За это сейчас воюют Китай и США
In your pocket lies the control panel for the
most dangerous weapon
ever created by mankind. And
right now China, the US and Europe
are fighting over who will own it.
This war is not fought on the battlefield, but in
deep mines where metals and
minerals are mined, as well as in scientific laboratories
and the offices of the planet's leading IT corporations.
They put all their money into making sure that
this weapon belongs to
them [music]. While we're asking Iya
what the weather's like today, the government is
using neural networks to plan entire
military operations, like kidnapping
Nicolas Maduro or attacking Iran. And it’s
not for nothing that the richest man on the planet, Elon Musk, says the following things. I
think the danger from AI is much greater
than the danger from nuclear warheads. But
creating a neural network is not just like
coming up with a program for a smartphone. This
means controlling the largest
production chain in the history of the global
economy. I'll tell you how just a
few companies are holding the entire
AI industry hostage,
and which countries are already winning the
neural network war that has been going on since
2014. You will see which places on the planet
have become the hottest spots of this
war, while you, without suspecting anything,
ask the neurons your most intimate
questions. After watching this video, you'll
look at artificial intelligence differently
because you'll learn how we feed
the most dangerous monster on the planet
every day and can't stop.
My name is Nikolai Myachin, and this is Simple
Economics. Let's figure out how we will
destroy ourselves.
[music] On
February 28, 26, the United States and
Israel
killed Iran's Supreme Leader Ali
Khamenei in his Tehran residence with a single, precise missile strike. The
American neural network Claude
developed this operation in 90 minutes. Not hundreds of
analysts locked in for
months, but just a couple of the right
queries to artificial intelligence. How is
this possible magic? When you write in
GPT chat about how to get a mortgage at 5%, it doesn't
understand you as a person. It breaks down
the query into small parts and then
selects the most appropriate answer
based on the combination of words and context. That
is, the neural network does not think in the usual
sense, but calculates the most
appropriate answer. And the better it is
trained on huge amounts of data, the more
accurate this answer will be. But remember
how your child, younger brother or
nephew grew up. At first, all he could do was
lie in his crib and coo. But at
six months the baby learned to sit, at one year he
walked, at two he talked, and at 7:00
he went to first grade. [music] So do
neural networks. Every time you
ask her something and give her information about
yourself, you feed her new data. And
when enough is new, the
developers release a new model
that knows even more and gives even
more accurate answers. So, the neural network
turns from a baby into the wisest
advisor on the planet. The experience of a neural network
model is stored in its weights. It is such a
set of numerical parameters, well, like a
kind of DNA. And this DNA is the most
deadly weapon. If you think
I've gone crazy and joined the sect of
accusers of all mortal sins,
then look at what American officials are writing
. Direct access to model
scales will allow the neural network to be used
to create chemical or
biological weapons. And the risk for now is not
that the neural network will one day wake up and
destroy humanity, but that
the neural network might end up in the wrong
hands. Not long ago, on June 11,
2026, a model from the
Anthropopic company hacked
the servers of the
US National Security Agency in a matter of hours and gained access to
internal files. What had been built up over
the years as an impenetrable defense, the neronka
destroyed in a matter of hours. This is why
countries close their neural networks to
others. When Antropic
released its new popular
neural network, the Fable [music] 5, on June 9th, just
three days later the US government forced
the company to restrict access to it for
foreigners because the Fable
5 can even hack corporate
security systems. Anthroped had to
close the model and urgently make changes to it
to make it safe. There is already a shortage of
highly trained cybersecurity specialists who can identify
vulnerabilities in security systems and help
fix them.
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And here's the most paradoxical thing: today, no
one will ban or destroy
artificial intelligence, because people have
already become accustomed to neural networks doing routine, and sometimes even the
main work, for them,
while businesses have begun to implement neural networks in
every nook and cranny to squeeze out maximum
profits, laying off thousands of now
useless workers. For example,
in Indian factories, workers
are wearing cameras so that artificial
intelligence can then train robots to do this work
, which will replace people. And in
New York today you will get paid to
clean your apartment. Everything to
record this process on camera and then
train cleaning robots.
But the state is not concerned about future
unemployment now, but rather about the fact that if you don’t want
to be destroyed, you need to create
your own models. Today, the United States is ahead of the entire
planet at the first level and chain
. They created the most
popular neurocities in the world: Cha GPT,
Demminay, Claude and, of course, Grock.
Each of these models is tailored to its own
specific task. This is how open AI is trying to
turn GPT chat into a universal
assistant for all occasions. Google
is also turning Jemin into an assistant
that integrates into all of its services. And
given that Google is used by nine
out of ten internet users,
the company has billions of customers
who make Google smarter every day
. Grok is spying on the live
feed of a social network banned in Russia
. So, AI knows what's
being discussed right now, but it's the perfect
tool for finding and analyzing the
latest information and the future foundation
for the most sophisticated propaganda. You might
think that the creation centers are the
IT company headquarters in
San Francisco and London, but this is not the case.
Behind this first level,
where developers sit and write code,
there is a real iceberg of
bottlenecks in which the
entire global industry is crowded. It is precisely on these very
bottlenecks that the outcome of the
geopolitical pursuit to create
humanity's most dangerous weapon,
which is happening right now before our
eyes, depends. To understand economics, you
only need to start with one book.
More than 10,000 copies sold.
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link [music] in the description.
When you message GPT chat about how to get
a mortgage at 5%, the signal from your
smartphone or laptop enters the
internet and travels through fiber-optic
cables to the load balancer. This is a
control room that evaluates
server availability, load,
latency, user region, and
hundreds of other parameters so you get a
response in 5 seconds, not a minute.
And after selecting a server, the balancer
sends your request there. And then
the magic, or rather the physics of computing,
happens in the humming data centers
scattered around the world. Here's what
Google's Alabama data center looks like,
where
power disappears like a black
hole. In general, all the data centers that
exist on the planet today
consume more electricity in a year than, for
example, the whole of France. Electricity
powers the heart of artificial intelligence.
Millions of graphics
processors like these. It is the processor, or rather
its brain, a miniature chip, that does all the
work. It selects the
most appropriate answers to your requests to
tell you how to get a cheap
mortgage. Several processors
are combined into one cluster to later
create an entire supercomputer in this
data center. Why is this necessary? Ah, well,
imagine that your question to the GPT chat
is a sack of potatoes. You can take a knife
and start peeling potatoes one by one, but
if GPUs worked like
that, then the answer to a simple morning
question: what should I wear today? You would
receive it already in the evening before going to bed. So the
GPU divides a sack of
potatoes between hundreds of assistants
who peel them simultaneously, and you
get the answer in 5 seconds. While
GPUs are ideal
for running artificial intelligence,
they were originally designed for
video game graphics. Yes, it's all because of
those who already pre-ordered GTA 6 and took a
vacation until the end of November 2026
. It is because of them that we will be destroyed by
artificial intelligence. To avoid
growing and become smarter, they
need more new data centers. But it
won’t be possible to build up the entire land with these hangars. And here we
encounter the first bottleneck
. Firstly, electricity is not
infinite. Before building a new
data center, a power source must be found somewhere
, otherwise the power will go out in millions of apartments
nearby. And secondly,
there's no point in building a data center if you
can't buy as many chips as
you need. Well, imagine this: one
of the most in-demand
technologies today is in terrible
shortage, and chip manufacturers would be happy
to make more of them, but they themselves are running
into a shortage of components. A chip is a
silicon crystal containing thousands of
computing cores, which is the brain of
artificial intelligence. The chips are
so small that they are literally
drawn layer by layer onto the surface of
silicon wafers. This process
is called photolithography.
The plate is first polished to a mirror
finish and then coated with a special
light-sensitive material. After
this, a template with a drawing of the
future chip is placed and sent to a special
EUV lithograph. Inside this machine,
tiny drops of molten
tin fly. Powerful lasers hit them and the tin
turns into plasma. Plasma emits
extreme ultraviolet light.
This light is then collected by a system of
mirrors, directed through a special
template, and transfers
the outlines of the future chip elements onto a silicon wafer. This
process is repeated many times
because the chip is not a single pattern. It is a
multi-story microscopic city where
transistors are formed on the lower level. These are miniature
electric current switches. Above
them are insulating layers, metal
tracks, and so on. And each layer
must fit perfectly on the previous one.
If the pattern shifts even a nanometer,
everything will go to waste. And only one company in the world can produce such complex
equipment, the size of a school
bus weighing 180 grams, where
miniature chips are printed with microscopic
precision.
It seems that this is where this whole
iceberg and industry begins. [music]
But no, its roots go kilometers
underground to where quartz is mined.
In general, quartz is the second most
common metal on the planet.
But usually it contains a lot of impurities:
iron, aluminum, potassium. But for the
lithograph to work its magic, the
flint plate, which
is made from quartz, must be
crystal clear. The impurity content must
exceed 10 parts per million. In
percentage terms, this number looks like this: 99% pure
quartz is 999.
And there is only one place on the entire planet
where
such pure quartz can be mined on an industrial scale.
Sprucepine.
380 million years ago,
two lithospheric plates,
Africa and North America, collided in this area. The rock
became extremely hot after the accident, and since it
happened at a great depth, water
could not penetrate there and bring with it
various congestion. Eventually, the quartz
solidified into crystal clear material, making it
possible to produce chips for our
smartphones and computers. [music]
So it turns out that the modern chip
is a miniature microcircuit
that has taken literally the entire
global economy hostage. Without this
fingernail-sized component, a car wouldn't move or an
airplane fly, and there's simply no replacement for this entire
chain, as it's the
most efficient technology for
processing big data today. But that's
not all. The second key element, without
which the neural network will not work,
is ultra-fast memory, soldered right
next to the crystal. It enables
thousands of cores to operate smoothly, without
allowing them to sit idle. This is why Ii
can answer your questions so quickly
. And until it became such a big part of
our lives, chip and memory manufacturers
remained in the shadows. But as soon as
neural networks took off, everyone suddenly
needed both chips and ultra-fast
memory. And it is clear that it is
simply physically impossible to increase production in the shortest possible time
. To do this, we need to find
money, build new factories, hire and
train hundreds, if not thousands, of people.
This is how the whole industry looks in cross-section
. At the first level are the
developers of neural networks, Open AI, Google,
or Hiring a team of programmers and
writing code is perhaps the
easiest task in this entire chain,
which is why it is the biggest nesting doll. The
second level is data centers and a
smaller matryoshka doll. The most prominent
representative of this level is the
world's most valuable company, Nvidia, which
sells chips and other equipment for
data centers and earns
$200 billion a year from this. Of course, other
hardware manufacturers want to push
NVIDIA out of such a rich market. AMD,
Brotko, and even Google have joined the
race. And note that all of these companies are
entirely American. Therefore, the US has
every opportunity to tie their hands and
prohibit them from working with the wrong
countries. On January 15,
2025, the US Department of Commerce imposed
restrictions on the export of the most
advanced neural network chips from the country. All
other states were divided into three
groups. US allies such as Japan,
South Korea and the UK receive
advanced equipment without restrictions.
Around 120 countries, including Singapore, Israel, and the UAE,
can only rely on the supply of
previous-generation chips to
stay one step behind. But
Russia, China and Iran have no chance at all
here. Limit the key
component of future weapons creation, and
your opponents will be toothless.
China responded by developing its own
chips. And even after
Donald Trump visited
China on May 15, 2020 and allowed the Chinese to buy
previous-generation chips from the US, he did not
order a single such chip from the
Americans. Why? Because if
your country gets hooked on equipment
produced by your rival, it will
gain a powerful trump card in resolving any
disputes. So for China,
import substitution of American chips
is a matter of principle and sovereignty.
In general, there is nothing wrong with national chips or even
messengers. The
only question is how to use them.
For example, deliberately slowing down or
blocking competitors, but this is clearly not
ok. I explained what Max can expect with this approach
in my
Telegram channel, Simple Economy.
Read this post by following the link in the description
or by clicking on the code on the screen. There are already
more than 280,000 of us, and
we really understand what is
happening in Russia and the world and what we should
do about it. So, if you also
want to understand, then you are welcome.
Nvidia's products
have been replaced in the Chinese market by Huawei, which
has been on the US blacklist since
May 16, 2019. While
Nvidia's share of chips in China was
40% in 2025, it will drop to
8% in 2026, while Huawei's share of its own chips
will exceed 50%. At the same time,
Huawei's chips are still inferior to
Nvidia's most advanced developments, but they are superior to
their previous models, which Trump
kindly allowed to be purchased. Well, that's
not necessary anymore. Thank you. So, we
can safely add
another second-level flag to this map for
Huawei, a company from the Chinese city of Shenzhen.
It turns out that any sanctions are a
double-edged sword. On the one
hand, you limit your
opponent and get ahead while he is
dragging himself around somewhere. On the other hand,
there is always the risk that he will do something of
his own, yes, better, and not just
catch up with you, but overtake you, and you will
not be able to do anything about it. The leverage will be
lost, and in addition, your own
producer will become weaker, having lost
such a fat market. Incidentally, this is what
Nvidia's CEO himself says, and he's
certainly not thrilled about the
restrictions that are preventing him from
earning billions. In short, this is the
kind of struggle that is taking place at the second level and
chain, where the US is also in the lead, but
China is already hot on its heels. But
only the world's most valuable company,
Nvidia, doesn't manufacture processors and
chips from scratch. She assembles them from
ready-made components that are manufactured for her by
others. So now
NVIDIA is stuck in a traffic jam, waiting for deliveries of
chips and high-speed memory. Two
leading manufacturers of precisely this type of
memory, necessary for chips,
are located in one country in the world, South
Korea. These are SK H K Heinex with a share of 61% and
Samsung 17%. Between them is the American
Mikron with a share of 21%, meaning that the total for the
three of them is almost 100%. In the list of the most valuable
companies in the world, these three occupy
twelfth, thirteenth and fourteenth
places, respectively. Moreover, while
Samsung produces not only memory, but
also much more, such as smartphones and televisions,
SK HX is focused solely on
producing this ultra-fast memory.
Paradoxically, 20 years ago this
company almost went bankrupt
because this memory was not in demand at the time
. Well, today the same
product has made it the most valuable company in
South Korea. even allowed it to overtake
Samsung, which had been the leader for a quarter of a
century. All three say that
RAM supplies for this year,
2026, are already fully
booked, and the shortage is unlikely to disappear
even in 2027, although the
companies are actively building new factories.
Incidentally, it's not
just Nvidia that's lining up for memory, but also China's Huawei,
which could more quickly replace the
Americans in its market. But it
lacks components for chip production. But while two
South Korean companies share 100% of the market,
just one Taiwanese company has captured
90% of the
advanced chip market. This is TSMC. Well, here it is
in seventh place among the most expensive
companies on the planet. It turns out that the third
level and chains are controlled by
key suppliers of components for
the creation of graphics processors
that literally fit on one
hand. The first is Taiwan's TSMC, and the second,
third and fourth are SK, Kinix,
Micron and Samsung. These companies literally
hold up the entire global economy. Without their
chips and high-speed memory, the
production of smartphones, computers,
cars, bank cards,
telecommunications equipment, and,
of course, those very same data centers for
artificial intelligence would collapse. But if
this third matryoshka is just a few
companies, then this fourth one is just
one company, ASML,
from the Netherlands, where they manufacture those
very lithographs for printing chips. Yes,
lithographs are not only made in
the Netherlands. For example, the Japanese Nikon
produces DUV lithographs. This is the previous
generation of such machines. The difference between DUV
and EUV is the wavelength of ultraviolet light
they work with. And in Ivy it is 14
times shorter and is only 13.5 nm.
This is 6,000 times thinner than a human
hair. The shorter the ultraviolet wavelength,
the more accurately the chip can be drawn. Let's
take two pencils. One is sharply
sharpened, and the other has a thick rod.
And you will immediately notice the difference here. The same is true
for lithographers. The more accurate the drawing,
the more compactly
the transistors can be packed and a greater number of them can be placed
. This means the chip will become more powerful. And so far,
only the Dutch have been able to create such a
thin pencil, such a complex
machine that can draw chips with
precision down to the nanometer. In
2026, the company plans to
make and sell 60 machines, and in
2027, a whopping 80. Such a device
consists of, well, about 100,000
parts, many of which, yes, ASML
also orders from others. Well, for example, the
Carlisle company makes mirrors for reflecting ultraviolet radiation. And they have their own
suppliers. So this chain goes on and on
. However, the problem is not only
finding money and waiting in
line for an EUV lithograph. The supply of
such equipment requires an export
license from the Dutch government,
which is friendly with Washington. And you can
probably already guess that the States
have gotten busy here too. ASML
does not sell lithographs to China, so the
Celestial Empire is not yet capable of creating the most advanced chips
. Well, because there is nothing to
use. At the same time, the company's director, like
his colleague from Nvidia, is
not at all thrilled with these geopolitical games
and warns: "It
will all end the same way as with chips. China
will develop its own machines and not
only stop depending on their
lithographs, but will also begin to
seriously compete with them. But until
this happens, the fourth level and
the chains are again in the hands of the States, because the
Dutch government is dancing to their
dota. So, are the fifth and fourth
levels really going to the Americans? But
China has something to respond with here. Even the most
complex ASML lithograph can't create a chip out of thin
air. It needs materials like silicon,
gallium, germanium. All these
rare earth metals and dozens of other
components are needed, because without them,
modern electronics simply wouldn't
exist. And 70% of this market is
controlled by China, which,
in response to bans, deprives its
opponents of access to such valuable
raw materials. Because of which the States
Rare earth metals are being sought all over the world, from
Ukraine to Greenland. True, the United States
has a trump card in North
Carolina, in the town of Sprucepine, where
70% of the world's ultra-pure quartz is mined.
Such pure quartz is
truly a trump card in the hands of the United States. And
therefore, China is forced to purchase 95% of the
quartz it consumes, of course, from the
Americans from Sprucepine. But in April
26, Chinese scientists
discovered a large quartz deposit
in Tibet, which can be purified to
99.9%.
And so, having its own source of ultra-pure
quartz could free China's hands. But
extracting ultra-pure quartz is only
half the battle. Then it needs to be
made into a flint wafer. And 70% of the
global market for flint wafers for
IC chips is currently controlled by
a single Japanese company, Etsu Chemical
. This is another
bottleneck for the third Matryoshka doll. However, at the
fifth level of the raw materials chain,
both China and the United States hold strong positions.
Although the Americans, thanks to The crash of the
spheric plates 380 million years ago is
still in a more advantageous position. Does
this mean that since the United States somehow
controls every level of this
chain, the entire artificial
intelligence industry is under its complete
control? But China
disagrees and is preparing to
take over the most important point in the world
. But what kind of point is this, if the
industry has so many bottlenecks
at every stage? I'll tell you now.
Here is a map where all the points of
control over artificial intelligence are marked.
On US territory there are three flags:
first, second, and fifth level. These are
the offices of leading developers and applications
from Silicon Valley, the headquarters of the
main supplier of the entire industry
Nvidia, and the Srupai quartz mine.
At the other end of the map, on the Chinese
side, there are two flags. This is Huawei.
Well, your own Nvidia at home. And control
over raw materials, rare earth metals.
When the bird came out, the American stock
market lost a whole
trillion dollars in just one day, because no one
could have imagined that China If Deepsk develops its
model so cheaply and so quickly,
it will create competition for American
companies. However, Deepsk has only become popular
in China and Russia, while the global
market is still dominated by Cha GPT and
Gemin. That's why it has
n't yet received its own flag. Although, of course, the basic
minimum for creating a national
neural network in China has been fulfilled.
It seems that the remaining flags are scattered
all over the map. The Netherlands controls the
supply of chip production machines.
South Korea - memory production.
Taiwan - chip production. Japan -
silicon wafer manufacturing.
But all these countries are allies of the
Americans, who not only
supply the United States with everything they need, but also
impose export bans on their products
to China and friendly countries.
Of course, allies are good, but it's even
more reliable when the entire chain is on one
's own territory. Therefore, America
agreed with Taiwan's TSMC to
build US factories. And already in
October 25, the
first advanced chip was produced there. In total,
three factories will be built by 2030. However, even they are
not will cover all the needs of American
companies, so this is not a replacement, but only an
additional source for Americans to obtain the
necessary components for the industry
. [music]
Since 2020, the United States has invested
more than $645 billion in development and supply chains within the country
. These are dozens of projects
from raw material extraction and production
to research
laboratories. And today, the
Americans are far
ahead of everyone else in the world, investing a
quarter of a trillion
dollars a year in the industry. Does this mean that the United States
has won the war to create the weapons of
the future? No, the Chinese
disagree. We already know about Deep Purple and Huawei, the first
and second levels. By
2030, China plans
to import-substitute 80% of all components
needed for chip production.
Well, for example, already now 40% of domestic
demand for silicon wafers, the foundation of
any chip, is covered by its own National
Silicon Industry Group from Shanghai.
So the third matryoshka is still missing, but
the Chinese are moving towards having it
. But replacing The fourth link, the
Dutch lithographers, will be very
difficult. Right now, Chinese companies
from the EI industry are urging Xizenping
to create their own ASML. But will it work?
That's a really big question.
Without advanced chip production machines,
the Chinese are forced to make do.
They're using old lithographs and
inventing shortcuts. Well, like creating a
different architecture for the chip itself, which
allows for increased
productivity. But it's like
building a house not from modern
bricks, but from ordinary stones, but
fitting them together so that the walls
become just as strong. Well,
admittedly, it costs a lot more. The fifth
matryoshka doll only partially belongs to China
. Yes, rare earth metals
are the strength of the Celestial Empire, but quartz
has to be ordered from the Americans.
Only the launch of their own mines in Tibet and
other regions of the country will finally
free them from this dependence. And
the Europeans,
who don't want to be dependent on either the
US or China, also dream of their own chain. Europe's main strength
is, of course, the Dutch. ASML.
The fourth matryoshka isn't just in their
hands; the rest of the world is dancing with it.
The fifth matryoshka—quartz—may one day
stand alongside the fourth. In Norway,
geologists have discovered a deposit of
ultra-pure quartz. Well, it still needs to
be mined and processed. Processing,
however, won't be a problem.
The Quartz Corp. operates in Norway
, where
quartz from the American company Spruce is also processed. But the
rest of the chain is much more
complicated. Europe doesn't have its own TSMC, which manufactures
chips for [them]. It doesn't have its own Nvidia
or Huawei either. The closest equivalent of these
companies in Europe, Axelera AI, appeared in
the Netherlands only in 2021
and doesn't yet have the experience or
technology to seriously compete with the
Americans and Chinese. It turns out
that the second and third matryoshkas are out of the question, just like
the first. Currently, the most famous
neural network from Europe is the
French company Mrl AI,
which was founded in 2023.
Google alumni. Cha is the European
equivalent of GPT chat. However, even in
France itself, it accounts for less than 1% of
internet traffic. Let alone
other countries. So far, all we hear from Europe are
loud slogans about
becoming world leaders in artificial
intelligence. But how
this can be achieved is still
unclear. But the US has an answer.
Money. And right now, greenbacks are
taking over the entire AI industry
, depriving US allies of their
silicon shield. I've heard the expression "
silicon shield" or "chip shield"
when talking about your company.
Perhaps because our company
supplies a lot of chips to the world.
Maybe someone will refrain from attacking.
For Taiwan, TSMC is not just a source
of pride, but a company that
supports the island's de facto independence
. In case you didn't know, in 1949, the
Chinese government, which
had lost the civil war to the communists, fled to Taiwan.
Realizing that such a large neighbor next
door represents Faced with an existential
threat, it began to think: "How can we become
so indispensable to the entire world that we can
maintain our independence?" The choice fell
on technology. The government decided
that they didn't have enough people to become the world's factory
. Therefore, in 1973, the
Industrial Technology Research
Institute (ITRI) was established under the Ministry of Economic Affairs of Taiwan. Its mission was to
take promising technologies and
turn them into a source of income and
influence for the entire country. In
1976, ITRI
acquired a license for
microchip production technology from the Americans for $10 million. 19 of the
best engineers went to the States
to study this process firsthand. And a
year later, the first
microchip production line was launched in Taiwan. But then it
turned out that while the defect rate in America
is 50%, Taiwanese
engineers managed to reduce it to
30%. In 1985, Morris Chunk became the head of ITI
. He was born in China and
came to the United States at the age of 18, where he received an excellent
technical education at the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology. Well, and then
spent 25 years working at Texas
Instruments, a
chip manufacturer. Morris Chunk
rose through the ranks to become the
company's second-in-command, senior
vice president, because under his
leadership, the company began to
profit well from chip shipments. It was precisely this kind of
person, someone who could turn
technology into money, that was needed in
Taiwan. Chunk
was personally invited to the post of director of the institute by the
Prime Minister.
And just two years later, in 1987, Chunk
founded the very same Taiwu Semiconductor
Manufacturing Company (TSMC). Morris Chunk
proposed a simple but revolutionary
idea: to create a company that doesn't
design its own chips and doesn't
compete with customers, but only
manufactures them based on someone else's design. And while
other companies were distracted by
design, architecture, and marketing, TSMC
was able to focus on one thing: becoming the
best foundry for everyone. That's why
NVIDIA, Apple, AMD, and other
tech giants
began working with TSMC without any fear. They knew
that this foundry wouldn't steal their developments or
become a competitor. And TSMC
Meanwhile, TSMC has been perfecting its
chip production technologies for decades. And
this experience, technology, and team of
engineers cannot be copied. TSMC
has become a veritable flint shield for
Taiwan, protecting the island as well as
American missiles and guns.
However, when TSMC announced
the construction of factories on American
soil, politicians on the island
panicked that their shield had cracked.
This frightens them even more than a
Chinese attack. If a war starts, the company
will be destroyed. Everything will be destroyed.
If China takes Taiwan, it won't
get everything ready-made.
Supply chains will be disrupted, engineers will emigrate to the States,
the experience and technology accumulated over
decades will disappear. And
TSMC factories will be useless under the control of the right
party. But the blow to
China's economy without Taiwanese chips will be
terrible. China will lose 17% of its GDP,
and the rest of the world 10%. Hundreds of companies
will go bankrupt because they won't be able to
manufacture their products without chips, and
thousands of workers will end up on the street. Isn't that
so? Does anyone need this? That's a completely different
matter. If the shield simply goes to the US, then
Taiwan will be left without cover. And the
global economy won't collapse. The chips
will be churned out in American
factories. Then no one will stop
China from taking the island into its
own hands. That's how powerful
technology is today. But even the most exceptional raw materials
won't give you that kind of power.
Even a super-pure quartz deposit with
pruspine in the American outback can
be replaced somewhere in northern
Norway or mountainous Tibet. And in a
worst-case scenario, such a deposit can be
captured. No special skills are required
to dig the mineral out of the ground
. That's the real strength of
TSMC, ASML, Skyx and other [music]
bottlenecks and industries. These
companies can't be copied or
captured. They can only be offered
the fattest piece of the pie and bought out.
That's why the war of the future will not be a
war of motors or even drones, but a war
of economies, money and promises, where the winner will be
Not the strongest, but the
richest and smartest, and the world's most powerful weapon will fall into his hands
. It seems that the
US has taken the lead in the AI race today. Not only have they
amassed the most important
industry players, but they're also investing enormous amounts of
money to acquire the rest.
China is still lagging behind, but it's entirely possible
that the Celestial Empire is simply not showing all
its cards. That's what happened with Deepsik, who
suddenly jumped out and said, "Boo!" "
Scared of the entire American industry."
[music] The weapons in our smartphones
are real, but while the two superpowers
are figuring out who's stronger, it seems like you and I have
nothing to fear. But as soon as
one of them gains a decisive upper hand,
the world will split into those who have
access to the cutting edge, and those who will
slide into a dependent Stone
Age without it. [music] We have a hand in determining who will win
every day, choosing
which neural network to send our request to
today: the GPT chat or Deep PSK.
So even one person here becomes a
cog in this all-powerful mechanism.
If you're afraid to miss out when
the winner of this war is clearly
determined, subscribe to this
channel, to my Telegram channel, Simple
Economy. There I explain what's
really happening in Russia and the world. This
was Nikolai Myachin with you. Bye.
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