise and

27:17

natural history cook rightly points out

27:20

to us how Collective and creditworthy

27:24

accumulation of goods and information

27:26

characterized the Dutch economic system

27:29

and its knowledge regime too inventory

27:33

investment the invention of Maintenance

27:37

Technologies as he calls it of storage

27:39

and classing and warehousing were

27:42

simultaneously systems of knowledge

27:45

accumulation and systems of world making

27:48

soal rightly argues whether in libraries

27:51

or Gardens pharmacies or museums

27:55

similarly Steve Harris uses the career

27:58

of the Dutch East India Company

28:00

alongside those of the Spanish and of

28:02

Jesuit longrange knowledge networks to

28:04

show us the ways in which travel

28:07

expropriation and accumulation provided

28:10

both the social modes of existence of

28:13

the early modern capitalist system and

28:15

the knowledge regime of crucial

28:18

institutions bluntly credit was after

28:22

all how these goods were got and

28:25

accumulated and how they were defined as

28:27

Goods and this was the period precisely

28:31

this period when credit moved easily

28:34

between being the name of a fiscal

28:37

virtue the positive side of a bank

28:39

account that's how Daniel defo invents

28:42

the term in the 1710s and 20s and the

28:46

trustworthiness of a knowledge claim

28:50

too so having established ways in which

28:55

information orders were both fundamental

28:58

and vulnerable we need to turn I think

29:01

precisely to Newton's rather

29:05

idiosyncratic

29:07

predicament and I say

29:10

idiosyncratic because here I want to

29:12

emphasize how

29:15

pervasive the gap between Newton's

29:18

project and what I've just been talking

29:20

about has been in historiography that

29:24

seems very striking to me as we will see

29:28

so even Steve Harris's otherwise

29:30

brilliant exploration of long range

29:34

corporations in the networking of early

29:36

modern knowledge regimes draws this

29:39

distinction what Steve does in his

29:42

magnificent article is to invite us to

29:45

map the provenance of all the

29:48

constituents of an early modern

29:50

scientific text so think of an early

29:53

modern scientific text now draw lines

29:57

from every fact claim and every object

30:01

and every image to their source and you

30:05

will have mapped the global trade

30:09

Network so what Harris is telling us is

30:13

that there was an unprecedented early

30:16

modern explosion in mobility and this is

30:19

what helped make the knowledge regime of

30:22

the period and then he draws a contrast

30:26

he draws a specific contrast

30:28

between the vast extent of as example

30:31

Nehemiah Gru mum sotis regales in other

30:35

words the catalog of the Museum of the

30:37

Royal Society which would extend across

30:41

the globe given what was present in that

30:43

Museum and what Steve imagines to be the

30:47

quote very small region of the globe

30:51

traced by the provence roots of Newton's

30:55

prinkipia and he's wrong about that even

30:58

Homer nods by relocating Newton's

31:02

Masterpiece one can correct the errors

31:05

of an historiography which draws such

31:08

harsh distinctions between as it were

31:11

the successive presidents of the Royal

31:13

Society between Newton and the

31:16

naturalist H Sloan between natural

31:19

philosophy and curiosity between

31:22

astronomy and natural history so let me

31:25

leap forward to to

31:30

Newton what I've done

31:32

here because I'm weird is to plot on a

31:38

map of the Voyages of Robinson cruso

31:41

which was which accompanied the second

31:43

edition the 1727 edition of defoe's uh

31:49

story um the data points in the third

31:53

book of Newton's prinkipia the Third

31:56

Edition of which came out in the same

31:58

month as Robinson cruso so the green

32:02

blobs are places where stuff happens

32:07

that Newton describes in the

32:11

prinkipia and the line this line is

32:14

Robinson kuso's travels around the world

32:18

and I want to begin with this map when

32:21

thinking about Newton simply to show you

32:25

almost aidic toally the global

32:28

distribution of the prinkipia

32:31

Mathematica read as text it is as though

32:36

this work which is clearly fundamental

32:39

paradigmatic for the mathematical

32:42

principles of natural philosophy can

32:44

also be read not instead it must also be

32:48

read as a text in Natural History that's

32:51

my claim if we uh increase the focus a

32:56

bit this is a map of three kinds of

33:01

data which Newton uses in prinkipia

33:06

Mathematica the red blobs are

33:10

observations of the heights of

33:13

Tides the blue blobs are observations of

33:17

the position of comets and the green

33:21

blobs are observations of the length of

33:24

a pendulum that beats at the rate of 1

33:28

second per beat we'll see in a moment

33:31

why that might be an interesting

33:32

parameter but what I want to point out

33:35

here is that this is the Atlantic

33:38

triangle Newton is absolutely relying on

33:42

the work of the middle passage on the

33:44

work of the royal Africa company and on

33:47

the work of the comp de Sagal so that

33:51

the movement between the Atlantic

33:54

literal the transatlantic trade and and

33:58

the tobacco colonies in New England is

34:02

the system on which Newton's data mainly

34:07

relies and one needs to think that

34:11

partly when one is trying to make sense

34:14

of what Newton does in the third book of

34:18

the

34:19

prinkipia the final book the third book

34:22

as it now is the third volume of the

34:25

prinkipia is a book of assays of degrees

34:28

and seconds and miles and inches and

34:31

observers and experimenters and readers

34:34

splendidly the third volume which is

34:36

called the system of the world was first

34:41

introduced and significantly so to make

34:44

the prinkipia more

34:47

popular I love that fact unlike the

34:50

preceding material on the laws of motion

34:54

that Newton feared quote may have

34:57

appeared dry and Barren unquote this

35:01

book the system of the world demanded

35:04

detailed assays of information from a

35:07

very wide range of observers It Was

35:10

Written in just under 12 months during

35:14

uh the period up to the end of

35:16

1685 in the room that I showed you

35:19

earlier and it was I quote to

35:22

demonstrate the frame of the system of

35:25

the world composed in a popular method

35:29

that it might be read by many unquote

35:32

Newton's first editor Edmund hle naval

35:36

officer drunk Tory astronomer reckoned

35:40

in June 1686 in a letter to Newton that

35:44

quote the application of this

35:47

mathematical part to the system of the

35:50

world is what will render it acceptable

35:54

to all and much advanc the sale of the

35:58

book

35:59

unquote so what was Newton doing here he

36:03

was applying the geometrical principles

36:06

of unresisted motion under Central

36:08

forces to planets moons tides and comets

36:13

and therefore it was in this book that

36:16

Newton faces the problem of handling

36:19

others

36:20

numbers numbers made by astronomers and

36:24

Jesuits hor diu professors

36:28

academicians Sailors and it was this

36:31

book that Drew attention when his second

36:34

editor the genial Roger coats began to

36:38

rework the entire program between

36:41

179 and

36:44

173 Newton and coats concerned with

36:48

geographical knowledge were also

36:50

concerned with assessing observers

36:52

credit especially their reports of where

36:56

comets were how High the sea Rose and

36:59

how pendulums responded to the force of

37:03

gravity since the rate at which a

37:05

pendulum beats they reckoned is a good

37:08

measure of how strongly an object is

37:11

being pulled by the Earth they called

37:15

this problem marvelously for me the

37:18

French

37:19

dilemma because of the variation between

37:23

different measures of pendulum lengths

37:25

reported by Frenchmen

37:30

so it's suggestive to me at least that

37:34

this final book raises so clearly issues

37:37

of trust and credit and Global

37:40

Information and reader response and what

37:43

I want to do very quickly now is to run

37:47

through the three cases that I've mapped

37:51

on this Atlantic chart first the tides

37:56

so here is the text of the first

37:59

proposition of the third book on the

38:02

tides to find the force of the Moon

38:05

which raises the

38:08

sea and you immediately see what Newton

38:11

is doing in this text what he wants is

38:16

to have a good value for the force of

38:20

the Moon and of the sun L and S you can

38:24

probably just see that which is the

38:27

force that they're exerting When the

38:30

tide is at its

38:31

highest and when they pull in opposite

38:34

directions in which case one has lunar

38:37

minus soul and from that one could get

38:40

the ratio of the tide raising power of

38:44

the moon to the ti raising power of the

38:46

Sun and that would allow one to

38:49

calculate the precession of the

38:51

equinoxes and a whole range of other

38:54

variables that matter but in order to

38:59

get the ratio of the highest observed

39:03

tide to the lowest observed tide you

39:06

have to trust men like Samuel stury and

39:10

Samuel cpress Sam cpress in Plymouth Sam

39:14

stery in

39:16

Bristol are they reliable

39:19

observers

39:21

no this is Samuel

39:24

stury who looks very reliable it seems

39:27

to me in this

39:28

image and this is his tide book the

39:32

Mariners Magazine with its Splendid

39:35

frontis piece and this is the book that

39:39

Newton and H and coats analyze for the

39:44

trustworthiness of their tidal data

39:48

stury writes about how he's measured the

39:51

tides but above all who he's talked to

39:56

he's visit Ed marshes where and I quote

40:00

the sea being kept out with great Earth

40:03

walls that it do not at high water

40:07

overflow the level and the inhabitants

40:10

livelihood depending most on sheep they

40:14

are as you may believe they have reason

40:17

to be very Vigilant and observant at

40:21

what times they are most in danger of

40:25

having their animals

40:28

drowned and I find them generally agreed

40:31

by their constant observations and

40:34

experience dearly bought both for them

40:37

and their

40:39

sheep that their times of danger are the

40:42

beginning of November and of February

40:46

and it's on this basis that stury

40:49

reports in late

40:51

1668 on the crucial data for Newton

40:55

about the time and height differences

40:58

between the highest and lowest Tides

41:00

reporting his observations as around

41:05

about 45 ft so that number 45 becomes

41:12

the crucial number in Newton's

41:15

prinkipia Newton didn't only rely or

41:19

discuss however questions of the ratio

41:23

of the lunar to the Solar Force he also

41:27

for the first time in history produced

41:31

numerical models of what's called tidal

41:35

interference the most spectacular

41:38

example of that takes place in the Gulf

41:41

of ton kin um and it was observed by the

41:44

English because tonin was one of the

41:47

most important trading bases of the East

41:50

India Company the mouth of the red river

41:53

that flows down from Hanoi into the Gulf

41:56

of ton kin experiences not two but one

42:00

tide a day and the height of that tide

42:05

varies sinusoidally with the position of

42:08

the Moon Newton engage in a

42:11

virtuoso mathematical analysis of how

42:15

that could be and why using the

42:18

superposition of different tidal flows

42:21

around Islands on the southern China

42:23

Coast what was his data source his data

42:27

Source was an American a Boston Mariner

42:30

called Francis Davenport who as I've

42:33

mapped here was in the East Indies as a

42:37

pilot for p i l o t a pilot for the East

42:41

India

42:42

Company he came back to London in

42:46

1685 and brought with him reports of

42:50

this tidal Marvel and that's why Newton

42:54

analyzed it but his s course there were

42:57

two problems with this data for Newton

43:00

one Davenport's Source was to quote his

43:05

book The subtle tonin pilots who

43:09

exaggerate the shifts of Tides only to

43:13

prevent their being kicked out of

43:16

employment wherein yet with safety the

43:19

best of them all cannot be wholly relied

43:23

on so what Davenport was saying is there

43:25

is this title Strang this Marine

43:29

monstrosity but don't trust it because

43:31

it's actually an exaggeration by pilots

43:35

who know they'd otherwise be

43:38

sacked secondly Davenport was in London

43:42

because he was on trial he was on trial

43:45

because he was helping a pirate with the

43:48

marvelous name of Siamese

43:51

white who was based at mgee here and had

43:54

organized the complete destruction of

43:56

the East India Company base there so

44:00

Davenport's reputation was to put it

44:04

mildly dodgy a newspaper which Newton

44:08

collected describes Davenport thus this

44:13

vile rich on Whose evidence the company

44:17

have so much depended is one of the most

44:20

notorious Rogues in nature and so

44:24

esteemed by all honest men that have

44:27

ever had the unhappiness ever to have

44:30

been concerned or acquainted with him

44:34

unquote not for the last time of course

44:38

a dubious report from the Gulf of tonin

44:41

by an ugly American had to be checked

44:44

for its

44:46

creditworthiness Edmund Hy sorry that

44:48

dates me a veteran of the East India

44:52

company's ships and thus Newton had to

44:55

depend on what this V wretch said and

44:59

they analyzed his numbers in great

45:01

detail while glossing in manuscript the

45:05

way in which they were analyzing his

45:09

credibility we see very similar kinds of

45:13

analysis in the case of Newton's work on

45:17

comets I will not go into detail here we

45:20

can discuss this after if you wish

45:23

Newton's informants about cometary

45:26

position

45:27

were ideally required to have made

45:31

remarkably accurate observations of

45:34

cometry positions because Newton's

45:37

project was again

45:39

unprecedentedly to analyze the eliptical

45:43

Paths of comets on the basis of

45:47

observations of a single Transit so here

45:51

Newton is analyzing the comet of the

45:54

great Comet of November 168

45:57

through March of

45:59

1681 using observations from Winthrop in

46:03

Boston in New England from Planters in J

46:06

in the on the Jamaican slave plantations

46:10

and from his Kinsman Arthur stora who

46:13

grew tobacco on the patuk Cent river

46:17

near Hunting Creek in Maryland on the

46:20

Virginia border to whom he'd sent a

46:24

rather fine telescope with which to make

46:27

precisely this kind of observation

46:30

Newton turned himself into a center of

46:33

calculation this is a drawing by Newton

46:37

of one of his colleagues um descriptions

46:40

of the Comet over King's College Chapel

46:43

that's a Newton drawing of King's

46:44

College Chapel this is the kind of

46:47

incoming data that Newton was working on

46:50

but he was

46:52

also having to use images like this so

46:56

this is an AS rological image of the

46:58

same Comet and as Lorraine daston and

47:01

others have taught us it's an image

47:03

which talks about the superstitious

47:05

belief in cometry eggs weird Stones

47:08

impressed with images when comets

47:11

Transit and Newton had to analyze this

47:14

image for the numerical positions which

47:19

um was a challenge and a half he also

47:23

did Newton organized what we might call

47:26

comet

47:27

Journeys he sent Edmund Hy into the

47:31

Baltic to visit hius and toward towards

47:35

Italy simply to gather reliable cometary

47:39

numbers this is not the image of Newton

47:43

that we normally think of then this is

47:46

not the isolated cloistered and

47:50

sequestered figure of tradition rather

47:55

this is a man or organizing a global

47:59

large scale Information

48:02

Network finally let me turn to the

48:06

question of the length of

48:09

pendulums as I've said this was the most

48:12

crucial data with which Newton was

48:15

working in the final book of the

48:18

prinkipia because the length of a

48:20

pendulum clock that beats regularly

48:23

seconds as it beats measure me es so

48:27

Newton was innovatively arguing the

48:30

force of gravity at that point and

48:34

Newton reckoned that because of

48:37

gravitation the Earth is figured oblate

48:41

like this in other words like a pumpkin

48:43

rather than like a melon and therefore

48:46

second pendulums should be made shorter

48:50

nearer the equator because the force of

48:53

gravity near the equator is weaker

48:57

and these are the numbers with which

49:00

Newton was working these are the numbers

49:03

generated principally by the French

49:06

slave system by the French plantation

49:09

system this is the French problem the

49:12

French problem is do these numbers those

49:16

in blue appear in the first edition of

49:18

the prinkipia those in red are added in

49:20

the second and third do these numbers

49:24

justify the inference that that pendulum

49:27

clocks must be shortened when you get

49:30

nearer the equator that's a matter of

49:34

testimonial analysis of

49:37

assaying so for example hk's observation

49:42

of his seconds pendulums in denh in the

49:45

ha has the length of a second pendulum

49:48

is 3' 82 in that of reishe Jean ree at

49:53

cayen very near the equator has a

49:57

seconds pendulum of length 3' 7 in and 7

50:02

20ths of a line so that looks good but

50:05

many of these numbers look bad and as

50:09

Nicholas duu has pointed out in a very

50:12

important recent article analyzing the

50:15

observation of the comp de Sagal de and

50:19

the eminent minim Observer Louis foer

50:22

these numbers don't fit with the

50:25

Newtonian model at all in Paris the

50:30

chief French astronomer Cassini simply

50:34

denied that there is a variation in the

50:37

length of pendulums that beat seconds he

50:40

saw did Cassini this range of numbers as

50:45

an entirely local and contingent uneven

50:49

fact uh related principally to tropical

50:53

heat on which the French have always

50:55

been experts

50:57

and on the force of the

50:59

Wind on which perhaps they've also

51:01

always been

51:04

experts however what Newton did was as

51:08

you might expect to take the hens and

51:11

reishe observations this is the frontis

51:14

piece the Magnificent vignette of R's

51:17

astronomical and physical observations

51:18

made on the aisle of cayen very

51:21

seriously and to reject all the

51:24

others what does he say say in his gloss

51:27

on these questions this disagreement

51:31

must arise from the errors of The

51:35

Observers from the dissimilitude of the

51:37

internal parts of the Earth the height

51:40

of mountains the different temperatures

51:43

of the air and the

51:46

untrustworthiness of these kinds of

51:48

Travelers Newton makes a uhuh don't even

51:53

think about it

51:58

cool um these this is Louie foer's

52:02

observation of an animal one finds in

52:05

the River Plate in the Rio Plata it's a

52:09

magnificent fully folded out plate that

52:11

Newton had in his copy of foer's

52:14

observations and it's annotated sickest

52:18

in other words it's like

52:20

this Newton used the incredibility of

52:25

these kinds of sto stories to

52:28

undermine the trustworthiness of the

52:31

observations the minim was making about

52:34

the length of his clock in other words

52:37

and

52:38

finally in all sorts of ways all right

52:43

logout is timed up good

52:46

excellent finally what Newton is doing

52:50

in collaboration with his editors with

52:52

men like Hatley and coats with a vast

52:56

number of

52:57

informants is to make a judgment of an

53:01

information order of a global scale and

53:05

it seems to me that if we take that kind

53:09

of system of newtonianism

53:11

seriously we have a much more accurate

53:15

account of where Newton is when he's

53:20

forging the Masterpiece that is the

53:23

prinkipia here's my coder

53:26

at the period when Newton was writing

53:29

prinkipia in its first edition he was as

53:33

we now know extremely well also drafting

53:36

increasingly lengthy descriptions of

53:40

heaven and of the New Jerusalem in his

53:43

now well-known manuscripts interpreting

53:46

the apocalypse and the day of judgment

53:50

and there's a passage which has always

53:52

fascinated me in Newton's writings where

53:55

he Des describes the Heavenly city and

53:59

what it is like and what it will be like

54:02

to live there and this unlike the

54:05

statement with which I began is

54:08

ipsissima verba this is Newton

54:11

describing

54:13

Heaven as the planets remain in their

54:16

orbs he writes in

54:19

1685 so may any other bodies subsist at

54:23

any distance from the earth and much

54:26

more will beings who have the power of

54:30

self motion move where they will place

54:35

themselves where they will and continue

54:38

in any region of the heaven whatsoever

54:43

whatever there to enjoy the Society of

54:46

one another and by their Messengers or

54:49

angels to rule the Earth and Converse

54:54

immediately with the remotest

54:56

regions and to have thus the liberty or

55:00

Dominion to move through the whole

55:03

heavens and the choice of the happiest

55:06

places for Abode seems to me a greater

55:10

happiness than to be confined forever to

55:15

any one place that's a better

55:18

description of the Newtonian project

55:21

than that image of the boy and the

55:23

shells on the beach thank you

55:41

thank you Simon um sorry I don't have a

55:44

level here Simon has kindly agreed this

55:48

may not be on to answer questions and

55:51

Matthew tw's and I have uh cordless

55:54

microphones because this room is

55:56

extremely dead so uh we will call

56:00

roughly on people on Alternate sides of

56:02

the room by passing them the mics so if

56:06

you'll put your hands up when you want

56:08

to ask questions we'll give you the

56:11

wherewithal please don't try to ask a

56:14

question without the mic it just doesn't

56:16

work in this room so uh Matthew do you

56:20

want to start on the other side

56:30

questions uh thank you we we talked uh

56:35

uh uh in the afternoon about uh

56:39

the the sagales man coming from the

56:42

river MH and uh we bring some

56:46

knowledges uh in in Britain I would like

56:51

don't say more about that yeah say more

56:52

about that right thank you um Okay so

56:57

what I what this version of the

57:01

talk embarrassingly omits of course is

57:05

what this kind of information order

57:08

would have seemed like to informant

57:12

that's to say agents treated as

57:15

informants within this system I've given

57:17

you an extraordinarily Cent

57:20

repal picture of the information order

57:24

which Newton H and code developed they

57:27

are the analysts so here's an example

57:31

which I think is familiar but I also

57:33

think is very important of an agent

57:37

whose Pathways clearly intersect with

57:40

the information order that I've

57:42

described but for whom things must have

57:45

seemed very different his name as far as

57:48

the English was concerned um was Solomon

57:51

IBN

57:52

jalah um he was uh from

57:56

uh the Sagal Valley he was born

58:00

presumably in the middle of the

58:02

1670s he was taken as a slave from the

58:06

French slaving base at g to martinque in

58:10

the

58:11

1690s and then liberated and ends up in

58:14

London in 1698 where he lived for 15

58:19

years and his work in London was to act

58:23

first of all as a translator and then as

58:25

an agent and then as a collector for

58:28

Newton and for sahans Sloan Newton's for

58:33

S Sans SLO Newton's successor as

58:36

president of the Royal Society the most

58:38

eminent naturalist of the age and um

58:43

jalah was clearly an absolutely

58:47

indispensable translator into mediary

58:50

and interpreter for a large number

58:54

initially of slones and then magn ently

58:56

for uh in initially and briefly for

58:59

Newton and then much more extensively

59:01

for Sloan not only in terms of

59:04

collecting judging and assaying objects

59:08

in cabinets that Sloan would purchase or

59:10

assess or buy and then display at his

59:13

house in Chelsea but also I think

59:15

fascinatingly which is one of the things

59:17

we were talking about earlier um he was

59:20

a translator he would Translate Arabic

59:23

texts as well as those from the West

59:26

African literal and then in the 1720s by

59:30

which time we can estimate he must have

59:32

been in his uh 60s he returned to the

59:37

Sagal through Gare he was taken there on

59:40

an English ship of the royal Africa

59:42

company and acted for the next decade as

59:45

an agent for English collectors and then

59:49

he's lost to history after that it's an

59:52

extraordinary career it's been well

59:54

documented by number of extremely

59:56

eminent africanist

59:58

historians but what I think it reminds

1:00:01

us of is that I wanted to stress for us

1:00:05

the way in which the Atlantic triangle

1:00:08

the system of extermin ism and

1:00:11

exploitation which is also a system of

1:00:13

commodity circulation and knowledge

1:00:16

accumulation has as information Brokers

1:00:19

traveling around it not just and perhaps

1:00:22

not even mainly the kind of protagonist

1:00:26

that I've been describing in my talk I

1:00:28

think that's the possibility that's

1:00:30

raised there and what we were talking

1:00:32

about before the show started earlier to

1:00:35

today was the necessity to begin

1:00:38

exploring European archives especially

1:00:41

the Anglo French archives clearly and

1:00:43

this has begun to be done of course by

1:00:45

several people here as well as

1:00:46

historians who've worked much more

1:00:48

seriously on this than I have but to use

1:00:51

those archives to recover and

1:00:53

reconstitute information orders as they

1:00:56

would have seemed out with the kind of

1:00:59

networks that Newton and Sloan were

1:01:01

themselves manipulating and I think

1:01:03

that's a very important reminder of what

1:01:07

sorts of imbalances were in play in the

1:01:10

kind of assay of knowledge that we've

1:01:12

been discussing this evening so thanks a

1:01:14

million for that now what's the story

1:01:17

about how the quote about the boy on the

1:01:20

shore got attributed to Newton okay the

1:01:23

check is in the post I'm so glad you

1:01:26

asked me that

1:01:30

um

1:01:31

okay this is a statement which first

1:01:35

appears in any written form at all 18

1:01:39

months after Newton's death in the

1:01:43

conversation book of uh

1:01:47

gossipy slightly eccentric Oxford

1:01:50

journalist if it's not anachronistic to

1:01:52

use that word um and and he was

1:01:58

collecting material for a biography of

1:02:02

Newton so he keeps a diary which is

1:02:06

essentially a a conversation book in

1:02:08

other words records of remarks people

1:02:12

have made about Newton remarks that

1:02:15

Newton himself has made overit to dictor

1:02:18

table talk and so on and so forth and

1:02:21

it's immediately attributed to

1:02:24

Newton then it's printed for the first

1:02:28

time in a book by the absolutely

1:02:31

remarkable jackaby

1:02:34

Freemason and uh Globe Trotter Andrew

1:02:38

ramsy in a book called a plan of

1:02:41

education for a young prince which was

1:02:45

printed in

1:02:47

1732 and already the sentence has

1:02:50

changed I mean within a few years right

1:02:53

the sentence is now so listen carefully

1:02:57

please as Sir Isaac Newton

1:03:01

said all the discoveries mortals can

1:03:04

make are like those of a child on the

1:03:08

borders of the sea that has only cracked

1:03:11

some Pebbles and opened some shells to

1:03:15

see what is in them while there lies

1:03:19

Beyond him a boundless ocean of which he

1:03:22

has no idea so that looks a little more

1:03:25

plausible to me because it's whatever

1:03:27

else it is it's not

1:03:29

modest right um nor particularly poetic

1:03:33

I mean the grammar is already collapsed

1:03:36

and the source text there is no longer

1:03:39

so clearly Paradise regained but clearly

1:03:42

one Corinthians we now see through a

1:03:44

glass Darkly but then face to face I

1:03:46

mean that's what Ramsey is doing with

1:03:48

this text and that's the version that

1:03:51

then became canonical right so that it's

1:03:55

that version that appears for example in

1:03:57

donjuan in Byron's donjuan in David

1:04:00

Brewster's Memoirs of the life of Newton

1:04:02

in the 1830s and so on and so on and so

1:04:04

on all the way up to and including its

1:04:08

magnificently tortuous reappearance in

1:04:11

wordsworth's Prelude um uh looking forth

1:04:16

from my okay this is a challenge looking

1:04:18

forth from my room at night I could see

1:04:20

the chapel where the statue stood of

1:04:21

Newton with his prism and his silent

1:04:23

face the marble index of a solitary mind

1:04:28

voyaging across oceans of Truth

1:04:33

alone right so the Fortuna of this text

1:04:37

is absolutely fascinating it seems to me

1:04:40

which is one of the reasons why I'm glad

1:04:42

you answer

1:04:43

question

1:04:47

there this is fascinating um and what I

1:04:50

find fascinating

1:04:52

is looking at the mathematics

1:04:56

through a social context in the way

1:04:58

you're doing it so seeing the prinkipia

1:05:00

as a text to Natural History is your

1:05:02

claim only for the third book or how far

1:05:06

does your claim go oh right okay uh no

1:05:09

the claim is not only for the third book

1:05:11

I think the I mean for the claim to have

1:05:13

legs it has to embrace the whole project

1:05:17

right otherwise I think it doesn't work

1:05:20

right on the contrary we would be

1:05:23

reinstalling precisely the contrast that

1:05:25

your work and Paula's work and you know

1:05:28

Ben Schmidt's work and so on has been

1:05:29

trying to overcome I mean we would

1:05:31

actually perversely have reinforced that

1:05:33

distinction first you do the analysis

1:05:36

then you find it out right um what

1:05:38

matters there is the conjunctural

1:05:40

analysis of the way in which the

1:05:42

prinkipia is put together as project and

1:05:45

there it seems to me historiographically

1:05:47

I'm now going to go into deep obscure

1:05:49

mode okay we have to go back to what Tom

1:05:53

whide taught us a gen generation ago

1:05:57

about how the prinkipia was made and

1:05:59

that's the second part of this paper um

1:06:03

what Tom Whiteside great historian of

1:06:06

Newtonian the great historian and editor

1:06:09

of Newtonian mathematics showed us a

1:06:12

generation ago in an article in 1970

1:06:14

which is still not read enough called uh

1:06:18

before the prinkipia is that there is no

1:06:22

material in Newton in the manuscript

1:06:26

before the summer of 1684 that remotely

1:06:30

resembles anything substantial that one

1:06:33

finds in the prinkipia Mathematica

1:06:36

that's an extraordinarily remarkable

1:06:38

claim the analogy would be say with the

1:06:42

composition of the Origin of Species it

1:06:44

is as if the 1844 Species book and the

1:06:48

notebooks of 1837 and 8 when Darwin

1:06:51

comes back from the Beagle Voyage don't

1:06:53

exist that they' never been written as

1:06:56

though Darwin had put together the great

1:06:58

argument as he calls it in the 18 months

1:07:01

before the summer of 1858 when Alfred

1:07:04

Russell Wallace horrifyingly announces

1:07:07

uh his paper on the law of species

1:07:09

indefinitely to depart from their type

1:07:12

now that's the story about Newton

1:07:14

however that the entire project is put

1:07:17

together in 30 months more or less

1:07:21

without any substantial reflection on

1:07:24

the problem

1:07:26

now if that's true and I believe that

1:07:28

it's true then the project to develop a

1:07:33

rational mechanics of unresisted

1:07:36

motion the forging of the notion of

1:07:39

centripetal force which is his neologism

1:07:42

there is no such thing as the word copal

1:07:45

before uh September of 1684 happens in

1:07:49

step with the material that I've been

1:07:52

describing here if that were not so this

1:07:54

argument would be rivetingly interesting

1:07:57

but actually pretty weak the reason I

1:07:59

think the argument can be made strong is

1:08:02

that the data accumulation and assaying

1:08:04

is happening at the same time as the

1:08:08

forging of the basic building blocks of

1:08:12

what we now see in the second half of

1:08:14

book one and the first half of book of

1:08:16

what is now book two that is to say on

1:08:18

unresisted and resisted motion and those

1:08:21

and the the three building blocks are um

1:08:24

the area law is a is a

1:08:26

clock the um Kepler systems can be

1:08:30

generalized to universal gravitation

1:08:33

which is an extraordinary and

1:08:34

counterintuitive thought since Kepler

1:08:37

systems should be autonomous for them to

1:08:39

be um accurate and finally perhaps most

1:08:44

importantly um you can derive the

1:08:47

inverse Square law from the data and you

1:08:49

can derive the data from the inverse

1:08:51

Square law which is an extremely radical

1:08:53

claim

1:08:54

indeed all of that must be being put

1:08:57

together at the same time as the data is

1:08:59

being analyzed and then what we have

1:09:02

from 1685 onwards is a separation right

1:09:05

these are actually teased apart into a

1:09:08

Trea is called the motion of bodies and

1:09:11

a treat is called the system of the

1:09:12

world which as I said is initially

1:09:14

written in popular discursive form right

1:09:19

and then it has to be recast for reasons

1:09:21

it would be too complicated to go into

1:09:23

so I think that's a very long way of

1:09:25

saying

1:09:29

yes yeah I have a question about the

1:09:31

creditworthiness of informance um I was

1:09:33

wondering what would you say made

1:09:36

particular numbers acceptable or

1:09:39

unacceptable to Newton um it sounded

1:09:41

like uh it wasn't their Providence I

1:09:43

mean it sounded pretty clearly like it

1:09:45

wasn't where who they were coming from

1:09:46

but then in that case if it was just

1:09:48

whether or not they fitted with his

1:09:50

theory then creditworthiness doesn't

1:09:51

really enter in so that's my question I

1:09:54

think that's an extremely interesting

1:09:56

question um I think three things are

1:09:59

going on to be quicker one Providence

1:10:03

does matter a lot right um immediate

1:10:08

empirical acquaintance is very very

1:10:12

important as Criterion of assay but

1:10:15

judging the immediacy of empirical

1:10:18

acquaintance is itself a judgment on

1:10:21

testimony right that's a very obvious

1:10:24

but perhaps you know easy to miss point

1:10:27

so were you really there um and it may

1:10:32

not be the numbers then I mean the

1:10:35

quantitative assays which are being

1:10:37

judged but the utility of this Provence

1:10:42

is being judged in in exactly the way

1:10:45

that Scholars have recently made us

1:10:46

familiar with right so there's there's

1:10:48

that

1:10:49

point so a very good number from someone

1:10:53

who where it's extraordinarily unlikely

1:10:56

that they themselves have immediate

1:10:59

acquaintance isn't isn't a usable number

1:11:02

and one can show that I mean I I showed

1:11:05

that in a number of cases the second

1:11:08

point which is again a very obvious

1:11:10

point is that um I wanted to show you

1:11:14

the way in which he's actively trying to

1:11:16

recruit data this is not a passive

1:11:21

isolated Center of calculation who

1:11:24

simply relies on what can be gathered by

1:11:26

bricolage in a small Market town in the

1:11:29

East Midland right there is an active

1:11:32

program from 1684 through 1687 and even

1:11:36

more so for the second edition much more

1:11:39

so for the second edition with codes so

1:11:41

1704 on to 1711 and 1713 to bring data

1:11:45

in right and the third argument is I

1:11:49

think the causes the Kus belly here now

1:11:52

because uh as you will know very very

1:11:55

well um the the dominant canonical way

1:12:00

of reading these crues in the third book

1:12:03

was given to us by the late professor

1:12:06

Westfall in an extraordinary article

1:12:09

called Newton and the fudge Factor first

1:12:12

published in American scientists where

1:12:15

what Sam did was to show exactly how

1:12:18

much manipulation Newton was engaging in

1:12:21

on the face of the page at least on the

1:12:23

face of the drafts that that we've got

1:12:26

in these cases in the case of

1:12:28

observations of the speed of sound and

1:12:31

so on right and I'm much moved I mean of

1:12:35

course I'm much moved by westfall's

1:12:38

analysis because he's the master of

1:12:39

those that know about Newton

1:12:42

however what I think one should say

1:12:44

about that is not the the the of Quasi

1:12:48

denunciatory tone in which that article

1:12:51

is written but to notice something

1:12:53

completely fundamental which Steven

1:12:54

Stigler and others have pointed out

1:12:56

which is that Newton has no concept of

1:12:58

error that's the point right if two

1:13:02

numbers are going I mean if one number

1:13:05

is going to be evidence for a

1:13:07

theoretically derived number they must

1:13:11

be identical to any number of sign

1:13:14

significant figures otherwise they are

1:13:16

not evident right and that presses on

1:13:20

the testimonial relation enormously

1:13:23

right so the 9 over5 you know 45 or

1:13:27

there or thereabouts is going to become

1:13:30

very quickly in the calculation a number

1:13:34

in six significant

1:13:36

figures right so you you move from Sam

1:13:39

stury talking to some sheep farmers in

1:13:42

Bristol to you know 9 over five and then

1:13:47

9 and 23 over 5 and an eighth and then

1:13:51

and so on and so on right so it's the

1:13:55

way in which we don't have a concept of

1:13:57

reasonable agreement here that I find

1:14:00

the most interesting thing to think

1:14:02

about and Jed bookal and mo fold are

1:14:06

working exactly on this problem now so I

1:14:10

understand um which is you know Way

1:14:13

Beyond my capacity which is to try and

1:14:15

write this is what we have to do coming

1:14:18

back to londa's point with what we need

1:14:20

and we don't have amazingly for early

1:14:24

modern exact Sciences yet is it seems to

1:14:28

me a reasoned history of the notion of

1:14:33

agreement we don't have that yet right

1:14:36

we don't know yet quite and we will when

1:14:39

Jed and mo do this what counts as

1:14:42

agreement between two numbers I mean go

1:14:44

through those Avalanches of new

1:14:47

numerical tables from Galileo and the

1:14:49

Jesuits through hook and boil to Newton

1:14:52

what what is going on there right and

1:14:55

we've never really done that which is

1:14:56

extraordinary it seems to me right even

1:14:58

Kay who founded this project never did

1:15:01

that right rather for K this was simply

1:15:05

a story of the end of the regime of APPA

1:15:08

pre that's how he puts it but we we need

1:15:12

something much more than that

1:15:35

for more please visit us at stanford.edu

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